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Iran Israel War, Putin is the Wild Card /Lt Col Daniel Davis
Manage episode 489722728 series 3625721
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The video underscores that while the Iran-Israel conflict is currently dominating headlines, it's only part of a larger web of global tensions—including the Russia-Ukraine war and rising U.S.-China competition in the Indo-Pacific. The speaker emphasizes that all of these geopolitical theaters are interconnected, and U.S. actions in one will inevitably impact others.
Key Developments and Arguments:
🔹 Trump’s Delay on Iran Strike
Breaking news from the White House: Trump will wait two more weeks before deciding whether to launch strikes on Iran, citing the "substantial chance of negotiations."
Skepticism remains about whether this delay is genuine diplomacy or strategic misdirection.
🔹 Missed Opportunities for Peace
Trump had a viable diplomatic pathway earlier in the year with Iran through negotiator Steve Witkoff, and Iran was reportedly open to limiting uranium enrichment (under 3.67%).
That potential deal was undermined—likely by Netanyahu and Israeli hardliners—who opposed any deal short of full Iranian regime change.
🔹 Israel’s Real Objective
According to the speaker, Israel does not want negotiations—only the complete dismantling of the Iranian regime. This explains their opposition to the 2015 nuclear deal (JCPOA) and their influence over U.S. policy shifts.
🔹 Legal and Ethical Concerns
Under international law (specifically the NPT, or Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty), Iran has the right to peaceful nuclear development. Israel is not a signatory; Iran and the U.S. are.
The U.S. pushing for a zero enrichment policy is a legal overreach and, if enforced by war, would violate both international and constitutional norms.
🔹 Strategic Contradictions
The speaker warns that the U.S. cannot claim to uphold a “rules-based order” while violating it when convenient.
He criticizes past U.S. military interventions (Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya) as disasters, arguing that repeating these patterns in Iran would be reckless and based on failed logic.
🔹 Foreign Influence & Escalation Risks
Netanyahu reportedly talks to Trump “almost daily,” strongly influencing U.S. policy.
Meanwhile, Russia and China are actively supporting Iran (e.g., Russia increasing personnel at Iranian nuclear facilities, and China delivering military aid).
These alignments raise the stakes for global war, not just a regional one.
Final Takeaway:
Despite Trump’s public pause for negotiations, the speaker suggests that real diplomacy was already sabotaged. The current path—fueled by Israeli pressure and U.S. maximalism—risks a war that lacks legal justification, global support, or strategic wisdom. Instead, it threatens to repeat a history of costly, destabilizing U.S. military ventures.
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