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Max Bearishness at a Bottom? | VIX Curve Inversion | Nvidia Rallies | Dollar Problem Solved? | Fear and Greed Index | Consumer Sentiment Indicator is Worthless
Manage episode 471736150 series 2426951
Derek Moore is back to break down the wild week including Nvidia rallying when against the bearish tide. How the US Dollar index pulling back might be bullish for earnings. Plus, have we reached max panic and max bearishness setting up for a near term bottom in markets? Later, looking at the Fear and Greed Index, the VIX Inversion and what that means for markets, and why people are now bullish or bearish based on politics. All that and more!
Fear and Greed Index
Drawdowns vs full year market performance
US Dollar index
US Trade Weighed Dollar Index
University of Michigan Sentiment Indicator Republicans vs Democrats
Nvidia was up close to 8% last week
Micron earnings through Implied Volatility Readings
Long Straddle cost before earnings
VIX Futures curve inversion
Mentioned in this Episode
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
332 episodes
Manage episode 471736150 series 2426951
Derek Moore is back to break down the wild week including Nvidia rallying when against the bearish tide. How the US Dollar index pulling back might be bullish for earnings. Plus, have we reached max panic and max bearishness setting up for a near term bottom in markets? Later, looking at the Fear and Greed Index, the VIX Inversion and what that means for markets, and why people are now bullish or bearish based on politics. All that and more!
Fear and Greed Index
Drawdowns vs full year market performance
US Dollar index
US Trade Weighed Dollar Index
University of Michigan Sentiment Indicator Republicans vs Democrats
Nvidia was up close to 8% last week
Micron earnings through Implied Volatility Readings
Long Straddle cost before earnings
VIX Futures curve inversion
Mentioned in this Episode
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
332 episodes
All episodes
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1 Fallacy of Dollar Losing 90% of Value | Buy at All-Time Highs? | Gold Is More Volatile Than You Think | Fastest New High Post Bear Market Ever 24:28

1 Hated All-Time Highs | Semis Gone Wild | Does Apple Buy Perplexity? | Inflation Adjusted Oil Prices 55:36

1 60/40 Portfolio vs Hedged Equity | CNBC Markets in Turmoil | Tired Fed Interest Rate Debate 37:22

1 Geopolitical Risk | Most Volatile Decade? |Housing Is Cheap? | Gold & Oil Get a Bid 41:42

1 6000 Baby! | Market Breadth Narrows| Rolling 10 Year S&P 500 Returns | Tesla Elon vs. Trump 24:47

1 Wrong on Inflation | NVDA Earnings | PCE Inflation vs CPI Inflation | Sell in May Didn’t Work 28:46

1 Bond Yield Problem? | NVidia Options Implied Volatility | US Dollar Falls | Did 60/40 Save Investors Last 5 Years? 38:15

1 Moodys Downgrades US Debt | Intra Year Drawdowns Are Common | S&P 500 Profit Margins Strong | Consumer Confidence Contrarian Indicator 40:43

1 MicroStrategy (MSTR) Joining S&P 500 Index? | S&P 500 Index Turnover Matters | Fed Does Nothing, but Should They Have? | Inflation Nowcast 30:34

1 Barons Contrarian Cover | Negative GDP Details | Fed Rate Cuts? | Unemployment Was Fine | Sell in May? | S&P 500 After Near Bear Markets 1-Year Later 34:55

1 Is The Bottom In? | Now They Change Their S&P 500 Targets | Apple Earnings Implied Volatility Expected Move | 33:23

1 Economic Forecast Crowding | Gold ATH | High Yield Spreads Not Recession Levels | Flight to Quality Trades Not Working | No the VIX Is Not Predicting Actual Moves Still 28:47

1 Market Bottom? | VIX Should Be 100 | Bond Market Yields Spike | Bitcoin and S&P 500 10 Day Volatility is Equal Wow! 32:35

1 Sell Sell Sell | Tariffs | Nasdaq in Bear Market Territory | Buying Opportunity?| Don’t Make Emotional Decisions 59:53

1 Back in Correction? | Recession? | Atlanta FED GDP Now | S&P 500 Index Year End Target Update | Useless Fed Dot Plots | 1 YR Stock Market Expectations Plummet | Implied Volatility 41:58
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