Artwork

Content provided by Joe Vaclavik. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Joe Vaclavik or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.
Player FM - Podcast App
Go offline with the Player FM app!

"Sell America" Trade is Back After Credit Downgrade - Grain Implications?

13:43
 
Share
 

Manage episode 483682751 series 2864038
Content provided by Joe Vaclavik. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Joe Vaclavik or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com
Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
TikTok
YouTube
Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

0:00 US Downgrade
2:53 Corn Price Action
4:42 US Weather
7:48 Argentina Flooding
9:14 The Funds
11:04 India and Ethanol
📉 US Credit Downgrade Sparks Market Jitters 🇺🇸💥
Moody's has officially downgraded the US credit rating to Aa1, stripping the nation of its final triple-A from any major agency. The move was driven by rising deficits, ballooning interest costs, and a lack of fiscal discipline. While not expected to spark immediate chaos, the downgrade could slowly increase borrowing costs.
💬 Meanwhile, the "Sell America" trade is back:
📉 Stocks ⬇️
📉 Bonds ⬇️ (rates ⬆️)
💵 Dollar ⬇️
🌎 Only 11 countries now hold a triple-A rating from Moody’s.
🌽 Corn Market Moves
Corn futures slid 5¢ on Friday, with good weather and fast planting keeping prices under pressure. Over 60% of US corn is in the ground, ahead of average. But exports are strong—second best in 10 years!
🌦️ Radar Watch
Storms are lighting up the Corn Belt! 🌩️ Rainfall expected in:
• ND, SD, IA, MO
• Heaviest rain: southern IA, northern MO, southern IL & IN, western KY
🌧️ Moisture could boost crop development in dry spots.
🇦🇷 Argentina Flooding
Too much of a good thing? Parts of Buenos Aires saw 6–10 inches of rain! 🌊 Soy harvest delays continue, and sales have dropped to decade-lows.
• Soybean meal ⬇️
• Soybean oil ⬆️ (after recent plunge)
📊 Fund Positioning
• Corn: Biggest short since Oct '24
• SRW Wheat: Most short since Nov '23
• Soybeans: Funds were light buyers last week
🌍 US-India Ethanol Talks
The US wants India to open its market to fuel-grade ethanol. But India’s pushing domestic production and is cautious of foreign suppliers flooding the market. 🇮🇳⛽
👉 Subscribe for daily ag + macro updates! Drop your thoughts in the comments 💬
#GrainMarkets #USCreditDowngrade #Corn #Soybeans #Moody's #Argentina #Ethanol #Commodities #AgNews 🌾💰📉

  continue reading

1462 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 483682751 series 2864038
Content provided by Joe Vaclavik. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Joe Vaclavik or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com
Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
TikTok
YouTube
Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

0:00 US Downgrade
2:53 Corn Price Action
4:42 US Weather
7:48 Argentina Flooding
9:14 The Funds
11:04 India and Ethanol
📉 US Credit Downgrade Sparks Market Jitters 🇺🇸💥
Moody's has officially downgraded the US credit rating to Aa1, stripping the nation of its final triple-A from any major agency. The move was driven by rising deficits, ballooning interest costs, and a lack of fiscal discipline. While not expected to spark immediate chaos, the downgrade could slowly increase borrowing costs.
💬 Meanwhile, the "Sell America" trade is back:
📉 Stocks ⬇️
📉 Bonds ⬇️ (rates ⬆️)
💵 Dollar ⬇️
🌎 Only 11 countries now hold a triple-A rating from Moody’s.
🌽 Corn Market Moves
Corn futures slid 5¢ on Friday, with good weather and fast planting keeping prices under pressure. Over 60% of US corn is in the ground, ahead of average. But exports are strong—second best in 10 years!
🌦️ Radar Watch
Storms are lighting up the Corn Belt! 🌩️ Rainfall expected in:
• ND, SD, IA, MO
• Heaviest rain: southern IA, northern MO, southern IL & IN, western KY
🌧️ Moisture could boost crop development in dry spots.
🇦🇷 Argentina Flooding
Too much of a good thing? Parts of Buenos Aires saw 6–10 inches of rain! 🌊 Soy harvest delays continue, and sales have dropped to decade-lows.
• Soybean meal ⬇️
• Soybean oil ⬆️ (after recent plunge)
📊 Fund Positioning
• Corn: Biggest short since Oct '24
• SRW Wheat: Most short since Nov '23
• Soybeans: Funds were light buyers last week
🌍 US-India Ethanol Talks
The US wants India to open its market to fuel-grade ethanol. But India’s pushing domestic production and is cautious of foreign suppliers flooding the market. 🇮🇳⛽
👉 Subscribe for daily ag + macro updates! Drop your thoughts in the comments 💬
#GrainMarkets #USCreditDowngrade #Corn #Soybeans #Moody's #Argentina #Ethanol #Commodities #AgNews 🌾💰📉

  continue reading

1462 episodes

All episodes

×
 
Loading …

Welcome to Player FM!

Player FM is scanning the web for high-quality podcasts for you to enjoy right now. It's the best podcast app and works on Android, iPhone, and the web. Signup to sync subscriptions across devices.

 

Quick Reference Guide

Copyright 2025 | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | | Copyright
Listen to this show while you explore
Play