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1 LIVE: Before the Chorus & Open Folk Present: In These Lines feat. Gaby Moreno, Lily Kershaw & James Spaite 33:58
Exploring Miner MCAP, mNAV, HODL & Margins in Q2!
Manage episode 487809726 series 3570269
McNally Money dives into Bitcoin miners' market caps, HODL positions, mNAV premiums, and live mining margins to understand why miners are undervalued compared to Bitcoin treasury companies.
• Bitcoin shows resilience after the Trump/Elon news, recovering to $108,000 over the weekend
• Miners showing a mixed trading day despite Bitcoin strength
• MicroStrategy (MSTR) trades at a 1.87x premium to its Bitcoin holdings while miners trade at or near their HODL value
• If miners received the same mNAV premium as Strategy, Marathon's market cap would nearly double to $10.1 billion
• Wall Street remains skeptical of mining economics due to inconsistent profitability and business decisions
• Q2 looking positive with Bitcoin up $25,000 since Q1, potentially adding $1.2B to Marathon's income statement through FASB accounting
• Live miner margins show Iren and Cipher leading with 75-77% gross margins
• Energy costs are just one component - compensation and G&A expenses often push miners into unprofitability
• Hive working to reduce power costs from 7.5¢ to 4.5¢ per kWh by leveraging Paraguay facilities
• Miners must prepare for the 2028 halving which will double energy costs per Bitcoin
Sign Up for Our Free Weekly Newsletter: https://www.powermininganalysis.com/newsletter
Chapters
1. Bitcoin Weekend Recovery (00:00:00)
2. Miner Stock Performance Analysis (00:06:07)
3. HODL Rankings and Treasuries (00:11:55)
4. MNAV Premium Explained (00:17:12)
5. Applying Strategy's MNAV to Miners (00:23:24)
6. Live Miner Margins and Profitability (00:28:41)
344 episodes
Manage episode 487809726 series 3570269
McNally Money dives into Bitcoin miners' market caps, HODL positions, mNAV premiums, and live mining margins to understand why miners are undervalued compared to Bitcoin treasury companies.
• Bitcoin shows resilience after the Trump/Elon news, recovering to $108,000 over the weekend
• Miners showing a mixed trading day despite Bitcoin strength
• MicroStrategy (MSTR) trades at a 1.87x premium to its Bitcoin holdings while miners trade at or near their HODL value
• If miners received the same mNAV premium as Strategy, Marathon's market cap would nearly double to $10.1 billion
• Wall Street remains skeptical of mining economics due to inconsistent profitability and business decisions
• Q2 looking positive with Bitcoin up $25,000 since Q1, potentially adding $1.2B to Marathon's income statement through FASB accounting
• Live miner margins show Iren and Cipher leading with 75-77% gross margins
• Energy costs are just one component - compensation and G&A expenses often push miners into unprofitability
• Hive working to reduce power costs from 7.5¢ to 4.5¢ per kWh by leveraging Paraguay facilities
• Miners must prepare for the 2028 halving which will double energy costs per Bitcoin
Sign Up for Our Free Weekly Newsletter: https://www.powermininganalysis.com/newsletter
Chapters
1. Bitcoin Weekend Recovery (00:00:00)
2. Miner Stock Performance Analysis (00:06:07)
3. HODL Rankings and Treasuries (00:11:55)
4. MNAV Premium Explained (00:17:12)
5. Applying Strategy's MNAV to Miners (00:23:24)
6. Live Miner Margins and Profitability (00:28:41)
344 episodes
All episodes
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1 Crypto's Game-Changing Moment: All Three Bills Pass in Congress & Impact to Miners! 29:03

1 The Crypto Week That Could Change Everything: GENIUS, CLARITY & Anti-CBDC Bills Explained! 30:36

1 Ethereum Treasury Strategy: The New Race Begins! 31:27

1 Miners vs. Treasury Companies: mNAV & HODL Valuation Analysis! 40:09

1 While Bitcoin Soars to New Heights, Mining Stocks Struggle to Keep Pace... 23:56

1 CoreWeave's $9 Billion Acquisition of Core Scientific: Deal Analysis and Shareholder Implications! 36:44

1 Miner Valuations Uncovered: HODL vs. MCAP Analysis, Bitdeer & IREN News + RIOT & BITF Updates! 46:36

1 Updated Miner Targets & Gross Margins, HIVE Production & Soluna News! 47:40

1 CoreWeave to Buy Core Scientific, Bit Digital Completes Pivot to ETH, IREN & CLSK Production Analysis! 38:10

1 Behind the Curtain: How Top Bitcoin Miners Raised Capital to Dominate 50:32

1 IREN Achieves 50 EH/s Target, ABTC News & MARA Production! 38:02

1 The Perfect Storm: When Mining Fundamentals Meet Corporate Adoption 33:58

1 CoreWeave Eyes Core Scientific Acquisition, Bit Digital Spinning out WhiteFiber, HIVE Earnings & RIOT/BITF News! 35:31

1 Luxor Technology - Director of Derivatives, Ben Harper Q&A - Hash Rate Derivatives Explained! 48:59

1 When Miners Power Down: Exploring the Hash Rate Dive and Miner Impacts! 20:49

1 Bitcoin Miners Surge as Bitcoin Rebounds: Miners Rally | Bitcoin Mining Stocks to Watch + BTBT, BTDR, CIFR, CLSK, HIVE, HUT & SLNH News! 29:17

1 The $100,000 Bitcoin Threshold: Mining Economics at a Crossroads + HIVE Digital HPC News! 35:27

1 IREN Surges 10% on HPC Speculation & HIVE's Expansion News! 36:58

1 Bitcoin Miner Valuation Analysis & Latest News! 45:48

1 Hash Wars: Why Everyone's Abandoning Their 100 Exahash Dreams! 52:10

1 May 2025 Mining Report: IREN, MARA, CLSK & RIOT Square Off! 33:42

1 Bit Digital - CEO Sam Tabar - Q1 Earnings & WhiteFiber Expansion! 27:46

1 Shining the Spotlight on BitFuFu & Soluna Holdings Financing News! 27:54

1 IREN's bold $500M move and HPC Outlook, Bitdeer Production & Soluna News! 41:08

1 Daily Mining Revenue Analysis: Margins, Revenue & Latest RIOT/BITF Updates! 41:53

1 Exploring Miner MCAP, mNAV, HODL & Margins in Q2! 36:48

1 Trump vs Musk: A Digital Showdown Shakes Markets + Miner News! 43:32

1 May Production Analysis: IREN, DMG, and Cipher Mining Excel Amid $100K+ Bitcoin! 37:16

1 HPC Revolution: Comparing Billion-Dollar Data Center Contracts 42:58

1 Hash Wars: Riot, Marathon & CleanSpark's May Production Analysis! 37:38

1 Is Riot Selling Bitfarms? + Big News from Bit Digital & WhiteFiber! 31:19

1 Bitcoin Convention Day 2: Mayor of New York, Mining Margins & Global Hash Rate Trends! 20:01

1 Bitcoin Vegas: Day One Highlights and Miner Tech Breakthroughs! 21:52

1 DMG Blockchain - CEO Sheldon Bennet & COO Steven Eliscu Q&A - Q2 Earnings & Outlook! 59:36

1 Bitcoin Miners vs Bitcoin Price: The Correlation Disconnect & HODL vs MCAP Analysis! 32:53

1 Coiled Springs: Why Miners Are Set to Explode + DMGI Q2 Earnings, HIVE & SLNH News! 46:39

1 When Hedges Bite: How $109K Bitcoin Still Left Miners in the Red! 22:25

1 Soluna Holdings - CEO John Belizaire & CFO John Tunison Q&A - Q1 Earnings & Outlook! 59:32

1 HIVE Digital Technologies - CEO Aydin Kilic, Q&A - Paraguay Expansion & Operational Update! 40:42

1 Bitcoin Notches Record Week, Miner Stock Reratings + Bit Digital & Soluna Earnings Analysis 27:27

1 Bitfarms CEO Ben Gagnon Q&A - Q1 Earnings & Outlook! 1:06:36

1 Bitdeer Technologies - Head of Capital Markets, Jeff LaBerge Q&A - Q4 Earnings & Outlook! 48:49

1 IREN Co-Founder & Co-CEO Daniel Roberts Q&A - Q3 Earnings & Outlook! 49:05

1 Mining Giants' Quarterly Showdown: IREN, BTDR & BITF Earnings + HIVE News! 35:36

1 Crypto's Corporate Evolution: CleanSpark Upgrades and Coinbase's S&P 500 Milestone! 32:57

1 Bitcoin's American Revolution: ABTC, Gryphon & Hut 8 News! 23:22

1 Deep Dive: CLSK, MARA & WULF Earnings + BTDR, HIVE & SLNH Production! 50:00

1 Luxor Technology - COO, Ethan Vera Q&A - Optimizing Bitcoin Mining Through Firmware! 47:04

1 Bitcoin Retakes $100,000 + Hut 8 Corp. & Core Scientific Earnings Analysis! 37:56

1 Bitcoin Mining's Resurgence: What's Next for Miners & DMG Production! 25:49

1 IREN & CleanSpark Production, Cipher Mining Q1 Earnings & New Hampshire SBR Passes!! 40:28

1 Riot Platforms CEO Jason Les Q&A - Q1 Earnings, April Production & HPC Updates! 54:03

1 April Production Analysis: Cipher Mining, Marathon & Riot Platforms! 28:51

1 Riot's Q1 Earnings Reveal Mining Industry's Turning Point & 2025 Miner Catalysts! 29:56

1 Bitcoin Breaks $97K: Riot Platforms, Bit Digital, Bitfarms & DMG Blockchain News! 28:39

1 Bitcoin Miners: Q1 Earnings Preview (HODL, Margins, Hashprice & Difficulty) 32:32

1 Compass Mining - Director of Operations (Facility Ops), Cameron Morrissey Q&A - Operations & Staffing! 38:14

1 The Bitcoin Supercycle Begins: Cycle Timing, Peak, Duration and Impact on Miners! 20:31

1 Bitcoin Banking Frontier: Tether, Twenty One, and Strategy's Latest Moves! 21:43

1 Bitcoin Breakout: What It Means for Miner MCAP's, HODL's & Valuations! 29:16

1 Bitcoin Breaks $91K: Miners Surge & 6 Month Thesis! 21:26

1 Navigating Tariffs and Supply Chain Challenges in Bitcoin Mining with Logistics Plus! 40:23

1 Are We Witnessing Bitcoin's Evolution into a True Safe Haven Asset? 22:54

1 March Performance Analysis: Bitcoin Miner Valuations & Metrics! 37:54

1 Bitcoin Miners: Undervalued Megawatt Giants? 21:05

1 Luxor Technology, Head of Derivatives, Matt Williams Q&A - Forward Hashrate, Derivatives & Hedging! 45:28

1 Navigating the Volatility: CleanSpark's Strategic Shift & Miner Valuations by Watt! 31:08

1 Bitcoin Miners Undervalued? Market Cap vs HODL Analysis Reveals Surprising Data! 37:55

1 Bitcoin Miners Take a Breather: BTDR, BTBT, WULF & SLNH Discussion! 19:13

1 Bitfarms CEO Ben Gagnon Q&A - FY & Q4 Earnings + 2025 Strategy Update! 1:10:10

1 The Art of The Deal: Trump Pauses Tariffs for 90 Days! 24:58

1 Trade War Intensifies: How Trade Tensions Impact Bitcoin Miners! 31:53

1 Lawrence Lepard: Fix the Money, Fix the World! 50:07

1 The Decoupling Has Begun: Bitcoin Emerges as Safe Haven While Markets Crash! 38:28

1 Mining Giants March Forward: CleanSpark, Iren & Riot Production Analysis! 22:16

1 Trump Tariffs and Bitcoin: Market Pullback Explained! 44:26

1 Soluna Holdings CEO John Belizaire Q&A - Q4 Earnings & HPC Pivot! 55:02

1 Trump Family Enters Bitcoin Mining: IREN, MARA & HUT Stock News! 32:01

1 IPO 101 for Bitcoin Miners: What Analysts Look for in Public Mining Companies! 37:34

1 Good Day for Bitcoin, not for Bitcoin Miners.... 11:40

1 Bitcoin Mining Stocks Soar as Bitcoin Breaks $88K Barrier! 23:33

1 Digital Asset Treasury Operations & Management with Fortris! 40:28

1 Bit Digital CEO Sam Tabar - FY Earnings & HPC Growth! 43:03

1 The Bitcoin Mining Rollercoaster: Navigating Market Volatility... 26:53

1 Bitcoin Mining Fundamentals & Top Miner News (BITF, HIVE & SLNH) 19:25

1 Prophets and Short Sellers: Bulls, Bears and Miner News! 26:45

1 Bitcoin Mining: Down but Not Out & February Production Analysis! 45:34

1 Bitcoin Mining's Social Media Showdown: The CleanSpark Fall Out... 29:59


1 The CoreWeave-OpenAI Partnership: A $12 Billion Game-Changer for Bitcoin Miners! 23:41

1 Compass Mining Sr. Director of Growth Curtis Harris Q&A - 2025 Growth & Strategy! 55:38

1 Bitcoin Miners: Bloodbath in the Streets... 36:08

1 Top Crypto Summit, Bitcoin & Bitcoin Miner News! 25:57

1 CoreWeave Rumours, IREN Production & Soluna DeepSeek News! 21:23

1 Miners Rebound as Bitcoin Retakes $90k, Bitdeer, Cipher & CleanSpark News! 17:44

1 DMG Blockchain CEO Sheldon Bennet & COO Steven Eliscu Q&A - Q1 Earnings & Outlook! 54:24

1 Peak Volatility, CoreWeave's IPO & Production Updates from RIOT, MARA & DMG! 46:07

1 Bitcoin's Rollercoaster: Trump's Strategic Crypto Reserve... 30:15

1 Bitcoin Mining News, Sentiment & Earnings: MARA, RIOT, CORZ, CLSK, CIFR, BTDR & SLNH! 28:13

1 Bitdeer Technologies Head of Capital Markets Jeff LaBerge Q&A - Q4 Earnings & Analysis! 37:59

1 Riot Platforms CEO Jason Les Q&A - Q4 Earnings and Analysis! 44:39

1 Clash of Titans: CleanSpark vs. IREN! 1:00:07
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