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Future Forecasting: What’s Science, What’s Guesswork? With Lars Tvede and Daniel Kafer

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Manage episode 482087647 series 3616157
Content provided by Daniel Kafer. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Daniel Kafer or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.

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How to Predict the Future (Without Guessing)

In this episode of the SuperTrends Podcast, Lars Tvede and Daniel Kaeper dive into the art and science of future forecasting. Why are some predictions incredibly accurate, while others turn out to be pure guesswork? We explore why politics, timing, and complexity can make short-term forecasts tricky—even when long-term trends seem obvious. You’ll learn how to separate solid trends from speculative noise and discover which areas of the future you can trust—and which ones you probably shouldn’t.

Digital Disruption with Geoff Nielson
Discover how technology is reshaping our lives and livelihoods.
Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

Everyday AI: Your daily guide to grown with Generative AI
Can't keep up with AI? We've got you. Everyday AI helps you keep up and get ahead.
Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

  continue reading

Chapters

1. Future Forecasting: What’s Science, What’s Guesswork? With Lars Tvede and Daniel Kafer (00:00:00)

2. [Ad] Digital Disruption with Geoff Nielson (00:28:03)

3. (Cont.) Future Forecasting: What’s Science, What’s Guesswork? With Lars Tvede and Daniel Kafer (00:28:42)

4. [Ad] Everyday AI: Your daily guide to grown with Generative AI (00:37:18)

5. (Cont.) Future Forecasting: What’s Science, What’s Guesswork? With Lars Tvede and Daniel Kafer (00:38:07)

29 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 482087647 series 3616157
Content provided by Daniel Kafer. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Daniel Kafer or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.

Send us a text

How to Predict the Future (Without Guessing)

In this episode of the SuperTrends Podcast, Lars Tvede and Daniel Kaeper dive into the art and science of future forecasting. Why are some predictions incredibly accurate, while others turn out to be pure guesswork? We explore why politics, timing, and complexity can make short-term forecasts tricky—even when long-term trends seem obvious. You’ll learn how to separate solid trends from speculative noise and discover which areas of the future you can trust—and which ones you probably shouldn’t.

Digital Disruption with Geoff Nielson
Discover how technology is reshaping our lives and livelihoods.
Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

Everyday AI: Your daily guide to grown with Generative AI
Can't keep up with AI? We've got you. Everyday AI helps you keep up and get ahead.
Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

  continue reading

Chapters

1. Future Forecasting: What’s Science, What’s Guesswork? With Lars Tvede and Daniel Kafer (00:00:00)

2. [Ad] Digital Disruption with Geoff Nielson (00:28:03)

3. (Cont.) Future Forecasting: What’s Science, What’s Guesswork? With Lars Tvede and Daniel Kafer (00:28:42)

4. [Ad] Everyday AI: Your daily guide to grown with Generative AI (00:37:18)

5. (Cont.) Future Forecasting: What’s Science, What’s Guesswork? With Lars Tvede and Daniel Kafer (00:38:07)

29 episodes

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