The State of the Economy for June 2025

C-Suite Perspectives

After a brief rebound in May, consumer confidence slipped again. What changed in June—and what might it mean for the economy this summer?

The Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 93.0 from 98.4, wiping out half the gains seen last month. Consumers are feeling less optimistic across the board: both their assessment of current business and labor market conditions and their short-term expectations for income, jobs, and the economy have weakened. Pessimism about job availability and business conditions is also more pronounced than it was in May.

In this episode, Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist for Global Indicators, joins Malala Lin, Economic Research Associate, to unpack the latest data. They explore what’s driving this decline in sentiment, how it could shape consumer behavior through the summer, and the broader implications for US economic growth.

For more from The Conference Board:

• US Consumer Confidence Retreats in June

• Global Leading Indicators: Recession and Growth Trackers

• Fed Keeps 2 Cuts in 2025, but Dumps 1 Cut in 2026 on Inflation