214 – Is Death Good? Simone and Malcolm Collins return!

The Bayesian Conspiracy

#Skeptic #Science #Hpmor #Yudkowsky #Society #Philosophy #Bayesian Conspiracy #Rational #Wrong #LessWrong #Methods Of Rationality #Future

34:01

I think you could probably go back and track the stages of grief, probably that is what I went through. But I think if you do it right, you end up at acceptance. And that's where I ended up. And that's not to say that I've fully accepted the idea that the golden toad is extinct. Personally, I do still hold out hope that it could still be out there in those forests." - Trevor Ritland This conversation is with Trevor Ritland, who—along with his twin brother Kyle—authored The Golden Toad . The book chronicles their remarkable journey into Costa Rica’s cloud forest, once home to hundreds of brilliant golden toads that would emerge for just a few weeks each year—until, one day, they vanished without a trace. What began as a search for a lost species soon became something much more profound: a confrontation with ecological grief, a meditation on hope, and a powerful call to protect the natural world while we still can. Links: SpeciesUnite.com Kyle and Trevor: https://kyleandtrevor.com/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/adventureterm/ Goodreads - https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/222249677-the-golden-toad Amazon - https://www.amazon.com/Golden-Toad-Ecological-Mystery-Species/dp/163576996…

about a year ago 1:44:17

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The Collinses are back to address follow-up questions, like why is death good? Does population density reduce fertility? Is demographic collapse still a problem? Are child support laws bad? A great discussion is had by all. Paid Bonus content – … Continue reading →

448 episodes

214 – Is Death Good? Simone and Malcolm Collins return!

The Bayesian Conspiracy

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published about a year ago

MP3•Episode home

448 episodes

#Skeptic #Science #Hpmor #Yudkowsky #Society #Philosophy #Bayesian Conspiracy #Rational #Wrong #LessWrong #Methods Of Rationality #Future

All episodes

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025 1:33:03

7 days ago1:33:03

1:33:03

Eneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards. LINKS Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack A reddit history of what convinced Trace he couldn’t remain Mormon The Center for Educational Progress Our previous episode with Trace were we discuss the modern secular religion of Social Justice Progressivism Love Stays Loved by Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg (Swimmer963) 00:00:21 – Trace Live at Manifest 00:42:31 – Follow-up with Trace 01:31:33 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon , or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
Bayes Blast 43 – Die-ing to Intuit Bayes’ Theorem 13:19

8 days ago13:19

13:19

Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans 36:24

19 days ago36:24

36:24

Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. LINKS Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope The AI’s story – Resonance AI Village Short Stories – Maneki Neko , and Cat Pictures Please Kevin Roose was hated by the AIs Our Patreon , or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong?…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira 1:51:34

21 days ago1:51:34

1:51:34

Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud MATS program for people that want to get involved (ML Alignment & Theory Scholars) How to Live Well with High P(Doom) The ancient TBC episode on AlphaGo Other Best-Of episodes of The Bayesian Conspiracy “ Don’t Eat Honey ” by Bentham’s Bulldog Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here , or at Amazon . 00:00:05 – Doom Debates 01:29:34 – A Human Is Worth 7 Bees 01:37:20 – Guild of the Rose 01:49:24 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg 58:23

5 weeks ago58:23

58:23

Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives from our audience as well. Afterwards Eneasz speaks with Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg individually. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here , or at Amazon . LINKS MicroCovid.org The Fooming Shoggoths A Song For Two Voices Paid Bonus content – Steven & Eneasz talk one-on-one, with significant personal details from Steven’s life ( patreon , substack ) 00:00:05 – Panel Discussion at LessOnline 00:39:10 – Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg chat 00:54:24 – Guild of the Rose 00:56:31 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music 16:26

7 weeks ago16:26

16:26

David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here ! Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist He’s also one of the cofounders of the Guild of the Rose ! Check them out and our initial episode with him and Alex.…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
239 – SymbyAI 1:22:57

7 weeks ago1:22:57

1:22:57

Steven works at SymbyAI , a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here , or at Amazon . LINKS SymbyAI Contact Ashia at livaudais@symbyai.com Kaggle arXiv 00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 00:05:40 – SymbyAI 01:17:51 – Guild of the Rose 01:21:05 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian 1:26:10

9 weeks ago1:26:10

1:26:10

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1 . LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy ( patreon , substack ) 00:00:05 – The trap 01:19:00 – Guild of the Rose 01:20:16 – Listener Feedback/Corrections & Announcements 01:24:31 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian 1:26:53

11 weeks ago1:26:53

1:26:53

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose 01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan 1:47:29

13 weeks ago1:47:29

1:47:29

Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “ Twilight of the Edgelords ,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy podcast – 2 Rash 2 Unadvised Paid Bonus content for the week – Liam on Them , 2:40 on Deontology , Steven on Black Mirror and Formula 1 also mentioned: Liam’s previous Gender Explained ( substack and patreon ) Eneasz’s post Does The Omelas Kid Have An Obligation To Suffer? Eneasz & Matt analyze Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (and coming soon: Steven & Brian on Blindsight ) The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – Twilight of the Edgelords 01:28:04 – Eneasz & Steven catch-up 01:36:48 – Guild of the Rose 01:39:42 – Rationalist Summer Trifecta 02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon , or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord ! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer…

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen 2:24:14

15 weeks ago2:24:14

2:24:14

Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted … Continue reading →

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice 1:52:54

17 weeks ago1:52:54

1:52:54

We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 … Continue reading →

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten 1:31:01

19 weeks ago1:31:01

1:31:01

Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack … Continue reading →

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan 4:33

21 weeks ago4:33

4:33

The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on … Continue reading →

The Bayesian Conspiracy

1
232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett 1:31:20

21 weeks ago1:31:20