Player FM - Internet Radio Done Right
34 subscribers
Checked 6d ago
Added six years ago
Content provided by Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, & Stephen Pavlick, Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, and Stephen Pavlick. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, & Stephen Pavlick, Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, and Stephen Pavlick or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.
Player FM - Podcast App
Go offline with the Player FM app!
Go offline with the Player FM app!
RenMac Off-Script: The Apprentice: Fed Edition
Manage episode 491205581 series 2531218
Content provided by Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, & Stephen Pavlick, Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, and Stephen Pavlick. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, & Stephen Pavlick, Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, and Stephen Pavlick or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.
RenMac discusses the case to be made for the next Fed chair, the latest on crude oil, the Middle East, July’s seasonal strength, the perceived disconnect between markets and the economy and the reality of that perception, along with a suggested golf handicap adjustment.
…
continue reading
247 episodes
Manage episode 491205581 series 2531218
Content provided by Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, & Stephen Pavlick, Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, and Stephen Pavlick. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, & Stephen Pavlick, Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, and Stephen Pavlick or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.
RenMac discusses the case to be made for the next Fed chair, the latest on crude oil, the Middle East, July’s seasonal strength, the perceived disconnect between markets and the economy and the reality of that perception, along with a suggested golf handicap adjustment.
…
continue reading
247 episodes
All episodes
×R
RenMac

1 RenMac Off-Script: Payrolls, PMIs & Poolside Predictions 26:52
26:52
Play Later
Play Later
Lists
Like
Liked26:52
RenMac dives into the July 4th weekend with a fresh look at the payroll surprise, Fed expectations, the global PMI paradox, and whether the market can stomach high rates. Neil unpacks sluggish job growth beneath the headline beat, Jeff outlines the capex-driven cyclicals leading the rally, and the crew debates whether PMIs and yield curves have lost their forecasting mojo. Plus: why financials might shine, how real yields shape allocation, and yes—cucumber gin makes another cameo.…
R
RenMac

1 RenMac Off-Script: The Apprentice: Fed Edition 35:44
35:44
Play Later
Play Later
Lists
Like
Liked35:44
RenMac discusses the case to be made for the next Fed chair, the latest on crude oil, the Middle East, July’s seasonal strength, the perceived disconnect between markets and the economy and the reality of that perception, along with a suggested golf handicap adjustment.
R
RenMac

1 RenMac Off-Script: Is Tehran About to Eat a TACO? 35:47
35:47
Play Later
Play Later
Lists
Like
Liked35:47
RenMac walks through this week’s Fed decision, Iran’s exit ramp, weakness in housing, the Byrd Bath, RMs 20% allocation to commodities, the overbought condition in oil and the momentum in financials.
R
RenMac

RenMac Discusses TDS (Tariff Derangement Syndrome) giving way to IDF (Israeli Defense Forces), message out of real-rates, the employment picture, trajectory of the Fed, breakout in precious metals and Tuesday’s Senate bill on stablecoin.
R
RenMac

1 RenMac Off-Script: Caught in a Bad Bromance 25:36
25:36
Play Later
Play Later
Lists
Like
Liked25:36
RenMac discusses the latest payroll print and why the Fed may use it to stay on the sidelines, the improvement in small-cap performance, the call between Xi and Trump, and the implications of the fallout between Musk and Trump.
R
RenMac

1 RenMac Off-Script: TACO: Tariffs Are Constitutional or Not 32:36
32:36
Play Later
Play Later
Lists
Like
Liked32:36
RenMac discuss the latest developments on the tariff front, the administration’s multiple avenues to pursue their trade agenda, the slowing in the labor and housing markets, and the nuance behind the adage of “sell in May and go away.”
R
RenMac

1 RenMac Off-Script Podcast: More to Rates than U.S. Fiscal 37:12
37:12
Play Later
Play Later
Lists
Like
Liked37:12
RenMac talks government bonds, the divergence in the $ and rates, the global repudiation of government debt, and the implications, Bitcoin’s new high, Trump’s tax bill, and the importance of momentum from this point forward.
R
RenMac

1 RenMac Off-Script Podcast: GOP Bond Boo-Boo? 36:13
36:13
Play Later
Play Later
Lists
Like
Liked36:13
RenMac double-clicks on bond market’s message, GOP reconciliation, deGraaf’s Thrust and implications, Gold’s seasonality, energy implications and Knicks vs Celtics
RenMac dives into the latest on tariffs, Powell’s position, the RenMac Retest Rule, Communion suggestions for the new Pope, how the markets and the economy are similar but different, and the definition of a Knickerbocker
R
RenMac

RenMac unpacks the latest employment report, the discrepancy between soft and hard data, the importance of considering “what can go right vs wrong” when bearish sentiment is at an extreme, the potential for thawing trade negotiations, the lack of escape velocity in this market but why we’re not pulling the plug on our tactical call, this week’s mail bag, and Jeff’s long-shot Derby play.…
R
RenMac

RenMac discusses Trump backing off on Powell’s firing, why a slower growth environment could mean a more consensus Fed pick, the latest in trade negotiations, what areas to watch to see how survey-data and hard-data reconcile, what tactical indicators we use to see where the bond market is headed, and a preview of next week’s employment data.…
RenMac discusses the importance of the Fed’s independence, the likely options, the dark-cross in the Mag-7 and the implications historically for alpha generation, the latest on trade, the cards other countries may be able to play against the U.S. and why the dollar is an important window into the soul of a nation, plus a special Good Friday Mail-bag.…
R
RenMac

1 RenMac Off-Script: Bond Market Takes Hostages 50:43
50:43
Play Later
Play Later
Lists
Like
Liked50:43
RenMac walks through the turmoil in bonds, China’s alternatives to creating negotiation leverage, deleveraging vs system risk, increasing recession outlook, tariff miscalculation, rising correlations, and the implications of the 10th best single day on the S&P in 100-years.
RenMac discusses the difference between trade deficits and tariffs, the “escalate to de-escalate” strategy, today’s payroll numbers, how the Fed is thinking about rates, the spike in capitulation measures, and having a mind-set of “what can go right”.
RenMac discusses the upcoming “Liberation Day,” why much of the bad news might already be priced in, the strike price on the respective Trump and Fed put, and how economic conditions were already slowing before Trump was sworn into office, and AI’s mailbag gone wrong.
Welcome to Player FM!
Player FM is scanning the web for high-quality podcasts for you to enjoy right now. It's the best podcast app and works on Android, iPhone, and the web. Signup to sync subscriptions across devices.