Normal Curves is a podcast about sexy science & serious statistics. Ever try to make sense of a scientific study and the numbers behind it? Listen in to a lively conversation between two stats-savvy friends who break it all down with humor and clarity. Professors Regina Nuzzo of Gallaudet University and Kristin Sainani of Stanford University discuss academic papers journal club-style — except with more fun, less jargon, and some irreverent, PG-13 content sprinkled in. Join Kristin and Regina ...
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Keep it casual with the Casual Inference podcast. Your hosts Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray talk all things epidemiology, statistics, data science, causal inference, and public health. Sponsored by the American Journal of Epidemiology.
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Are you a researcher or data scientist / analyst / ninja? Do you want to learn Bayesian inference, stay up to date or simply want to understand what Bayesian inference is? Then this podcast is for you! You'll hear from researchers and practitioners of all fields about how they use Bayesian statistics, and how in turn YOU can apply these methods in your modeling workflow. When I started learning Bayesian methods, I really wished there were a podcast out there that could introduce me to the me ...
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BITESIZE | Understanding Simulation-Based Calibration, with Teemu Säilynoja
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21:14Get 10% off Hugo's "Building LLM Applications for Data Scientists and Software Engineers" online course! Today’s clip is from episode 135 of the podcast, with Teemu Säilynoja. Alex and Teemu discuss the importance of simulation-based calibration (SBC). They explore the practical implementation of SBC in probabilistic programming languages, the chal…
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Stats Reunion: What have we learned so far?
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56:00It’s our first stats reunion! In this special review episode, we revisit favorite concepts from past episodes—p-values, multiple testing, regression adjustment—and give them fresh personalities as characters. Meet the seductive false positive, the clingy post hoc ex, and Charlotte, the well-meaning but overfitting idealist. Statistical topics Bar c…
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Optimizing Data Workflows with Emily Riederer | Season 6 Episode 8
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52:55Emily Riederer is a Data Science Senior Manager at Credit Risk Modeling Capital One. Her website can be found here: https://www.emilyriederer.com/ Follow along on Bluesky: Emily: @emilyriederer.bsky.social Ellie: @epiellie.bsky.social Lucy: @lucystats.bsky.social 🎶 Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron Bopp.…
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#135 Bayesian Calibration and Model Checking, with Teemu Säilynoja
1:12:13
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1:12:13Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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Live Show Announcement | Come Meet Me in London!
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3:04ICYMI, I'll be in London next week, for a live episode of the Learning Bayesian Statistics podcast 🍾 Come say hi on June 24 at Imperial College London! We'll be talking about uncertainty quantification — not just in theory, but in the messy, practical reality of building models that are supposed to work in the real world. 🎟️ Get your tickets! Some …
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BITESIZE | Exploring Dynamic Regression Models, with David Kohns
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14:34Today’s clip is from episode 134 of the podcast, with David Kohns. Alex and David discuss the future of probabilistic programming, focusing on advancements in time series modeling, model selection, and the integration of AI in prior elicitation. The discussion highlights the importance of setting appropriate priors, the challenges of computational …
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Combining Data & Making Effects Generalizable with Carly Brantner | Season 6 Episode 7
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52:05Carly Brantner is an assistant professor of Biostatistics & Bioinformatics at Duke University and Duke Clinical Research Institute. Resources from this episode: multicate: R package for estimating conditional average treatment effects across one or more studies using machine learning methods PCORnet® Front Door: Access point for potential investiga…
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HPV Vaccine: How close are we to wiping out cervical cancer?
1:15:57
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1:15:57Could a preteen vaccine wipe out a global cancer? In this episode, we examine the bold claim that cervical cancer could be eradicated in much of the world by the end of the century—thanks to the highly effective HPV vaccine. We unpack statistical modeling, microsimulations, and how Markov chains make good date-night conversation. We also explore wh…
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#134 Bayesian Econometrics, State Space Models & Dynamic Regression, with David Kohns
1:40:55
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1:40:55Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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BITESIZE | Why Your Models Might Be Wrong & How to Fix it, with Sean Pinkney & Adrian Seyboldt
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17:04Today’s clip is from episode 133 of the podcast, with Sean Pinkney & Adrian Seyboldt. The conversation delves into the concept of Zero-Sum Normal and its application in statistical modeling, particularly in hierarchical models. Alex, Sean and Adrian discuss the implications of using zero-sum constraints, the challenges of incorporating new data poi…
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Today’s deep dive: the surprisingly serious science of penis size. Using self-report surveys, objective measurements, and a healthy dose of old-school statistics, we ask: How do you get clean data on gentlemen’s goods?Along the way, we explore social desirability bias, survey design tricks, and what happens when science meets insecurity. You’ll nev…
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The Art of Clarity with Andrew Heiss | Season 6 Episode 6
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49:31Andrew Heiss is an assistant professor in the Department of Public Management and Policy at the Andrew Young School of Policy Studies at Georgia State University. Vincent’s “What is your estimand” section in his {marginaleffects} book: https://marginaleffects.com/chapters/challenge.html#sec-goals_estimand Article on defining estimands: https://doi.…
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#133 Making Models More Efficient & Flexible, with Sean Pinkney & Adrian Seyboldt
1:12:12
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1:12:12Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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BITESIZE | How AI is Redefining Human Interactions, with Tom Griffiths
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22:06Today’s clip is from episode 132 of the podcast, with Tom Griffiths. Tom and Alex Andorra discuss the fundamental differences between human intelligence and artificial intelligence, emphasizing the constraints that shape human cognition, such as limited data, computational resources, and communication bandwidth. They explore how AI systems currentl…
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Wrinkles and sagging skin—just normal aging, or can you blame your sweet tooth? We dive into “sugar sag,” exploring how sugar, processed foods, and even your crispy breakfast toast might be making you look older than if you’d said no to chocolate cake and yes to broccoli. Along the way, we encounter statistical adjustment, training and test data se…
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#132 Bayesian Cognition and the Future of Human-AI Interaction, with Tom Griffiths
1:30:15
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1:30:15Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Check out Hugo’s latest episode with Fei-Fei Li, on How Human-Centered AI Actually Gets Built Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and …
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Study Critique: What Went Wrong and How We'd Do It Differently | Season 6 Episode 5
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55:22In this episode Lucy and Ellie dig into a recently publicized paper, "Vaccination and Neurodevelopmental Disorders: A Study of Nine-Year-Old Children Enrolled in Medicaid", which has gained attention after being promoted by RFK Jr. as evidence that vaccines cause autism. Ellie breaks down her Substack critique of the study. Together, she and Lucy d…
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BITESIZE | Hacking Bayesian Models for Better Performance, with Luke Bornn
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13:35Today’s clip is from episode 131 of the podcast, with Luke Bornn. Luke and Alex discuss the application of generative models in sports analytics. They emphasize the importance of Bayesian modeling to account for uncertainty and contextual variations in player data. The discussion also covers the challenges of balancing model complexity with computa…
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Hookworms: Can parasites improve your health?
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1:08:00What if you could treat your prediabetes with . . . worms? Regina and Kristin dive into a surprising early-phase clinical trial on hookworm therapy—that’s right, intentionally infecting yourself with parasitic worms—to treat metabolic conditions. They dig into the biological rationale (inflammation, abdominal fat, and gut immunology), the clever st…
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#131 Decision-Making Under High Uncertainty, with Luke Bornn
1:31:46
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1:31:46Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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From Model to Meaning with Vincent Arel-Bundock | Season 6 Episode 4
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45:20Vincent Arel-Bundock is a professor at the Université de Montréal, where he studies comparative and international political economy. Vincent's website: https://arelbundock.com/ Vincent's book "Model to Meaning: How to Interpret Statistical Models With marginaleffects for R and Python": https://marginaleffects.com/ Follow along on Bluesky: Vincent: …
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BITESIZE | Real-World Applications of Models in Public Health, with Adam Kucharski
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16:26Today’s clip is from episode 130 of the podcast, with epidemiological modeler Adam Kucharski. This conversation explores the critical role of patient modeling during the COVID-19 pandemic, highlighting how these models informed public health decisions and the relationship between modeling and policy. The discussion emphasizes the need for improved …
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Alcohol: Are happy hours good for your heart?
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1:05:31Does a daily glass of wine really keep the cardiologist away? It’s a claim we’ve all heard: light to moderate drinking is good for your heart. But is it science or just a convenient excuse for happy hour? In this episode, we dive into the history behind this claim, discuss the challenges of observational studies and statistical adjustment, and expl…
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#130 The Real-World Impact of Epidemiological Models, with Adam Kucharski
1:09:05
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1:09:05Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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Propensity Scores, R Packages, and Practical Advice with Noah Greifer | Season 6 Episode 3
1:22:09
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1:22:09Noah Greifer is a statistical consultant and programmer at Harvard University. Episode notes: WeightIt package: https://ngreifer.github.io/WeightIt/ MatchIt package: https://kosukeimai.github.io/MatchIt/ Noah's awesome Stack Exchange post: https://stats.stackexchange.com/a/544958 Follow along on Bluesky: Noah: @noahgreifer.bsky.social Ellie: @EpiEl…
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BITESIZE | The Why & How of Bayesian Deep Learning, with Vincent Fortuin
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11:45Today’s clip is from episode 129 of the podcast, with AI expert and researcher Vincent Fortuin. This conversation delves into the intricacies of Bayesian deep learning, contrasting it with traditional deep learning and exploring its applications and challenges. Get the full discussion at https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/129-bayesian-deep-learnin…
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The Red Dress Effect: Are women in red sexier?
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1:08:45Wear red and drive men wild with lust – or so says scientific research on color’s role in human mating. But can a simple color swap really boost a woman’s hotness score? In this episode, we delve into the evidence behind the Red Dress Effect, from a controversial first study in college men to what the latest research says about who this trick might…
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#129 Bayesian Deep Learning & AI for Science with Vincent Fortuin
1:02:43
1:02:43
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1:02:43Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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Causal Assumptions and Large Language Models | Season 6 Episode 2
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51:51Lucy and Ellie chat about large language models, chat interfaces, and causal inference. Do LLMs Act as Repositories of Causal Knowledge?: https://arxiv.org/html/2412.10635v1 Follow along on Twitter: The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi Ellie: @EpiEllie Lucy: @LucyStats 🎶 Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron…
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Vitamin D Part 2: Good for more than just your bones?
1:09:19
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1:09:19Can you really sit on your couch, pop vitamin D pills, and shave seconds off your 5k? Touted as a miracle cure-all, vitamin D is claimed to slash cancer and infection risks while boosting mood, cognition, and athletic performance. But does upping your vitamin D really make you healthier and happier? In this episode, we’ll follow the epidemiologic e…
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#128 Building a Winning Data Team in Football, with Matt Penn
58:11
58:11
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58:11Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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Vitamin D Part 1: Is the Deficiency Epidemic Real?
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1:23:09Is America really facing an epidemic of vitamin D deficiency? While this claim is widely believed, the story behind it is packed with twists, turns, and some pesky statistical cockroaches. In this episode, we’ll dive into a study on Hawaiian surfers, expose how shifting goalposts can create an epidemic, tackle dueling medical guidelines, and flex o…
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#127 Saving Sharks... with Python, Causal Inference and Aaron MacNeil
1:04:08
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1:04:08Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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Data Integration for Impact with Len Testa | Season 6 Episode 1
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44:48Lucy chats with Len Testa about a recent analysis he did which combined over 150 publicly available data sources to answer a question about the affordability of Disney World. Len's Deep Dive Post on the Touring Plans Blog [Blog Post] Wall Street Journal Artcile, "Even Disney Is Worried About the High Cost of a Disney Vacation" [Article] Follow alon…
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Pheromones: Is sexy sweat the key to genetic diversity?
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57:54Sweaty t-shirt dating parties, sex pheromone dating sites, choosing your dating partner by sniffing them up — wacko fringe fads or evidence-based mating strategies? And what does your armpit stain have to do with your kids’ immune systems, or hormonal contraceptive pills, or divorce rates? In this episode of Normal Curves, Kristin and Regina reach …
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#126 MMM, CLV & Bayesian Marketing Analytics, with Will Dean
54:47
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54:47Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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Normal Curves: Who are we and what is this podcast about?
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13:31Welcome to a lively conversation about science that's like a journal club, but with less jargon, more fun, and a touch of PG-13 flair. In this introduction, Professors Regina Nuzzo and Kristin Sainani share how they met in graduate school, what they’ve been doing since then, how they’ll choose edgy topics and journal articles to dissect, and a bit …
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Normal Curves is a podcast about sexy science & serious statistics. Ever try to make sense of a scientific study and the numbers behind it? Listen in to a lively conversation between two stats-savvy friends who break it all down with humor and clarity. Professors Regina Nuzzo of Gallaudet University and Kristin Sainani of Stanford University discus…
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#125 Bayesian Sports Analytics & The Future of PyMC, with Chris Fonnesbeck
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58:15Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free) Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free) Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swa…
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#124 State Space Models & Structural Time Series, with Jesse Grabowski
1:35:43
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1:35:43Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses 1:1 Mentorship with me Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;) Takeaways: Bayesian statistics of…
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#123 BART & The Future of Bayesian Tools, with Osvaldo Martin
1:32:13
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1:32:13Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses 1:1 Mentorship with me Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;) Takeaways: BART models are non-pa…
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#122 Learning and Teaching in the Age of AI, with Hugo Bowne-Anderson
1:23:10
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1:23:10Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses 1:1 Mentorship with me Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work! Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;) Takeaways: Effective data science…
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