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More than just your typical market analysis podcast, EFGAM'S CIO Moz Afzal goes Beyond the benchmark, delving into current topics and global trends with guests and experts from within EFG and further afield. The podcast is released fortnightly.
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Friend of the podcast Dan Clifton returns to Beyond the Benchmark to help make sense of the ongoing Trump tariff saga and his ‘big beautiful bill’. Trump’s economic trials and tribulations are also set against the backdrop of a radical shift in the way the US conducts foreign affairs, as signalled on his recent trip to Qatar in a speech which has b…
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José Pedro Almeida, Executive in Residence at INSEAD, explains how he helps governments, investors and businesses lead AI and digital transformations, with a particular focus on healthcare. From how to get CEO buy-in to the dos (and don’ts) of measuring success, Jose explains the human role in a GenAI enabled business. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://…
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What role do global platforms such as Meta have in managing misinformation? What is the difference between misinformation and fake news, and what impact does it have on society? What lessons has Meta learnt from the challenging geopolitical environment of the past few years? Moz talks to Tom Bonsundy O’Bryan, Head of misinformation policy for EMEA …
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The Trump administration has an infamously dim view on sustainability, but what does this really mean for the landscape of sustainable investing? Melanie Beyeler, Senior Portfolio Manager at New Capital, talks to Moz about why it’s not necessarily all bad news for the segment, and what sustainable investing opportunities may arise out of the new gl…
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In this special episode of Beyond the Benchmark, the tables are turned as EFG’s Global Chief Investment Officer, Moz Afzal, steps into the hot seat. Fresh off being named CIO of the Year at the 2025 WealthBriefing European Awards, Moz shares insights into his journey from junior analyst to managing $25 billion in assets. He discusses the key challe…
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Is it really the case that the first to invent a technology is the one who benefits from it in the long term? Is it a myth that we can accurately predict the outcomes of new innovation? In this final episode of the 3 part Laws of Technology series, Nathan Furr dispels two oft-held but statistically untrue myths about human innovation. This episode …
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Chinese generative AI contender, DeepSeek, caused huge waves in markets across the globe at the end of January. Investors and analysts were caught flat footed after the Chinese company, operating on inferior hardware, revealed a generative AI comparable to leading Western models while claiming that development costs had been a fraction of their Ame…
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Will Trump successfully cut a deal with Russia on the Ukraine conflict? Will we see the emergence of a new great power paradigm? Where does an aggressive 'America First' policy leave the rest of the world? The next decade is beset by geopolitical questions following great change in Washington. Against this backdrop, Gideon Rachman, Chief Foreign Af…
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Donald Trump's election victory brings with it a plethora of unknowns about the next four years. After a highly unusual election cycle, change is on the horizon, from a reordering of the existing power structures of the West to tariffs on China, from Elon Musk's DOGE to deregulation. In this special episode, Dan Clifton, Head of Policy Research at …
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Economic resilience, shifting policies, and global uncertainties set the tone for 2024. In this episode, Moz and Daniel reflect on a year marked by strong US growth, challenges in Europe, and the lingering effects of Covid stimulus. They share their perspectives on the key factors shaping the outlook for 2025, from trade tariffs to potential stimul…
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In this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Moz is joined by Jeff deGraaf, a leading technical analyst from RenMac, for an insightful discussion on 2024’s market performance and opportunities in 2025, as well as touching on China’s resilience and the global influence of the US dollar. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Jeff deGraaf…
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Breaking companies down into modular systems that drive value and understanding their self-reinforcing cycles are key in navigating the technological landscape. Nathan Furr takes us through two laws of technology in the next of this three-part series, providing examples of how today’s leaders are utilising these elements to their advantage. This ep…
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Polls on a knife edge, multiple assassination attempts, a convicted felon running for president, a candidate campaigning for just 100 days pre-election; these are just a few of the reasons this US election cycle is unlike anything we have ever seen. Thankfully, Dan Clifton, Head of Policy Research at Strategas, is here to bring some clarity to the …
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As central banks around the world appear to be successfully getting a handle on inflation, we look at the changing market narrative going into the final quarter of 2024. Labour market numbers start to take precedence in shaping market sentiment, while the US gears up for an election that, despite intense volatility, is surprisingly normal in its im…
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Does the conventional wisdom around technology and business really hold up to scrutiny? Nathan Furr guides us through the 6 Laws of Technology, each law turning a piece of conventional thinking on its head when it comes to how companies deploy technology for the best outcomes. This is part 1 of a 3 part series, each episode covering 2 of the laws i…
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As inflation across the globe falls back closer to Central Bank target levels, Central Bankers face a new question: how quickly and how deeply should interest rates be cut? EFG's Chief Economist Stefan Gerlach joins Moz to help understand how different Central Banks are plotting this course. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest, St…
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Did investors overreact to the recent equity market sell off? This week Gerry Fowler, Head of European Equity Strategy at UBS, talks Daniel Murray through his current view on the equity landscape and recent volatility. Surprising opportunities in European equities, China's EV dominance and the US Consumer are all in focus in this episode. Our host,…
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An attempted assassination, a new Democratic candidate and a controversial choice of running mate are just some of the reasons this US election is shaping up to be one of the most tumultuous in recent memory. Sarah Bianchi, Senior Managing Director at Evercore ISI and former deputy US Trade Representative helps Moz understand the various moving par…
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With the US economy so far experiencing a 'soft landing' scenario, Wolfe Research's Stephanie Roth discusses the current state of play for the world's largest economy and the emerging risk factors for the year ahead. With the Fed looking at continued rate cuts, and a presidential election only months away, it's all eyes on the US economy. Our host,…
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As we look ahead to Q3 of 2024, the interface between politics and economics comes into sharp relief. With around 49% of the global population going to the polls in 2024, we explore the potential fiscal and market impacts these elections have had or threaten to have over the coming months. From the UK's new Labour government, to the fiery Trump-Bid…
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In this special episode on the regulation of AI, and the opportunities and investment themes that accompany the nascent technology, we listen in to highlights from key presentations at the recent Gamma Foundation Summit in Rome on the 29th May. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Luciano Floridi Professor and Founding Director of…
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Saj-nicole Joni, renowned as the first female professor of mathematics at MIT and a pivotal executive in Microsoft's formative years, now dedicates her expertise to advising top CEOs as a 'CEO whisperer.' With a wealth of experience in leadership and innovation, she helps high-performing leaders navigate complex challenges, make strategic decisions…
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Not many people can say they are a published author and Global Head of Trust at an international banking group, but Head of EFG Wealth Management Julie Collins can. Moz talks to the Jersey-based Julie on her career and writing. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Julie Collins, Global Head of Trust and Managing Director of EFG We…
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The boom in the Artificial Intelligence value chain over the past 18 months has made stocks such as NVIDIA household names and delivered significant returns for well placed investors. However, as AI usage and commercialisation evolves and matures, who will the next winners be in this rapidly changing space? Moz talks with Jonathan Rawicz and Henry …
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Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q2 2024 Insight document. The macro A-team come together to talk through the thinking behind the publication. The worst predictions for the state of the global economy fail to materialise once again, while the markets wake up to the new reality of a higher interest rate environment that's here to sta…
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While Japan and China have received a lot of attention in recent years for their unfavourable demographics, James Pomeroy, Global Economist at HSBC, points to research showing that much of the world is facing similar conditions. This is a fact that goes largely unreported yet could have enormous impacts on the global economy. Our host, Moz Afzal: h…
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Is there a 'no-landing' scenario for the global economy? Moz talks to Chris Senyek, Chief Investment Strategist at Wolfe Research about the unexpected strength of the US and global economy, with inflation numbers going in the right direction and the market bull run extending its 18 month run, repeatedly proving sceptics wrong. Our host, Moz Afzal: …
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In the world of Healthcare, few recent innovations have caused as much of a stir as the emergent GLP-1 agonist drugs, which have proven to have a material impact on weight loss. In this episode Moz is joined by New Capital's Mike Clulow and Chelsea Wiater to talk through what GLP-1s are, how they work and the potentially far reaching impacts they m…
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This week we dive into the little-known world of Catastrophe Bonds, a sub category of Insurance Linked Strategies, exploring how they work and their potential upsides and downsides. To help understand this unique instrument, Moz is joined by Rhodri Morris, Head of ILS Analytics at Twelve Capital. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our gues…
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As the US economy eyes a soft landing with inflationary pressures easing, Moz talks to Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research about when the Fed will be cutting rates. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Neil Dutta, Partner, Head of Economic Research, Renaissance Macro Research https://www.renmac.com/…
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At the end of January 2024, Moz Afzal and Stefan Gerlach attended a series of meetings with public and private sector stakeholders in Singapore and Hong Kong. Top of mind was the strength of the Chinese economy, its housing market and what the future may hold for the largest market in Asia. In this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Moz and Stefan re…
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In this special episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we revisit a talk from our Investment Summit on 9th January 2024. Dan Clifton, Partner and Head of Policy Research for Strategas Securities. In an unprecedented year of elections across the world, the US presidential race looms largest. What factors really impact the outcome? Does anyone actually wan…
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Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q1 2024 Insight document. The macro A-team come together to talk through the thinking behind the publication, as the general consensus outlook for the world economy indicates a soft landing and declining inflation. In the longer term, important cross currents such as the drive to net zero, changing g…
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AI, war in Ukraine, banking failures and the battle to control inflation have dominated headlines and, to some degree, financial markets in 2023. To cap the year off, this was followed by an historic market rally in the final quarter. Moz and Daniel take a look back at the year that was 2023 and offer some thoughts about what this means for the sta…
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Recorded 14th December 2023. Stefan Gerlach and Daniel Murray recap key findings from their recent trip to Washington DC, shedding light on US policymakers' thinking on the upcoming US election, the risk of recession, CPI data and more. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO and Head of Research: https://bit.ly/3NBVBC2 Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief…
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Recorded 1st November 2023. Jeff deGraaf, Chairman and Head of Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research shares his thoughts on current market sentiment and seasonality plays going into the winter. Jeff shares what RenMac's Market Cycle Clock indicators are saying, balanced against a more bearish yield impact model and a surprisingly strong …
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Our host, Moz, joins Chris Tucci, an Imperial College Business School professor of digital strategy and innovation, on an insightful journey into the impact of AI on digital innovation. Delve into AI's potential effects on employment and its promising applications in marketing, video game coding, and media. Discover Chris's AI Applications and Inno…
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Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q4 2023 Insights document. We've been pleasantly surprised by the resilience of certain economies this year, especially the US, Brazil, and India. Our team, including Paul Temperton, Stefan Gerlach, Daniel Murray, GianLuigi Mandruzzato, Joaquin Thul, and Sam Jochim, discuss these economic patterns an…
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On this episode of Beyond The Benchmark, we dive into the mind of a remarkable neuroscientist, Pascal Kaufmann. His academic prowess ranges from ancient Greek and Latin studies to his groundbreaking exploration of the connection between brains and robots. Pascal's ventures StarMind and Mindfire are pushing the boundaries of artificial intelligence …
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This week on Beyond the Benchmark Moz is joined by Melanie Beyeler, Fund Manager of the New Capital Climate Transition Fund. Melanie explains both her passion for the strategy, and the proprietary analysis process that the team uses to cut through the noise and select the right stocks for the Fund. As the conversation progresses, she details exampl…
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On this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we welcomed Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert from Strategas to dissect the complexities of the US economy and interest rates. They offer their insights into the current inflation problem, the challenges faced by central banks, and the balancing act between supply and demand. Listen in as we discuss the risk…
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With Daniel Murray hosting the podcast this week, we welcome EFGAM's Head of Alternatives, Jerome Berset to the show. Jerome explains the precipitous fall from favour hedge funds faced in the aftermath of the Financial Crisis, followed by the return of interesting new opportunities in the space today. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO & Global He…
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Join Moz as we uncover the reality of the 'white collar recession' and how it's affecting our economy, with expert insights from Dennis DeBusschere of 22V Research. We shed light on the trends in layoffs and unemployment claims, along with the role of the big seven tech stocks in influencing investor sentiment. We also navigate the challenges portf…
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With the theme of 'finding a new balance' in Q3 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. From central bankers' meetings to pandemic resilience, they delve into returning inflation to its ideal state, discuss the Eurozone's economic challenges, the Bank of England's inflation strategy, and the impact of Brexit o…
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Artificial Intelligence has not been far from investors' thoughts since late 2022, when OpenAI's ChatGPT became widely available in its open test environment. In this episode Moz talks through some of the opportunities in the value chain of this burgeoning sector with Jonathan Rawicz, Senior Portfolio Manager at New Capital. From cloud services, GP…
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EFG's Chief Economist Stefan Gerlach shares his views on how monetary policy tightening may be reaching its peak, the challenges that still remain in the global economy and what the lagged impacts of 12 months of interest rate raises might be, and when they would take effect. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Ch…
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Larry Jeddeloh is the Editor of The Institutional Strategist, and Founder of TIS Group. In this wide ranging conversation, Larry draws upon his experience of conversations with an enormous network of contacts, covering the long term potential weakness of the dollar, AI disruption, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the worrying and persistent …
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With a quartet of concerns dominating Q2 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. Financial stability, sticky inflation, growth and geopolitical risks are all under the microscope, with an interesting parallel to the 'long eighteenth century' from 1689 to 1815. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our gu…
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Jens Larsen, Director of Global Macro-Geoeconomics at Eurasia Group, talks us through some of the primary Geoeconomic risks that Eurasia Group are currently tracking. Against the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine war, relations between the US and China have been thrown into sharp relief, while the global economy is still reeling from the impacts of th…
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Mansueto Almeida, Chief Economist at BTG Pactual, joins Moz to talk about the Brazilian economy and the current state of the financial markets. They reflect on this past year's impact of political policy from Brazil's new government, the positive rate of growth in GDP, and the outlook for future investment opportunities. Our host, Moz Afzal: https:…
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