Dangerous Risks 2024: Return To Normal Concerns Crossing Thin Ice podcast

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Battle Camp S1: Reality Rivalries with Dana Moon & QT 1:00:36

5 days ago1:00:36

1:00:36

Do you have fond childhood memories of summer camp? For a chance at $250,000, campers must compete in a series of summer camp-themed challenges to prove that they are unbeatable, unhateable, and unbreakable. Host Chris Burns is joined by the multi-talented comedian Dana Moon to recap the first five episodes of season one of Battle Camp . Plus, Quori-Tyler (aka QT) joins the podcast to dish on the camp gossip, team dynamics, and the Watson to her Sherlock Holmes. Leave us a voice message at www.speakpipe.com/WeHaveTheReceipts Text us at (929) 487-3621 DM Chris @FatCarrieBradshaw on Instagram Follow We Have The Receipts wherever you listen, so you never miss an episode. Listen to more from Netflix Podcasts.…

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Dangerous Risks 2024: Return to Normal Concerns

about a year ago 22:56

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Content provided by Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph, Dave Ingram, and Max Rudolph. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph, Dave Ingram, and Max Rudolph or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.

The 2024 survey sees respondents react to recent increases in specific risks as technology evolves and the environment moves away from the pandemic. The top 4 risks are the same as those seen in 2019. By Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph.

… continue reading

56 episodes

#MBA #Business #dingram@actrisk.com

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Dangerous Risks 2024: Return to Normal Concerns

Crossing Thin Ice

published about a year ago

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MP3•Episode home

Content provided by Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph, Dave Ingram, and Max Rudolph. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph, Dave Ingram, and Max Rudolph or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.

The 2024 survey sees respondents react to recent increases in specific risks as technology evolves and the environment moves away from the pandemic. The top 4 risks are the same as those seen in 2019. By Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph.

… continue reading

56 episodes

#MBA #Business #dingram@actrisk.com

All episodes

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1
Emerging Risks and the Insurer’s Dilemma 18:03

17 days ago18:03

18:03

Insurance only works if we can all keep up with the rapid changes being brought on by climate change. In this podcast, Max Rudolph explores the challenges insurers face with wildfires, hurricanes, and the struggle to set fair premiums. They discuss the need for community resilience, regulatory shifts, and innovative predictive modeling. Join them to discover how homeowners can protect themselves in an unpredictable market and why sustainable practices are essential for the future of insurance.…

1
Anti-ERM Beliefs 18:13

4 weeks ago18:13

18:13

Anyone who has worked in Risk Management has encountered individuals who, for one reason or another, do not believe that ERM is beneficial to a company. In this podcast, Max and Dave examine 10 common Anti-ERM Beliefs and suggest ways to address them.

1
Just Around the Corner: 2025 Stress Scenarios 22:36

6 weeks ago22:36

22:36

Discover four scenarios that could reshape our world and your business. Max and Dave are always talking about how important it is to do stress tests. Here are some examples of today’s risks to get you started. Each of these scenarios is built off a plausible extrapolation of recent trends. This podcast offers a deep dive into the dynamics that could have a major impact your organization. Tune in to prepare for the challenges ahead and turn potential threats into opportunities for growth.…

1
Top Emerging Risks for 2025 18:19

8 weeks ago18:19

18:19

Are we ready for the next wave of challenges? As the world evolves, so do the risks that come with it. From climate change to geopolitical tensions and the rapid rise of AI, the landscape is shifting in ways we may not fully comprehend. These emerging threats can disrupt businesses, economies, and even our daily lives. It's crucial to stay informed and proactive in our risk management strategies. Join us as we delve into the complexities of these risks and explore the measures we can take to navigate an uncertain future. Together, we can better prepare for what lies ahead.…

1
Ocean Acidification and the AMOC 18:09

10 weeks ago18:09

18:09

Climate change isn’t just about heat. It’s also changing the chemistry of our oceans, with serious consequences for marine life and food security. In this episode of Crossing Thin Ice , we examine how ocean acidification could accelerate ecosystem collapse. By Max Rudolph

1
Own Factor Risk Formulas 20:14

12 weeks ago20:14

20:14

Are you using RBC for your company’s risk capital calculations? In this episode of Crossing Thin Ice , Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph dive into the power of Own Factor Risk Formulas—customized risk metrics that can give insurers a clearer, faster, and more accurate picture of their capital needs that is easy to explain to executives and boards. From historical stress testing to AI-enhanced risk management, we explore how companies can move beyond regulatory formulas to build a model that truly fits their risk profile.…

1
Does the Starting Point Matter? 19:18

14 weeks ago19:18

19:18

When building scenarios - It certainly does! Think about how the 2008 financial crisis reshaped economic forecasts. Those who clung to pre-crisis assumptions faced severe consequences. Acknowledging a new starting point means more resilient strategies. By Max Rudolph

1
Align ERM to the Company 22:17

16 weeks ago22:17

22:17

Ever wonder why the ‘best practices’ in ERM often fail? Here’s the secret. ERM that does not fit the company will be rejected. It will not transform the company. Imagine an ERM program that your whole company supports. That is what you need. By Dave Ingram

1
Adaptor - A Vital New Business Role 18:56

19 weeks ago18:56

18:56

The future belongs to those who learn to adapt. In this, the 48th episode of Crossing Thin Ice, Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph dive into the importance of adaptability in modern business. Explore how the new Adaptor role will help companies to anticipate challenges, leverage opportunities, and embed resilience into every decision.…

1
Risks for 2025 and Beyond 18:57

21 weeks ago18:57

18:57

From China’s aging population and economic slowdown to India’s tech-fueled growth, from the decline of globalization to the rise of AI and climate disruptions, we explore how emerging risks intertwine to drive the future of our risks in 2025 and beyond. Whether you’re a board member, risk manager, or just live on this planet, join us as we navigate these seismic shifts and uncover the strategies needed to stay ahead.…

1
Spillover Revisited #46 21:19

23 weeks ago21:19

21:19

In this episode of Crossing Thin Ice , we revisit the crucial topic of zoonotic spillover diseases and their evolving impact. From the ongoing challenges posed by COVID-19 to the growing concern about bird flu spreading through mammals, including dairy herds, the discussion highlights what we’ve learned—and what we still need to monitor. Special focus is given to wastewater surveillance as a tool for early virus detection and the role actuaries can play in pandemic preparedness. Tune in to explore these pressing issues and learn how demographic shifts, evolving viruses, and actuarial foresight can help us better prepare for future health crises.…

1
Large Language Models in Risk Management 20:38

25 weeks ago20:38

20:38

Discover how LLMs are transforming the way risk professionals tackle complex problems, enhancing decision-making much like spreadsheets revolutionized calculations. Listen as we dive into the practical applications of LLMs for Chief Risk Officers, from environmental monitoring to scenario generation, breaking down how these tools can help manage uncertainty, identify weak spots, and even reveal what’s missing in risk assessments. By Dave Ingram…

1
Model Assumptions under Increasing Uncertainty 19:45

27 weeks ago19:45

19:45

There are massive challenges for setting modeling assumptions in an era of increasing uncertainty. With insights into the impact of climate change, economic volatility, and emerging risks on actuarial models, this podcast explores the concept of resilience in modeling by adapting assumptions to manage volatility from unexpected events. Max Rudolph provides practical advice on addressing assumption uncertainty, integrating risk margins, and refining risk management strategies across assets and liabilities.…

1
The Power of Risk Management Decision-Making 18:46

29 weeks ago18:46

18:46

A risk-focused mindset ensures better informed, resilient decisions. This mindset leads to a Risk Management Decision-Making process that we describe in this podcast and explain how it differs from other decision-making approaches such as heuristics, satisficing, and cost-benefit analysis. We feature the five essential components—risk awareness, diversification, risk appetite and tolerance, risk-reward management, and competitive advantage—and discuss how these elements transform decision making.…

1
Regime Change - Before & After 21:11

31 weeks ago21:11

21:11

Once more, we dive into a critical discussion on regime change, the scenarios that could drive it, and for the first time talk about what might follow. This episode of Crossing Thin Ice features insights from experts Max Rudolph, David Ingram, Raghu Ramachandran, and Jim Evans. Our conversation covers key drivers like climate change, debt levels, demographics, and technology, and explores tipping points that could dramatically reshape the risk landscape. Join us as we analyze potential scenarios and the vital role that risk management plays in navigating these transformations for insurers and beyond. Now available – documentation of how the scenarios are developed, summaries of the seven scenarios presented on the podcast and a look at our full set of 81 scenarios. https://riskviews3.wordpress.com/before-and-after-regime-change/…

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Crossing Thin Ice

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Achieving Resilience 18:44

1 year ago18:44

18:44

Resilience can be described as bending without breaking. There are four aspects of ERM that all need to be fully adopted to achieve this important result. By Dave Ingram.

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Crossing Thin Ice

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Using Risk Appetite: Contrarian Views 14:40

1 year ago14:40

14:40

It is commonly assumed that higher returns require higher risk to be accepted. Fear and greed may outperform over the short term but often the last investor in does poorly. Long periods of stimulus provide warning that economic cycles come to an end eventually. By Max Rudolph.

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Crossing Thin Ice

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Regime Changes lead to New Normal 23:46

1 year ago23:46

23:46

Radical changes in our Physical, Political, Economic and Social systems have been and will continue to buffet humanity. Every so often the combined result is a major change of regime in which new patterns for each of these systems develops and persists for some time creating a new normal. We make the case that this is coming in our world. By Max Rudolph and Dave Ingram…

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Crossing Thin Ice

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Leverage: The Flip Side of Risk Management 17:42

1 year ago17:42

17:42

It was tempting, when interest rates were so low, to borrow just because you could. But that may not be best for an organization from a risk/reward perspective. Leverage can have a major impact on the risk profile that is not usually considered. Leverage is actually the flip side of risk management. By Dave Ingram…

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Crossing Thin Ice

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1
Climate Migration 14:34

1 year ago14:34

14:34

No one is arguing anymore that the planet is not getting hotter, but what are the limits to temperature rise for humans survival? The ramifications for those who live in poverty in tropical zones is that they will need to move because of the heat. The alternatives are unacceptable. The world needs a plan to deal with massive climate migration. By Max Rudolph.…

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Crossing Thin Ice

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Risk and Capital 16:22

1 year ago16:22

16:22

Stakeholder perception about the appropriate level of risk and the corresponding capital level varies. Some insurers focus on optimizing income and disbursements, while others find their goals aligned by holding redundant capital. Here we discuss several broad choices for the level of capital and the pros and cons of each based upon common business objectives. By Dave Ingram.…

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Crossing Thin Ice

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Interactions between risks: Implications for building scenarios 21:38

2 years ago21:38

21:38

Historically, scenarios have focused on one assumption at a time but that is not realistic in today’s quickly evolving world. Risk interactions are very important considerations and impact scenario assumptions dynamically. Three narrative scenarios that interact between financial and non-financial risks are discussed. By Max Rudolph.…

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Crossing Thin Ice

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Why Insurers Do ERM 20:47

2 years ago20:47

20:47

Enterprise Risk Management is practiced in different ways by insurers. Some focus on the basics while others consider ERM as a strategic strength. In a recent survey, ARM asked what is most important to them about ERM.

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Crossing Thin Ice

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After COVID 13:51

2 years ago13:51

13:51

Prior to 2019, Pandemic was the most studied emerging risk. And now that one has happened, it is time to study our reactions to COVID. In this podcast, we look at the reactions that people typically have to near death experiences and find that they are similar to the reactions that companies are having to COVID. Several very different reactions have been observed, but only one has a lasting favorable impact on the risk management program. By Dave Ingram…

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Crossing Thin Ice

Crossing Thin Ice podcast artwork

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Six Futures for ERM 20:46

2 years ago20:46

20:46

Scenario based planning is good for forming company strategy and it can also be good for planning risk management. There are a number of ways that the future might play out for risk management and the likelihood of each of the six possibilities mentioned here has probably changed significantly because of our experiences over the past two years. Which future will you be prepared for and which would have been a total surprise if you hadn’t listened to this podcast? By Dave Ingram…

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Crossing Thin Ice

Crossing Thin Ice podcast artwork

1
Super Volcano 16:42

2 years ago16:42

16:42

A volcano erupts somewhere, on average, every week. Eruptions large enough to impact the global environment happen much less frequently, but they have happened. The “Year without a Summer” in 1815 affected crops and immigration, and similar events will happen again. These Super Volcanoes tend to have numerous knock-on effects. By Max Rudolph…

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Crossing Thin Ice

Crossing Thin Ice podcast artwork

1
Concentration 23:07

2 years ago23:07

23:07

Concentration is added by doubling down on things you do well. This two-part story considers strategic drivers that add to concentration and tactical methods to mitigate these risks. By Dave Ingram and Max Rudolph.

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Crossing Thin Ice

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1
Cascadia Earthquake 16:53

2 years ago16:53

16:53

When a catastrophic event hasn’t happened since 1700 there is not much historical data to aid those who live there or insure residents. Here are some of the basic concerns. By Max Rudolph

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Crossing Thin Ice

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Telling Your ERM Story to Rating Agency 15:59

2 years ago15:59

15:59

There is a story about ERM that most insurers can tell. A story with four chapters: ERM Framework, Individual Risks, Aggregate Risk & Capital and the ERM Journey. Usually there isn’t enough time to tell the the ratings analyst all four chapters, so you have to choose. By Dave Ingram

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Crossing Thin Ice

Crossing Thin Ice podcast artwork

1
Microplastics 13:20

2 years ago13:20

13:20

Tiny pieces of plastic are found in the ocean, soils and the human body. This can’t be good. Scientists are still learning about the implications of microplastics, but it’s clear that better recycling and reduced use of plastic bottles, fishing nets, micro beads and nurdles are a start. By Max Rudolph…

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