EP12 – Foresight and Risk: Embracing Unpredictability with Roger Spitz (Part 1 - CPD Accredited)

RiskMasters

"Risk management is not about predicting the future, but about preparing for it." – Roger Spitz

In this CPD episode of RiskMasters, host Julien Haye welcomes Roger Spitz, a global leader in foresight and strategic risk intelligence. Roger, the founder of Techistential and The Disruptive Futures Institute, discusses his career pivot from investment banking to futures studies and how foresight can transform risk management.

With extensive experience in mergers and acquisitions, Roger now focuses on preparing organisations for deep uncertainty rather than attempting to predict the future. His insights on complexity, decision-making, and resilience are critical for risk managers navigating an unpredictable world.

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In this edition of RiskMasters, you will learn:

· Career Evolution & Risk Leadership: Roger’s journey from investment banking to foresight and his lessons in risk-taking and adaptability.

· The Role of Foresight in Risk Management: Why foresight is about preparation, not prediction, and how organisations can shift their mindset.

· Uncertainty vs. Risk: Understanding the spectrum between risk, uncertainty, and deep uncertainty, and why traditional risk models fail in a nonlinear world.

· Scenario Planning vs. Sensitivity Analysis: Why many organisations mistakenly treat sensitivity analysis as strategic foresight.

· Decision-Making in Complex Environments: How executives should rethink governance, leadership, and resilience in a world where rare events are becoming the norm.

More about Roger Spitz:

Roger Spitz is a visionary futurist and venture capitalist. Before founding the influential Disruptive Futures Institute in San Francisco, he served as Global Head of Technology M&A at a major investment bank, advising on transactions totalling over $25 billion.

As President of Techistential, the preeminent foresight practice, Roger advises CEOs and boards on strategy under uncertainty and sustainable value creation. Roger is a bestselling author of five books and his frameworks are widely adopted by leading organisations worldwide.

Building on his bestselling books and global recognition as the leading authority on systemic disruption, Roger Spitz is famous for his unique keynotes drawn from his extensive real-world experience. He is the author of Disrupt with Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World.

At the heart of Roger's transformative keynotes is the power of agency and informed optimism in shaping our futures, even in the face of unpredictability

Find out more about Roger Spitz:

https://www.linkedin.com/in/rogerspitz/

Discover related risk management topics and RiskMasters podcasts:

RiskMasters EP4: Gray Rhino on Risk Management and Decision-Making with Michele Wucker

From Risk Management to Risk Mastery: A Guide to Making Better Decisions

Risk Perception: Balancing Risk Awareness and Risk Aversion

Download your CPD Certificate:

Link: ⁠https://thecpd.group/podcast⁠

Accreditation number: #800054