Best Jeremy Minor Podcasts (2025)

1
“Interpretability Will Not Reliably Find Deceptive AI” by Neel Nanda 13:15

2h ago13:15

13:15

(Disclaimer: Post written in a personal capacity. These are personal hot takes and do not in any way represent my employer's views.) TL;DR: I do not think we will produce high reliability methods to evaluate or monitor the safety of superintelligent systems via current research paradigms, with interpretability or otherwise. Interpretability seems a…

1
Mark 13:9-13 - God's Sovereign Success 34:22

8h ago34:22

34:22

Send us a text In this episode, we’re diving into Mark 13:9-13, where Jesus warns of the cost of following Him yet fills us with hope through God’s sovereign success. Despite persecution and trials, the Gospel will be proclaimed among all nations, empowered by the Holy Spirit who gives us words to speak. We’ll explore how our salvation is secure in…

1
“Slowdown After 2028: Compute, RLVR Uncertainty, MoE Data Wall” by Vladimir_Nesov 11:33

6h ago11:33

11:33

It'll take until ~2050 to repeat the level of scaling that pretraining compute is experiencing this decade, as increasing funding can't sustain the current pace beyond ~2029 if AI doesn't deliver a transformative commercial success by then. Natural text data will also run out around that time, and there are signs that current methods of reasoning t…

1
Copland Clarinet Concerto 48:13

3d ago48:13

48:13

The commission for a new Clarinet Concerto from the great American composer Aaron Copland came from a rather unlikely source: Benny Goodman, the man known as the King of Swing. Goodman was one of the most famous and important jazz musicians of all time, but in the late 1940s, swing music was on the decline, and bebop had taken over. Goodman experim…

1
“Early Chinese Language Media Coverage of the AI 2027 Report: A Qualitative Analysis” by jeanne_, eeeee 27:35

3d ago27:35

27:35

In this blog post, we analyse how the recent AI 2027 forecast by Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, and Romeo Dean has been discussed across Chinese language platforms. We present: Our research methodology and synthesis of key findings across media artefacts A proposal for how censorship patterns may provide signal for t…

1
Mark 13:9-13 - Counting the Cost 33:26

7d ago33:26

33:26

Send us a text We’re diving into Mark 13:9-13, where Jesus lays out the real cost of following Him. In these verses, He warns His disciples of betrayal, persecution, and hatred for His name’s sake—challenges that echo through history and into today. Yet, amidst the suffering, we find encouragement: the Spirit empowers, the Gospel advances, and thos…

1
[Linkpost] “Jaan Tallinn’s 2024 Philanthropy Overview” by jaan 1:17

9d ago1:17

1:17

This is a link post. to follow up my philantropic pledge from 2020, i've updated my philanthropy page with the 2024 results. in 2024 my donations funded $51M worth of endpoint grants (plus $2.0M in admin overhead and philanthropic software development). this comfortably exceeded my 2024 commitment of $42M (20k times $2100.00 — the minimum price of …

1
“Impact, agency, and taste” by benkuhn 15:17

9d ago15:17

15:17

I’ve been thinking recently about what sets apart the people who’ve done the best work at Anthropic. You might think that the main thing that makes people really effective at research or engineering is technical ability, and among the general population that's true. Among people hired at Anthropic, though, we’ve restricted the range by screening fo…

1
[Linkpost] “To Understand History, Keep Former Population Distributions In Mind” by Arjun Panickssery 5:42

10d ago5:42

5:42

This is a link post. Guillaume Blanc has a piece in Works in Progress (I assume based on his paper) about how France's fertility declined earlier than in other European countries, and how its power waned as its relative population declined starting in the 18th century. In 1700, France had 20% of Europe's population (4% of the whole world population…

1
“AI-enabled coups: a small group could use AI to seize power” by Tom Davidson, Lukas Finnveden, rosehadshar 15:22

11d ago15:22

15:22

We’ve written a new report on the threat of AI-enabled coups. I think this is a very serious risk – comparable in importance to AI takeover but much more neglected. In fact, AI-enabled coups and AI takeover have pretty similar threat models. To see this, here's a very basic threat model for AI takeover: Humanity develops superhuman AI Superhuman AI…

1
“Accountability Sinks” by Martin Sustrik 28:50

12d ago28:50

28:50

Back in the 1990s, ground squirrels were briefly fashionable pets, but their popularity came to an abrupt end after an incident at Schiphol Airport on the outskirts of Amsterdam. In April 1999, a cargo of 440 of the rodents arrived on a KLM flight from Beijing, without the necessary import papers. Because of this, they could not be forwarded on to …

1
“Training AGI in Secret would be Unsafe and Unethical” by Daniel Kokotajlo 10:46

13d ago10:46

10:46

Subtitle: Bad for loss of control risks, bad for concentration of power risks I’ve had this sitting in my drafts for the last year. I wish I’d been able to release it sooner, but on the bright side, it’ll make a lot more sense to people who have already read AI 2027. There's a good chance that AGI will be trained before this decade is out. By AGI I…

1
Resurrection Day 2025 - The Horror, The Hope, The Herald, The Hero - Ezekiel 37 36:12

14d ago36:12

36:12

Send us a text Today, we’re diving into Ezekiel 37, the Valley of Dry Bones, to celebrate the glorious truth of Resurrection Day. This passage paints a vivid picture of humanity’s hopelessness—dead, dry bones scattered in a desolate valley—yet God’s power brings life where none exists. We’ll unpack the horror of our sin, the hope found in Christ’s …

1
“Why Should I Assume CCP AGI is Worse Than USG AGI?” by Tomás B. 1:15

14d ago1:15

1:15

Though, given my doomerism, I think the natsec framing of the AGI race is likely wrongheaded, let me accept the Dario/Leopold/Altman frame that AGI will be aligned to the national interest of a great power. These people seem to take as an axiom that a USG AGI will be better in some way than CCP AGI. Has anyone written justification for this assumpt…

1
“Surprising LLM reasoning failures make me think we still need qualitative breakthroughs for AGI” by Kaj_Sotala 35:51

17d ago35:51

35:51

Introduction Writing this post puts me in a weird epistemic position. I simultaneously believe that: The reasoning failures that I'll discuss are strong evidence that current LLM- or, more generally, transformer-based approaches won't get us AGI As soon as major AI labs read about the specific reasoning failures described here, they might fix them …

1
Steve Reich: Different Trains 52:30

17d ago52:30

52:30

Steve Reich, the great American contemporary composer, provided this program note about his work Different Trains: “The idea for the piece came from my childhood. When I was one year old my parents separated. My singer, song-writer mother moved to Los Angeles and my attorney father stayed in New York. Since they arranged divided custody, I travelle…

1
“Frontier AI Models Still Fail at Basic Physical Tasks: A Manufacturing Case Study” by Adam Karvonen 21:00

19d ago21:00

21:00

Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, recently worried about a world where only 30% of jobs become automated, leading to class tensions between the automated and non-automated. Instead, he predicts that nearly all jobs will be automated simultaneously, putting everyone "in the same boat." However, based on my experience spanning AI research (including fi…

1
Mark 13:7-8 - Do Not be Alarmed 32:22

21d ago32:22

32:22

Send us a text This week, we’re diving into Mark 13:7-8, where Jesus speaks to His disciples about the signs of the last days—wars, earthquakes, famines, and more. These events might sound alarming, but Christ’s words are clear: “Do not be alarmed.” We’ll unpack why He calls us to stand firm, how these trials point us to a fallen world in need of a…

1
“Negative Results for SAEs On Downstream Tasks and Deprioritising SAE Research (GDM Mech Interp Team Progress Update #2)” by Neel Nanda, lewis smith, Senthooran Rajamanoharan, Arthur Conmy, Callum McDougall ... 57:32

23d ago57:32

57:32

Audio note: this article contains 31 uses of latex notation, so the narration may be difficult to follow. There's a link to the original text in the episode description. Lewis Smith*, Sen Rajamanoharan*, Arthur Conmy, Callum McDougall, Janos Kramar, Tom Lieberum, Rohin Shah, Neel Nanda * = equal contribution The following piece is a list of snippet…

1
[Linkpost] “Playing in the Creek” by Hastings 4:12

22d ago4:12

4:12

This is a link post. When I was a really small kid, one of my favorite activities was to try and dam up the creek in my backyard. I would carefully move rocks into high walls, pile up leaves, or try patching the holes with sand. The goal was just to see how high I could get the lake, knowing that if I plugged every hole, eventually the water would …

1
“Thoughts on AI 2027” by Max Harms 40:27

24d ago40:27

40:27

This is part of the MIRI Single Author Series. Pieces in this series represent the beliefs and opinions of their named authors, and do not claim to speak for all of MIRI. Okay, I'm annoyed at people covering AI 2027 burying the lede, so I'm going to try not to do that. The authors predict a strong chance that all humans will be (effectively) dead i…

1
“Short Timelines don’t Devalue Long Horizon Research” by Vladimir_Nesov 2:10

25d ago2:10

2:10

Short AI takeoff timelines seem to leave no time for some lines of alignment research to become impactful. But any research rebalances the mix of currently legible research directions that could be handed off to AI-assisted alignment researchers or early autonomous AI researchers whenever they show up. So even hopelessly incomplete research agendas…

1
“Alignment Faking Revisited: Improved Classifiers and Open Source Extensions” by John Hughes, abhayesian, Akbir Khan, Fabien Roger 41:04

25d ago41:04

41:04

In this post, we present a replication and extension of an alignment faking model organism: Replication: We replicate the alignment faking (AF) paper and release our code. Classifier Improvements: We significantly improve the precision and recall of the AF classifier. We release a dataset of ~100 human-labelled examples of AF for which our classifi…

1
“METR: Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Tasks” by Zach Stein-Perlman 11:09

27d ago11:09

11:09

Summary: We propose measuring AI performance in terms of the length of tasks AI agents can complete. We show that this metric has been consistently exponentially increasing over the past 6 years, with a doubling time of around 7 months. Extrapolating this trend predicts that, in under five years, we will see AI agents that can independently complet…

1
“Why Have Sentence Lengths Decreased?” by Arjun Panickssery 9:08

1M ago9:08

9:08

“In the loveliest town of all, where the houses were white and high and the elms trees were green and higher than the houses, where the front yards were wide and pleasant and the back yards were bushy and worth finding out about, where the streets sloped down to the stream and the stream flowed quietly under the bridge, where the lawns ended in orc…

1
“AI 2027: What Superintelligence Looks Like” by Daniel Kokotajlo, Thomas Larsen, elifland, Scott Alexander, Jonas V, romeo 54:30

1M ago54:30

54:30

In 2021 I wrote what became my most popular blog post: What 2026 Looks Like. I intended to keep writing predictions all the way to AGI and beyond, but chickened out and just published up till 2026. Well, it's finally time. I'm back, and this time I have a team with me: the AI Futures Project. We've written a concrete scenario of what we think the f…

1
“OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux” by Zvi 18:01

1M ago18:01

18:01

Back when the OpenAI board attempted and failed to fire Sam Altman, we faced a highly hostile information environment. The battle was fought largely through control of the public narrative, and the above was my attempt to put together what happened.My conclusion, which I still believe, was that Sam Altman had engaged in a variety of unacceptable co…

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