'Dangerously reasonable' analysis on politics, science, and particularly the bit where they bump into each other. I aim to give an independent, fact-focused, non-ideological take on the issues that matter.
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Faultline: Seismic Podcasts from the Exploratorium
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Lawrence Pintak is the host of American Fault/lines (www.AmericanFaultlines.com), a ten-part series of post-inauguration programs focusing on issues that divide American society and divide America from the world. The series airs Sundays on FM News 101 KXL Portland, OR and is available online. Pintak is an award-winning former CBS News Middle East correspondent, founding dean of the Edward R. Murrow College of Communication at Washington State University (2009-2016), Senior Non-Resident Fello ...
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The making of Classic Scottish pop and rock albums with musician Davie Scott.
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The Worldwide Leader in TV Discussion
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Fiona Hill was President Trump's Russia advisor in his first term - back when he had advisors who actually knew their subject. In an interview today with the Telegraph, she talked about the moment where she saw how Trump was literally terrified by Putin, and understood how this affected the way that he dealt with him then, and likely still does in …
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A remarkable feature of the 2024 presidential election was just how much Gen Z voters swung towards Trump, particularly young men. There's a popular narrative as to why that happened, which right now is the one that best fits the facts - and which becomes all the more intriguing because recent polls have suggested that this is a process that is now…
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Why Insane Trump Tariffs Against EU And Apple Will Backfire
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16:40Just when it seemed that things might be stabilising just a bit, Trump posted onto social media and suddenly we're right back into the throes of new trade chaos. A 50% tariff against the European Union. A 25% tariff against Apple iphones that are manufactured in India. The reasoning behind the moves is as fantastical as all the tariff stuff has bee…
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The Crucial Lessons From Biden's Decline America Needs To Learn
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18:50Books have been landing in recent weeks opening up windows into the behind-the-scenes action around the cognitive decline of US president Joe Biden, and how the messy events of his nomination, and then withdrawal, in the 2024 campaign played out. We're left with a disturbing outcome. We could all see that Biden was not in great shape all the way ba…
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Trump Is CLUELESS On What He Just Did To Himself
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19:05So we had another White House Struggle Session this week, this time with Cyril Ramaphosa, the President of South Africa. President Trump's ambush, watched silently by Elon Musk, unloaded a stream of accusations based on social media disinformation that made the United States look, once again, utterly foolish in the direct view of the world. By doin…
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Elon Musk Admits It’s Over – No More Political Money
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15:22We've known Elon Musk was on his way out for several weeks, but yesterday he added the final straw - he said he was going to cut any political spending right down. This is the final end of his political adventure, because it was only his potentially unlimited amounts of cash that gave him leverage over the GOP, and that kept him useful to the Trump…
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The Truth About Trump and Putin's Big Phone Call
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15:36US President Trump and Russian President Putin held their direct call - the one that was supposed to see Trump pushing Putin into embracing a 30-day ceasefire in the Ukraine war. The outcome seemed not to be much in doubt - it was pretty well known that Putin was not planning to cede to such demands. The only question was whether he could play Trum…
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The UK EU Brexit Reset Deal - Did It Blow Up UK Politics?
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11:47The UK and the EU announced a big post-Brexit trade deal today. For some, it was a common sense shift from the original terms of the Brexit deal to make trade a little easier, and to facilitate much needed defence co-operation in the face of Trump's disruption of European defence realities. For others, it was a total betrayal of Brexit, and the rea…
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Former US Ambassador To Ukraine SLAMS Trump Betrayal
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12:41Bridget Brink was the US Ambassador to Ukraine during the three years post-invasion where the United States was standing relatively firm alongside its allies. Supporting the invaded party, opposing the aggressor. A month ago, she stepped down - and now she has come out with a blistering attack on the Trump Administration's policies towards Ukraine.…
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Trump Ambassador Attacks Canada For Being Mean To America
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13:06So Trump's attempted interference in Canada backfired, and the Liberals' Mark Carney won the recent election. The question is - now what? Can Canada negotiate down those tariffs and establish a relationship with the US that puts Trump's annexing ambitions out of contention? And can it do that while doing what Carney said it must - diversifying its …
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Trump’s Insane Bid To Put Ex FBI Director In Jail - For Free Speech
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14:44Every relevant senior member of the Trump cabinet has come out with an attack on former FBI Director James Comey - a truly astonishing exercise in gaslighting to swear that something nobody had previously suggested was the case, is self-evidently the case and it means that a pretty innocent social media post Comey put onto his Instagram feed was re…
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Why Trump REALLY Lifted Sanctions On Syria
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14:08President Trump has had perhaps his best week so far of his second term, being hosted by some of the richest countries of the world. He has also been making jaws drop with bold moves, particularly in meeting the new leader of Syria Ahmed al-Sharaa, regardless of his recent status as a jihadist, and also announcing that he would be lifting sanctions…
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How Putin, China And The World Are Learning How To Play Trump
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16:50It used to be that the United States, as the dominant world power, was the most powerful driving force behind world events, for better or for worse. It made mistakes sometimes, but it was a player. Now, with Trump in charge, the world has been learning that it has to manipulate him in order to get what it wants. Through flattery, or offering a deal…
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Why Trump’s MAGA Base Is FURIOUS With Him
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11:50We've been taking it as read that Trump's MAGA base would stay unquestioningly loyal to him no matter what. But that support is starting to splinter. One half are noticing the blatant corruption, and they aren't happy because they believed in 'draining the swamp'. The other half are caught in a purity spiral that nobody can survive, and they are mo…
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How Trump's Lying Is Making The Whole World Stupid
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16:51Yes, yes, we all know Trump lies - so what? Well, the point is that since the US is now bullying the entire world on trade, as well as using its leverage over various countries in other ways - this has changed the entire dynamic. World leaders are starting to repeat Trump's lies back to him. They are starting to attest in public that his (highly un…
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Why Trump Is Already Panicking About The Midterms
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13:12Trump only just completed his first hundred days, so it's a bit early to be thinking about it all ending, right? Except, by all reports, Trump is already obsessed about the looming midterm elections. Why? Because if he really HAS accepted that he can't run for a third term, which is what he says, then he sure wants to be able to make the most of hi…
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Why Trump LOST To China Even Before Talks Started
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11:39Having created a major impasse between the US and China with mutual tariff obliteration, Trump has been trying to work out how the US can extract itself from at least some of the self-inflicted harm. Since neither leader will call the other, second level executives from each side are meeting in Switzerland this weekend to conduct exploratory pre-ne…
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US Caught Spying On Greenland To Prepare For Takeover
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11:48Trump may have (reluctantly) accepted that Canada is not going to fall into his embrace, but he is going full speed ahead in his quest to get Greenland. This was evident when he sent JD Vance to visit there, and it was evident this week when the Wall Street Journal revealed that US spies have been tasked with covert surveillance on the island. Thei…
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How Trump Bullied Tariffed Nations To Accept Musk’s Starlink
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10:38On Trump's so-called 'Liberation Day', a number of countries suddenly discovered that they were to be whacked with massive tariffs from the United States - including some of the poorest countries in the world. They quickly set about trying to win favour with the Trump regime, to get to negotiate their way out of a hole they'd been thrust into for n…
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Why Trump Will Fail — But What Comes After Will Be Worse
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17:12Whether in his stated terms, the policy changes he aims to make, or in the Project 2025 actions he's taking to bring in an autocratic system to the US, there are a number of reasons why President Trump is almost sure to fail. Yes, he can do damage in the mean time, but he won't succeed. The real challenge will be what comes afterwards - either the …
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The Trump-Style Farage Revolution Coming To The UK?
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16:45In elections in Canada and Australia, we saw figures who had been even lightly associated with Donald Trump's MAGA movement losing, whereas before Trump had returned to office, they had been leading. But in the UK, Nigel Farage's Reform UK did the exact opposite - dominating the local elections and Parliamentary by-election. His aim is to break the…
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Trump’s America Declares A WORLD WAR Against Truth
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12:56How do we know if the economy is doing well? There are reliable statistics for that. How do we know what's happening with the climate? There is reliable data for that. How do we know what are the worldwide energy trends? That are analytical reports for that. What if all of those statistics, the data, the analyses, get wiped out and replaced by the …
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Will Ukraine Rain (Missiles) on Putin’s Parade?
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11:16Russia's President Putin is gearing up for the annual grand military parade in Moscow. This year is a big one because it's the 80th anniversary of the end of World War 2, and bigger names from the subset of the geopolitical world prepared to be seen in Russia are going to be attending. But Ukraine has rejected Putin's offer of a 3-day ceasefire dur…
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Trump’s Deportation Blitz Is Failing Badly In The Courts - Why It Matters
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19:38On day one, he declared several emergencies. Later, he backed this up by invoking the Alien Enemies Act. This has been an ongoing and deliberate push by President Trump to extend the powers of the executive, to overcome the resistance of the courts, and hence to set up what is referred to as a legal abyss. A situation existing alongside the legal s…
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The MAGA-Inspired Populist Surge That’s Changing Everything
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18:41In some places, such as Canada and maybe this weekend Australia, populist-right politicians, although they clearly show the signs of being influenced by Trump's MAGA movement, have been disavowing the link as their populations turn against it. In other places, more established figures on the populist and far-right, are less mired by the association…
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Ukraine’s Minerals Deal with the US: Hidden Costs, False Promises?
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17:13So Ukraine has finally signed the Minerals Deal with the Trump Administration. And news commentators are full of speculation about how much this deal now has changed Trump's orientation with the Ukraine war, how much it will translate into security guarantees for Ukraine in the future, and whether it means Trump is finally ready to get tough with R…
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Tariffs Chaos Shrinks US Economy - And This Is Just The Start
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13:39The news arrived today that the US economy has dramatically cratered - shrinking in the first quarter of the year, whereas it had been strongly growing before. It is fairly clear with the breakdown that this is due to the short-term impact of tariffs, and that it's just the first sign of the scale of the disruption being caused, which will turn int…
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The Trump Spoiler Move That May Be Carney's First Big Test
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11:16Mark Carney's Liberal Party has won the Canadian election. It was close, but still extraordinary that he was able to turn around the massive deficit the party originally had with Pierre Poilièvre's Conservatives. And he did so facing a barrage of social media disinformation as we've seen in other MAGA-involved elections. Now, he faces a Trump who r…
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What Everyone Missed About This Iconic Moment
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12:41The big story about the Pope's funeral - bigger than the event itself on some measures - was a 15 minute one-on-one conversation between Presidents Trump and Zelensky - captured in a photo that is already on its way to becoming one of those iconic images. Commentators have been speculating that maybe in that 15 minutes, Zelensky was able to turn Tr…
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Why Trump Is Suddenly Lying About Talking To China
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9:57We're used to the idea that Trump lies a lot - I mean, even his supporters know this, although they will use euphemisms to make it sound ok. But WHY has Trump suddenly started telling people that Xi Jinping has called him to discuss a deal on tariffs? It's clearly not true. It's clearly infuriating the Chinese and making it less likely they give hi…
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Why Elon Musk’s DOGE has been a dismal failure
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14:15Musk's time with DOGE is coming to an end - or at least will be massively dialled back. But the fact is that the exercise, which promised so much, seems to have ended up a failure on every measure. It failed to save the government money - indeed, it may have cost more than it saved. It failed to make government more efficient. It may have made gove…
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Trump's tariff blunders blow up in his face
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17:30It's official. Trump's tariffs on the world, but especially on China, are making the whole world poorer. Trump wants China to make a deal - but he set the terms of the negotiation in such a way as to make it certain they won't respond. Meanwhile, the punitive tariffs Trump has imposed on China, and the corresponding equal tariffs placed by Beijing …
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Trump’s Meltdown As Ukraine Surrender Plan Fails
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14:50At the start of the day, Marco Rubio and Steve Witkoff were on their way to a top-level meeting in London to discuss President Trump's seven-point "peace" plan. But when the details of the plan were revealed, Ukraine immediately said that it was not acceptable - that it was not a peace plan, but a surrender plan. Cue meltdown. Trump pulled Rubio an…
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American Institutions Fight Back Against Trump Power Grab
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19:27President Trump came out of the gates quickly in his second term, testing the limits of his power in all directions at once, and assaulting numerous institutions to show them that he could bully them into compliance with a radical change agenda. Initially, it looked like most of them would just cave in to his demands. But increasingly, from Harvard…
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Pentagon Chaos: Will Trump Finally Fire Pete Hegseth?
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15:48Reports are coming into view about complete disarray at the Pentagon under Trump's controversial pick for secretary of defence, Pete Hegseth. He has fired all his senior advisors, he is isolated, unqualified and unexperienced. And this is damaging one of the most important departments of state, even as Trump defends him against any suggestion of me…
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Should Denmark Throw America Out Of Its Greenland Base?
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11:35Answering a question from a Patreon supporter - Should Greenland kick the US out of its one remaining Greenland base, since - if Trump were to make good on his threat to take the island by force - it could be used as an entrance point? The sentiments are understandable, but the realpolitik of the situation really comes down to how Denmark and Green…
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Why Did Trump Suddenly Stop Attacking Canada?
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11:06We've been witnessing something really strange over the last three weeks. Trump has been ... silent. OK, only about one thing, but even so. He's been wholly quiet on the subject of Canada, and his previous expressed desire that it should become the 51st state of the USA. The silence can mean only one thing - he actually really does understand how m…
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Trump Defies Courts To Lock People Up Without Due Process
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15:45The Supreme Court ruled decisively 9-0 that the man incorrectly removed from the USA to one of the most notorious prisons in El Salvador, Abrego Garcia, that he should be returned to be afforded the due process any human being should expect. The Trump Administration has, instead claimed the ruling vindicated their position, and in a set-piece in fr…
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Can the West Trust China More Than Trump?
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16:49The Trump / China Trade War enters its third week, and the stakes are only getting higher and the measures more intense. While Trump is busy pulling various other countries into the White House to beat them down in negotiations in the face of their tariffs, Xi Jinping is conducting a charm offensive to the countries he trades the most with, and wit…
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How Trump Is Dismantling Election Protections
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18:43If the Trump administration is taking the United States in the direction of autocracy, there are certain steps that you would commonly expect to see being taken, in common with other countries that have taken this journey over the last couple of decades. So what steps HAVE we been seeing that are compatible with the idea that future elections, thou…
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Harsh Tariff Truths Sinking In, While MAGA Celebrates Trump 'Genius'
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12:37Trump reversed course, and the stock market flowered in response, and everything's now OK, right? Well, except that a lot of damage has been done, most of the tariffs actually still remain, and there's no sign that the administration really has learnt the lessons of what just happened. As a result of that sinking in, the stock markets have been sli…
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Trump’s Panic Tariff Pause - Why It Might Be Too Late
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13:25The news is just in - after all the bluster and the boasting, Trump finally noticed that not all was going swimmingly with his tariffs on the entire world, and he has hit the pause button. For everyone save China, because he can't abide the idea of backing down. But this comes just a day after the full ugliness of this extortion attempt was on show…
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Why China Won't Back Down On Trump's Tariff Shakedown
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15:25When President Trump announced his tariffs to the world, China was right at the top of the list, and it was hit with one of the largest tariffs of the day. This was supposed to get Beijing to the negotiating table to beg for tariff relief, but instead Xi Jinping declared a trade war, and said that China would win this, and any other sort of war Tru…
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The GOP Is ALREADY Preparing for the Post-Trump Fight
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11:06Trump is at the centre of things - throwing the global economy into turmoil in the aim of reshaping everyone's relations with the US, as well as reshaping geopolitical alliances and introducing autocratic measures into the federal government. While all that is going on, the signs are being picked up of how GOP senators and others are preparing the …
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Is Trump about to invoke the insurrection act?
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11:27President Trump wanted to invoke the Insurrection Act back in 2020, but he was prevented by the opposition of his then-defence secretary and the Joint Chiefs of Staff. But now those people have been replaced with loyalists, and there's nobody around him who is going to tell him it's a bad idea. On his first day, he inserted a ticking time bomb into…
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Is The US (Still) On Course For Civil War?
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12:05I've been talking about the likelihood of the US heading towards a second civil war for some time on this channel. Patreon supporter Peter asked me if I still felt that to be the case, with everything that's been happening recently with the Trump 2.0 administration. It's a good question, and certainly bears some further exploration - so let's discu…
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The recent Signalgate text messages leak gave us a real insight into just how much JD Vance really actually hates and despises Europe - much more than had previously been stated in public. We'd seen him argue that Europeans should care more about free speech, and we'd seen him wish for more of the far-right populist parties on the Continent to be e…
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President Trump called it 'Liberation Day' - but that's not what many others were calling it. Instead, the wide-ranging raft of tariffs levied on imports to the US, which seemed based on wholly fictitious claims of how much other countries levied against the US, has thrown the stock markets, the leaders of all other nations, and even some Republica…
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Trump’s Science Purge: Why Researchers Are Leaving the US in Droves
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13:52Health researchers, climate scientists, and more - they are finding significant projects being axed for what appear to be purely ideological grounds. This can include projects you would think would be immune to such factors, such as cancer research. The US has had the benefit of cutting edge research and technology for many decades - it has been on…
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Elon Musk is nearly finished at DOGE - what next?
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12:59Elon Musk has been all over the Federal Government for the last ten weeks. But his original term of office is coming to an end, and both Trump and Musk himself are now talking as though that will be it. He has to get back to his businesses, they say, which have been suffering. But he does not want to stop playing this fun political game - and so he…
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