Iran v. Israel: Who's Firepower Can Last Longer?

Daniel Davis Deep Dive

In the early morning, 23 Iranian missiles struck various Israeli targets, continuing a pattern of escalating missile exchanges between the two countries. Both Iran and Israel are hitting each other’s infrastructure, including nuclear sites, IRGC facilities, and energy and scientific institutions.

Despite Western media framing Israel as the dominant power, the analysis suggests that Iran is more resilient than portrayed. Iran can endure heavy strikes, while Israel must achieve specific military goals to claim victory. The conflict is likened to two heavyweights exchanging body blows, with both sides suffering significant damage.

A key point discussed is that air power alone may no longer be sufficient for a decisive outcome. Even U.S. involvement may not guarantee success, due to the sheer volume of Iran’s enriched nuclear material—even a 90% destruction rate could still leave Iran with enough for a nuclear weapon.

This may explain Donald Trump’s sudden shift from threatening unconditional surrender to signaling openness to diplomacy. It’s unclear whether this is a genuine change in strategy or just a pause to build more military force.

Meanwhile, Israeli damage is more severe than publicly acknowledged, with suppression of images and reports inside Israel. Recent Iranian strikes have:

Damaged a major Israeli science institute (June 16 & 20),

Hit a key research facility,

And crippled Israel’s fuel refining capability, creating a serious fuel deficit that could impact both civilian life and military operations.

The speaker warns that Israel is in a more vulnerable position than widely believed, and the narrative of Iranian weakness may be dangerously misleading.

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