Two amateur sports bettors take a more subjective approach to sports betting. The pros use analytics, Jeff and Mike use the eyeball test. There are plenty of podcasts to listen to the ego driven professionals mock the public and tell you how you should bet. This podcast has some fun with it and owns betting as the public.
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NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Super Bowl
15:56
15:56
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15:56Jeff was too scared to bet against the mysticism that is Patrick Mahomes. The game played out as Jeff saw it, but he still watched in disbelief as the Eagles routed the Chiefs. A good lesson on on when to press your bets and when to walk away, closes the season. Thank you all for listening!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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One more game to chase all the season's bad results. Jeff and Mike are finding ways to bet the big game. From spreads to totals to props and same game parlays. Jeff has 3 factors that must be considered for any game within 3 points. He is also advocating for inversely corelated parlays as we tell ourselves a story for how the props will relate to g…
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NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Conference Championships
19:49
19:49
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19:49Jeff is going over the two conference championship games and why the referees should not be blamed for Buffalo's loss. He talks about the ref talk diminishing the legendary dynasty that is taking the field each and every week. He then goes into Washington finally facing the fatigue that comes from endless must win and road games. Thoughts on the ev…
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NFL 2025 Conference Championships; Bologna February
45:33
45:33
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45:33Mike and Jeff are picking the conference championship games against the spread. Jeff goes into a therapy session about his cliff dive into gambling melancholy and how it led him to his decision for the AFC championship. Mike has to play devil's advocate in the NFC game and ponders some atmospheric philosophy. Referees are part of the discussion as …
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NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Divisional Round
28:23
28:23
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28:23Jeff got crushed by mule field goal kickers and receivers without hands. It was financial ruin as missing out on half points led to the worst playoff round of betting Jeff has faced in two decades. The anger of losing is channeled into a rant against the leagues biased officiating when it comes to Patrick Mahomes.…
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NFL 2025 Divisional Round; Leave the One-Bar Helmets at Home
51:06
51:06
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51:06Mike and Jeff are picking all four divisional playoff games against the spread. While taking turns picking their best bets, the other is forced to defend the other side. At the end of the day a handicap for all eight teams is provided so you can decide what sides are sharp and which ones are square. Jeff closes by explaining teaser protection and w…
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NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Wild Card Round
27:43
27:43
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27:43The not so super, Super Wild Card weekend is in the books. Jeff is going over all of the games and where things went well for bettors and which teams fell short.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2025 Wildcard Weekend; Baker Believers
46:52
46:52
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46:52Jeff and Mike are taking turns picking which playoff games they want to play. Each must defend the other side so nuance for each contest is argued. A great way to get opinions and handicaps for both sides of every game.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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It was a wild season finale for professional football and the betting markets. Jeff won despite overlooking the basics of starting quarterback play. He closes by discussing the idea of negatively correlated same game parlays.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2025 Week 18; Setting Up For Un-Success
52:13
52:13
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52:13Jeff is flying solo this week and breaking down all 16 games for the regular season finale. Every playoff scenario is covered including which teams will be resting starters. A complete guide to everything you need to know before challenging the bookies!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff only saved his wallet by barely betting yesterday as favorites blew away the dogs making the value of points seem unimportant. Some questionable coaching practices made the end game of some thrillers comical and frustrating. Just another week of gambling bliss.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff is flying solo for this episode but is up to the challenge of going over the entire slate of Saturday, Sunday and Monday's games to give you all of the playoff scenarios for each game. Lots of focus on team motivation for the playoff bound and what might be encouraging bad teams to play hard. Ugly Betty isn't left out as Jeff loves a team that…
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NFL 2024 Christmas Special; Lots of Angry Elves
15:53
15:53
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15:53Jeff is flying solo on this and giving his thoughts on both Christmas Day games. The market is taking a stand on both games and Jeff is fading the moves in one game and following the tide in the other. Happy Holidays degenerates!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff talks about how much money he could have lost, being a positive from a week filled with losing picks. How's that for optimism? Jeff also questions if the NFL has created fatigue with too many games on too many days?By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff have been mathematically eliminated from Super Contest cash, so this week is all across the betting board. Betting philosophies for the end of the season and how to navigate the schedule to account for playoff scenarios. In depth breakdowns of the Falcons move to Penix, why the Ravens are under-rated and how injury reports could be fa…
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Jeff had the worst weekend betting of the season, yet it feels much like every other week. Football stinks.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL Week 15; Down in the Dumpster, Close to my Heart
1:00:05
1:00:05
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1:00:05The guys are settling into a losing season in the super contest but finding ways to pick some winners for their wallets. Some thoughts on losing streaks for good teams and bounce back spots for the bad ones. Game picks for Bills vs. Lions, all the AFC North games in honor of Hard Knocks, plus; Jets vs. Jags, Patriots vs. Cardinals, Colts vs. Bronco…
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Losing Stinks and the guys did plenty of it this weekend going 1-4 in the Super Contest. Time to own up to what went wrong.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Week 14; My Ayahuasca Is Kicking Back In
45:49
45:49
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45:49This one is jam packed full of game breakdowns as the guys are rich with narratives for the week 14 card. Ugly Betty follows Kirk Cousins to Minnesota. Anyone playing a Jersey team can be share-of-square. It's rah-rah time for the Norse course. The bonus categories have some keen handicaps that get Jeff and Mike looking to bet the week heavy.…
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The guys had a third straight losing week in the super contest, while Jeff found himself betting way too many games. Some decisions were solid, while others left nothing but Eberflus like head shakes.
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After back-to-back losing weeks in the Super Contest, Mike and Jeff are looking to get back on the winning track. Jeff doesn't think the Jets are quite as ugly as Mike makes them out to be and thinks that a once elite team better fits the bill. The guys are continuing to squarely bet the mile-high city and are backing Sam Darnold plus the hook once…
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NFL 2024 Thanksgiving Special; Goff Bean Casserole
33:14
33:14
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33:14It's time to gobble 'till you wobble and settle in for a full slate of football for Thanksgiving. Jeff and Mike are breaking down all the Thursday games and the black Friday game. Full handicaps including point spreads and totals for each game and most importantly, the guys make their ultimate decision on the best slice of pie to close the holiday …
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It was another losing week for the guys as they went 2-3 in the Super Contest. Jeff talks about the resolve bettors have to have to keep betting a team that destroys you one week. Changing the channel might change the result as the Vikings somehow lost a ten point lead in two minutes versus the Bears. The Lions keep running over underdog bettors, w…
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NFL 2024 Week 12; Confidence Is Killing My Bankroll
50:57
50:57
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50:57It was a brutal week for Mike and Jeff in the Super Contest as the guys went 1-4. Jeff starts out with some revisionist history on how they easily could have put a 5-0 card together. He goes in depth about how look-ahead lines can reveal where the bookmakers are most desperate to give valuable numbers in order to draw two-way action. From there you…
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Week 11 was a bloodbath for Jeff and Mike. Bets were losing and the contest tanked, going 1-4. This is a quick one with not much to say other than got lots wrong.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike is back live and in person as the guys go through the week 11 slate of NFL point spreads. Lot's of contenders to choose from for ugly betty, but it's time for mayonnaise. The guys call dibs on fading the Bears for share-of-square. All three AFC North games are in contention, but one is Jeff's ultimate decision. Mike has a mile-high false finis…
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Jeff goes on a bit of a diatribe about the Colts vs. Bills game. The guys went 3-2 in the Super Contest. Mike's math on the Bucs proofed true while his square share of the Bears was proven false. Mike had two sure fire winners... well losers, but they covered the spread so they are winners in our book. Bengals and Broncos... welcome to the LBC ( Lo…
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Jeff is taking two after a great conversation about half of the week's games, was lost to to audio stupidity. Mike had some great points and Jeff is going to attempt to present them in a mixed version of each's handicap. Good trends and some procedural tips on finding value spots make their way.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff and Mike had a losing week in the Super Contest going 2-3. Jeff tries to sell that they lost the Denver game the way he thought they would lose. Ugly Betty isn't as bad as the Cowboys, while square for the Commanders works like a charm. The Hawks cash for Jeff, but lose in the contest. Sam Darnold tries to revert to his old ways, but the Vikin…
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After another winning week the guys are in sync for their Super Contest picks. Jeff has a great trend that he can't sight his source on (purposeful mis-spelling) and a bonus play for Dougie's return to the city of brotherly love. Mike has let his disgust with the Jets bleed into his picks, while refusing to ponder any Mayonnaise laden traps.…
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Mike and Jeff had another winning week going 3-1 in the Super Contest. The Browns and Lions went according to plan, while Jeff lost some money backing the Chiefs. Fortunately, he was open to Mike's Betty pick, Las Vegas. Miami played with the enthusiasm they used to with Tua and choked the game off like they used to as well.…
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NFL 2024 Week 8; QBB Munchkin Bounce... Allegedly
56:52
56:52
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56:52Muppets, crab legs and some good old fashioned liable. The picks are all over the place this week, but the guys have some good nuanced debates about multiple games. Mike likes the Raiders versus the Chiefs and the G-men disrupting Russell Wilson's moon ball. Jeff is is all about Jameis Winston, who he thinks qualifies for twelve different categorie…
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Jeff is trying to figure out what keeps possessing him to bet the Carolina Panthers. Antonio Pierce is sporting some hardware for handicapping heroism, while the Chiefs are constantly finding a new way to be the best. Doug tried to screw things up for Jacksonville but managed to catch the cover. The Seahawks caught Atlanta flat, while Mike McDaniel…
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This one is loaded with picks and trends. It is also loaded with technical difficulties as Jeff, who is somewhat of a luddite, encountered every computer problem imaginable. Some sections are edited in choppy fashion, but the gambling info is good and plentiful.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff talks about leaning too far into numbers and the importance of being able to verbalize a good handicap. The guys went 3-1 in the Super Contest helping out the week.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are coming out of hurricane mode and trying to rebound from the disaster that was last week's Super Contest. Apparently they learned nothing as this week's card includes the horrible Browns, the stomach churning Jets and the rah-rah Steelers. As cool as the name is, the play is to fade Spencer Rattler and Mike can't resist playing his…
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Jeff talks about the wild week of betting where dead bets found life and live bets found death within a twenty minute time span. In other words, a typical Sunday. The super contest did not fair so well as the guys went 1-3-1 for their worst weekend of the year.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are compromising as neither one likes the other's picks. Better than agreeing on bets, that would be a sure fire disaster. Jeff is backing Aaron Rodgers versus the media and going dumpster diving with Cleveland. Mike sees Dougy Pederson and Sunshine circling the wagons. The consensus is Denver being square enough to play and Mike Toml…
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It was a 3-2 week for the guys in the Super Contest. Jeff believes that young teams winning early might be evaluated incorrectly by contrary bettors. Ugly Betty remains undefeated as the Jaguars lose but cover versus the Texans. Al Michaels can jinx a kicker like nobody's business. Josh Allen remains the best losing quarterback in the NFL and Jeff …
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College Football Special; Sabin's Stargate
1:01:30
1:01:30
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1:01:30Jeff is joined by Duce from the Happy Hour Podcast with Ariel and Duce to talk betting some college football. Duce gives Jeff his picks on which student athletes are worth the investment. The guys talk NIL, Primetime recruiting and the playoff expansion. Warning: Lot's of F-bombs in this one.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are coming off of a 4-1 week in the Super Contest and both are flush with cash from a great weekend of straight bets. Nothing else to do now, but give it all back to the bookies! Before that, though, the guys will play with confidence as there is an obvious ugly Betty that Jeff hates so much, he feels obligated to bet them. Share of s…
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Jeff and Mike went 3-1 in the Super Contest on Sunday. Jeff talks about not betting a game being his best bet of the week, even though it was one of his best betting days in years!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Week 3; Mayonnaise Cologne and Underhand Passes
57:52
57:52
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57:52After a 2-3 week Mike and Jeff are at .500 in the Super Contest. It's time to get on a roll and this week the guys had an easier time coming to an agreement on picks. What could possibly go wrong other than everything!By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Jeff and Mike went 2-2 in the Super Contest this week, but Jeff feels they left a winner on the cutting room floor. Sometimes the categories blur the line between a fun story and a solid handicap. While blitzing the media and courting ugly Betty worked out, the trap game was a bad idea and the Norse course strayed off the mark.…
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It's week 2 and after a 3-2 opening week in the Super Contest, Mike and Jeff are ready to keep the winning picks rolling. The problem is, they agree on absolutely nothing. This makes for a great nuanced discussion/argument for both sides of multiple games. Eventually the guys amicably settle on a five game card.…
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Week 1 is in the books and the guys had a winning week in the Super Contest. Jeff is breaking down where Mike and him had things right and a few games where the handicaps completely missed the mark.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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NFL 2024 Week 1; Why am I Pushing a Broom?
58:24
58:24
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58:24The regular season is here! Time for Super Contest Picks. Mike and Jeff are loaded with categories for week one, including a consensus on Ugly Betty and multiple ways to get after New Jersey football. Mike isn't sure he can bring sexy back with his share-of-square, but Jeff is confident he has an exclusive fade against the Browns.…
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NFL 2024 Gambling Theory; Higher Education is Stupid
55:38
55:38
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55:38Mike has come up with his ten commandments for betting the NFL. Jeff interjects some theories of his own as the guys offer some simple strategies for gambling. You don't need to be a disciple to gain some knowledge that will make you a better handicapper.By Jeff Anton
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NFL 2024 NFC Preview; It's a Bear Tax
1:00:11
1:00:11
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1:00:11Mike and Jeff are deep diving the NFC. Jeff is fading the Hard Knocks hype following Chicago, while Mike is trying to figure out why their is so much love for the dirty birds in ATL. Bet on teams are in supply with the guys looking at the bottom tier teams as having the good old fashion lose but cover aspect to them.…
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NFL 2024 AFC Preview; They Do This To Me Every Year
57:16
57:16
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57:16Mike and Jeff are breaking down the AFC. What teams are bet-on teams and which ones are fade city. Jeff uses Super Bowl odds to create a market based power ratings list of all 32 teams. The guys each have a futures bet for division winners and break down how to spot value when odds get skewed towards one perennial favorite.…
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