Bond Yield Problem? | NVidia Options Implied Volatility | US Dollar Falls | Did 60/40 Save Investors Last 5 Years?

Broken Pie Chart

Derek Moore talks about seeing stories of exploding 30-year yields but what if they are low compared to historical relationships between the fed funds rate? Then, looking at how correlated the 60/40 portfolio has been over the last 5 years begging the question, did it do anything for investors? Later, looking at NVidia implied volatility ahead of its big earnings release this week to see what the options market is pricing in for a potential one standard deviation move? All this and more this week.

S&P 500 Index net profit margins expected next 12 months

The US Dollar index breaks below its trendline

Nvidia earnings and the options market

Forecasting expected 1-standard deviation moves using implied volatility

Correlations between the S&P 500 Index and the 60/40 portfolio last 5 years

Historical average of the spread between the 30 Year Treasury and the Fed Funds Rate

Should the 30-year treasury yield be higher?

Japan bond yields normalize reaching highest levels going back to 2007

Mentioned in this Episode

Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT

Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt

Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

Contact Derek [email protected]