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Actuary to Ace: The Science of Smarter Betting
Manage episode 479714371 series 2511876
Meet Nick Aubrey — an actuary turned punter who's taken his knack for numbers from the office to the racetrack. With a background in risk assessment and a career in IT, Nick brings a sharp, data-driven edge to betting.
He dives into how he finds value others miss, looking beyond the usual ratings to assess a horse’s full performance potential. Along the way, he unpacks concepts like the “paradox of odds” and why the old favourite-longshot bias still lingers.
For anyone keen to up their punting game, Nick shares what he's learned over many decades on the punt. ----------------------------------------- Think. Is this a bet you really want to have? -----------------------------------
169 episodes
Manage episode 479714371 series 2511876
Meet Nick Aubrey — an actuary turned punter who's taken his knack for numbers from the office to the racetrack. With a background in risk assessment and a career in IT, Nick brings a sharp, data-driven edge to betting.
He dives into how he finds value others miss, looking beyond the usual ratings to assess a horse’s full performance potential. Along the way, he unpacks concepts like the “paradox of odds” and why the old favourite-longshot bias still lingers.
For anyone keen to up their punting game, Nick shares what he's learned over many decades on the punt. ----------------------------------------- Think. Is this a bet you really want to have? -----------------------------------
169 episodes
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