Staying Disciplined in a Risk-On Market: Equity Rally, Crypto Speculation & Long-Term Investing | AWM Insights #205

AWM Insights Financial and Investment News

This episode of AWM Insights drills into what it takes to stay disciplined when markets demand your attention and speculation is the talk of the day. Our hosts, Justin Dyer and Mena Hanna, break down the latest equity rally, spotlight a shifting fear-to-greed cycle, and take listeners through real stories—one investor who mistimed the market and another convinced he’d outsmarted it.

With clarity and AWM’s signature team mindset, the discussion unpacks crypto headlines, the pitfalls of hope-driven bets, and why long-term investing is about preparation, not prediction.

Key Highlights

• Analysis of recent performance in US and global equity markets and emerging risk-on sentiment
• Discussion of shifting investor emotion from fear to greed and how this cycle impacts decision-making
• Two investor anecdotes: one who quickly exited public equities during uncertainty, only to miss the recovery, and another who placed a lucky single-stock bet—skill or just fortune?
• The discipline imperative: “your scorecard...is not going to look too hot if you react to every single event that happens”
• Building the right team: “if you try starting a quarterback without a helmet, that's probably not gonna go too well. You'll probably have an Aaron Rodgers situation there where the player plays for four downs, and that's absolutely it”
• Clear-eyed view on speculative investing, especially in crypto and Bitcoin: “hope is not an investment strategy” and speculation as a “weekend hobby”
• AWM’s perspective on blockchain: investing with a “picks and shovels approach” through private markets and companies using the technology

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