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The Sharp Square

Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr

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Two amateur sports bettors take a more subjective approach to sports betting. The pros use analytics, Jeff and Mike use the eyeball test. There are plenty of podcasts to listen to the ego driven professionals mock the public and tell you how you should bet. This podcast has some fun with it and owns betting as the public.
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One more game to chase all the season's bad results. Jeff and Mike are finding ways to bet the big game. From spreads to totals to props and same game parlays. Jeff has 3 factors that must be considered for any game within 3 points. He is also advocating for inversely corelated parlays as we tell ourselves a story for how the props will relate to g…
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Jeff is going over the two conference championship games and why the referees should not be blamed for Buffalo's loss. He talks about the ref talk diminishing the legendary dynasty that is taking the field each and every week. He then goes into Washington finally facing the fatigue that comes from endless must win and road games. Thoughts on the ev…
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Mike and Jeff are picking the conference championship games against the spread. Jeff goes into a therapy session about his cliff dive into gambling melancholy and how it led him to his decision for the AFC championship. Mike has to play devil's advocate in the NFC game and ponders some atmospheric philosophy. Referees are part of the discussion as …
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Mike and Jeff are picking all four divisional playoff games against the spread. While taking turns picking their best bets, the other is forced to defend the other side. At the end of the day a handicap for all eight teams is provided so you can decide what sides are sharp and which ones are square. Jeff closes by explaining teaser protection and w…
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Jeff is flying solo for this episode but is up to the challenge of going over the entire slate of Saturday, Sunday and Monday's games to give you all of the playoff scenarios for each game. Lots of focus on team motivation for the playoff bound and what might be encouraging bad teams to play hard. Ugly Betty isn't left out as Jeff loves a team that…
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Mike and Jeff have been mathematically eliminated from Super Contest cash, so this week is all across the betting board. Betting philosophies for the end of the season and how to navigate the schedule to account for playoff scenarios. In depth breakdowns of the Falcons move to Penix, why the Ravens are under-rated and how injury reports could be fa…
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The guys are settling into a losing season in the super contest but finding ways to pick some winners for their wallets. Some thoughts on losing streaks for good teams and bounce back spots for the bad ones. Game picks for Bills vs. Lions, all the AFC North games in honor of Hard Knocks, plus; Jets vs. Jags, Patriots vs. Cardinals, Colts vs. Bronco…
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This one is jam packed full of game breakdowns as the guys are rich with narratives for the week 14 card. Ugly Betty follows Kirk Cousins to Minnesota. Anyone playing a Jersey team can be share-of-square. It's rah-rah time for the Norse course. The bonus categories have some keen handicaps that get Jeff and Mike looking to bet the week heavy.…
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After back-to-back losing weeks in the Super Contest, Mike and Jeff are looking to get back on the winning track. Jeff doesn't think the Jets are quite as ugly as Mike makes them out to be and thinks that a once elite team better fits the bill. The guys are continuing to squarely bet the mile-high city and are backing Sam Darnold plus the hook once…
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It's time to gobble 'till you wobble and settle in for a full slate of football for Thanksgiving. Jeff and Mike are breaking down all the Thursday games and the black Friday game. Full handicaps including point spreads and totals for each game and most importantly, the guys make their ultimate decision on the best slice of pie to close the holiday …
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It was another losing week for the guys as they went 2-3 in the Super Contest. Jeff talks about the resolve bettors have to have to keep betting a team that destroys you one week. Changing the channel might change the result as the Vikings somehow lost a ten point lead in two minutes versus the Bears. The Lions keep running over underdog bettors, w…
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It was a brutal week for Mike and Jeff in the Super Contest as the guys went 1-4. Jeff starts out with some revisionist history on how they easily could have put a 5-0 card together. He goes in depth about how look-ahead lines can reveal where the bookmakers are most desperate to give valuable numbers in order to draw two-way action. From there you…
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Mike is back live and in person as the guys go through the week 11 slate of NFL point spreads. Lot's of contenders to choose from for ugly betty, but it's time for mayonnaise. The guys call dibs on fading the Bears for share-of-square. All three AFC North games are in contention, but one is Jeff's ultimate decision. Mike has a mile-high false finis…
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Jeff goes on a bit of a diatribe about the Colts vs. Bills game. The guys went 3-2 in the Super Contest. Mike's math on the Bucs proofed true while his square share of the Bears was proven false. Mike had two sure fire winners... well losers, but they covered the spread so they are winners in our book. Bengals and Broncos... welcome to the LBC ( Lo…
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Jeff and Mike had a losing week in the Super Contest going 2-3. Jeff tries to sell that they lost the Denver game the way he thought they would lose. Ugly Betty isn't as bad as the Cowboys, while square for the Commanders works like a charm. The Hawks cash for Jeff, but lose in the contest. Sam Darnold tries to revert to his old ways, but the Vikin…
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After another winning week the guys are in sync for their Super Contest picks. Jeff has a great trend that he can't sight his source on (purposeful mis-spelling) and a bonus play for Dougie's return to the city of brotherly love. Mike has let his disgust with the Jets bleed into his picks, while refusing to ponder any Mayonnaise laden traps.…
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Mike and Jeff had another winning week going 3-1 in the Super Contest. The Browns and Lions went according to plan, while Jeff lost some money backing the Chiefs. Fortunately, he was open to Mike's Betty pick, Las Vegas. Miami played with the enthusiasm they used to with Tua and choked the game off like they used to as well.…
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Muppets, crab legs and some good old fashioned liable. The picks are all over the place this week, but the guys have some good nuanced debates about multiple games. Mike likes the Raiders versus the Chiefs and the G-men disrupting Russell Wilson's moon ball. Jeff is is all about Jameis Winston, who he thinks qualifies for twelve different categorie…
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Jeff is trying to figure out what keeps possessing him to bet the Carolina Panthers. Antonio Pierce is sporting some hardware for handicapping heroism, while the Chiefs are constantly finding a new way to be the best. Doug tried to screw things up for Jacksonville but managed to catch the cover. The Seahawks caught Atlanta flat, while Mike McDaniel…
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Mike and Jeff are coming out of hurricane mode and trying to rebound from the disaster that was last week's Super Contest. Apparently they learned nothing as this week's card includes the horrible Browns, the stomach churning Jets and the rah-rah Steelers. As cool as the name is, the play is to fade Spencer Rattler and Mike can't resist playing his…
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Mike and Jeff are compromising as neither one likes the other's picks. Better than agreeing on bets, that would be a sure fire disaster. Jeff is backing Aaron Rodgers versus the media and going dumpster diving with Cleveland. Mike sees Dougy Pederson and Sunshine circling the wagons. The consensus is Denver being square enough to play and Mike Toml…
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It was a 3-2 week for the guys in the Super Contest. Jeff believes that young teams winning early might be evaluated incorrectly by contrary bettors. Ugly Betty remains undefeated as the Jaguars lose but cover versus the Texans. Al Michaels can jinx a kicker like nobody's business. Josh Allen remains the best losing quarterback in the NFL and Jeff …
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Jeff is joined by Duce from the Happy Hour Podcast with Ariel and Duce to talk betting some college football. Duce gives Jeff his picks on which student athletes are worth the investment. The guys talk NIL, Primetime recruiting and the playoff expansion. Warning: Lot's of F-bombs in this one.By Jeff Anton w/ Mike Knerr
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Mike and Jeff are coming off of a 4-1 week in the Super Contest and both are flush with cash from a great weekend of straight bets. Nothing else to do now, but give it all back to the bookies! Before that, though, the guys will play with confidence as there is an obvious ugly Betty that Jeff hates so much, he feels obligated to bet them. Share of s…
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Jeff and Mike went 2-2 in the Super Contest this week, but Jeff feels they left a winner on the cutting room floor. Sometimes the categories blur the line between a fun story and a solid handicap. While blitzing the media and courting ugly Betty worked out, the trap game was a bad idea and the Norse course strayed off the mark.…
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The regular season is here! Time for Super Contest Picks. Mike and Jeff are loaded with categories for week one, including a consensus on Ugly Betty and multiple ways to get after New Jersey football. Mike isn't sure he can bring sexy back with his share-of-square, but Jeff is confident he has an exclusive fade against the Browns.…
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Mike and Jeff are breaking down the AFC. What teams are bet-on teams and which ones are fade city. Jeff uses Super Bowl odds to create a market based power ratings list of all 32 teams. The guys each have a futures bet for division winners and break down how to spot value when odds get skewed towards one perennial favorite.…
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