The Liberals take a six-point lead over the Conservatives

inFocus with David Coletto

In this episode of InFocus with David Coletto, David breaks down the latest Abacus Data poll conducted entirely after Donald Trump’s surprise announcement of reciprocal tariffs. With just under two weeks left in the federal campaign, the Liberals have surged into a six-point lead over the Conservatives—marking the first statistically significant advantage they’ve held since the campaign began.

David unpacks what’s driving this momentum shift: strong regional showings in Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada, a broadening Liberal coalition that includes non-voters and former NDP and Conservative supporters, and rising favourability for Liberal leader Mark Carney.

He also explores how shifting perceptions of who’s likely to win—and Carney’s growing lead as the preferred Prime Minister—could reshape the final stretch of the race.

If you’re looking for clear, data-driven insights into where the campaign stands right now and where it could go next, this is an episode you won’t want to miss.