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CropGPT - Sunflower - Week 20
Manage episode 483505945 series 3663200
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This week’s global sunflower market summary presents key developments in production, acreage shifts, and export trends across major producing regions, with a focus on France and Ukraine.
- France: The Ministry of Agriculture projects a 10.7% year-on-year decline in sunflower cultivation for 2025, down to 674,000 hectares—marking the third consecutive annual contraction. In contrast, rapeseed acreage is expected to rise modestly to 1.3 million hectares, though still 2.3% below last year. Corn acreage is projected to fall by 7.6% to 1.48 million hectares, while sugar beet area will slightly increase.
- Ukraine: The USDA forecasts a significant increase in sunflower production for the 2025/26 marketing year, with output estimated at 14.4 million tons (+11% YoY) from an area of roughly 6 million hectares. However, sunflower meal exports have dropped sharply—down 29%—to the lowest level for the first eight months of the season since 2011/12. Key declines were recorded in shipments to the EU, China, Egypt, and Turkey.
- Market Dynamics: Despite strong production projections, Ukraine is witnessing softening domestic sunflower seed prices and declining processing demand. A notable trend is the shift in processing preference toward rapeseed, which may further influence sunflower pricing and overall market structure.
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