AI and the Global Battle for Tech Supremacy

The New Bazaar

It’s not often that someone comes up with a new, provocative, and persuasive theory about the competition between the US and China to be the world’s leading economic and technological superpower. The topic is so salient right now, the source of so much commentary, that it’s hard to say something that hasn’t already been said many, many times.

But this episode’s guest, Jeffrey Ding — a scholar of international relations at the George Washington University and the author of a new book called Technology and the Rise of Great Powers: How Diffusion Shapes Economic Competition — has done just that.

And the short version of Ding’s theory goes like this…

It’s not as important as you might think for a country to be the first one to develop the new technologies of the future. What really matters are two things.

First, that the technologies a country does develop are General Purpose Technologies. These are technologies that make every sector across the economy more productive, more efficient, more innovative. The personal computer and other information technologies, for example, didn’t just make the tech sector more productive. Workers in every industry use computers to be better at their jobs.

And the second thing that matters is that a country be especially good at diffusing, or spreading, those General Purpose Technologies throughout the whole economy, precisely so that those technologies can make everyone more productive.

And as Jeff argues, the US already has big advantages over China on both of these indicators. But why? What makes a country better at technological diffusion? What are the leading contenders for the general purpose technologies of the future? And what policies can a country put in place if it wants to become or remain the world’s dominant economic superpower?

You’ll find answers to those questions and more in this episode’s chat with Jeffrey Ding.

RELATED LINKS:

• Jeffrey’s GitHub page
• Technology and the Rise of Great Powers (Jeffrey’s book)
• ChinAI (Jeffrey’s newsletter about Chinese AI)
• The Illusion of China’s AI Progress (Foreign Affairs essay)

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