RenMac Off-Script: Yields Take Their Toll RenMac podcast

32:36

RenMac discuss the latest developments on the tariff front, the administration’s multiple avenues to pursue their trade agenda, the slowing in the labor and housing markets, and the nuance behind the adage of “sell in May and go away.”

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RenMac Off-Script Podcast: More to Rates than U.S. Fiscal 37:12

11 days ago37:12

37:12

RenMac talks government bonds, the divergence in the $ and rates, the global repudiation of government debt, and the implications, Bitcoin’s new high, Trump’s tax bill, and the importance of momentum from this point forward.

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RenMac Off-Script Podcast: GOP Bond Boo-Boo? 36:13

18 days ago36:13

36:13

RenMac double-clicks on bond market’s message, GOP reconciliation, deGraaf’s Thrust and implications, Gold’s seasonality, energy implications and Knicks vs Celtics

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RenMac Off-Script: Holy Smokes 38:09

25 days ago38:09

38:09

RenMac dives into the latest on tariffs, Powell’s position, the RenMac Retest Rule, Communion suggestions for the new Pope, how the markets and the economy are similar but different, and the definition of a Knickerbocker

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RenMac Off-Script: Strategic Uncertainty 42:09

5 weeks ago42:09

42:09

RenMac unpacks the latest employment report, the discrepancy between soft and hard data, the importance of considering “what can go right vs wrong” when bearish sentiment is at an extreme, the potential for thawing trade negotiations, the lack of escape velocity in this market but why we’re not pulling the plug on our tactical call, this week’s mail bag, and Jeff’s long-shot Derby play.…

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RenMac Off-Script: Clock Ticking on Trade 28:15

6 weeks ago28:15

28:15

RenMac discusses Trump backing off on Powell’s firing, why a slower growth environment could mean a more consensus Fed pick, the latest in trade negotiations, what areas to watch to see how survey-data and hard-data reconcile, what tactical indicators we use to see where the bond market is headed, and a preview of next week’s employment data.…

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RenMac Off-Script: “You're Fired”? 35:10

7 weeks ago35:10

35:10

RenMac discusses the importance of the Fed’s independence, the likely options, the dark-cross in the Mag-7 and the implications historically for alpha generation, the latest on trade, the cards other countries may be able to play against the U.S. and why the dollar is an important window into the soul of a nation, plus a special Good Friday Mail-bag.…

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RenMac Off-Script: Bond Market Takes Hostages 50:43

8 weeks ago50:43

50:43

RenMac walks through the turmoil in bonds, China’s alternatives to creating negotiation leverage, deleveraging vs system risk, increasing recession outlook, tariff miscalculation, rising correlations, and the implications of the 10th best single day on the S&P in 100-years.

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RenMac Off-Script: Obliteration Day 49:35

9 weeks ago49:35

49:35

RenMac discusses the difference between trade deficits and tariffs, the “escalate to de-escalate” strategy, today’s payroll numbers, how the Fed is thinking about rates, the spike in capitulation measures, and having a mind-set of “what can go right”.

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RenMac Off-Script: Bad News Priced 36:50

10 weeks ago36:50

36:50

RenMac discusses the upcoming “Liberation Day,” why much of the bad news might already be priced in, the strike price on the respective Trump and Fed put, and how economic conditions were already slowing before Trump was sworn into office, and AI’s mailbag gone wrong.

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RenMac Off-Script: Tariffied 40:30

11 weeks ago40:30

40:30

RenMac unpacks the FOMC meeting, Trump’s conversation with Putin, the deteriorating transportation names, tariff uncertainty, the likelihood of a downside economic surprise in coming months, Schumer’s unwinnable position and how moving averages can help generate alpha.

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RenMac Off-Script: Eggs-cellent 41:02

12 weeks ago41:02

41:02

RenMac discusses the potential strategy behind Schumer’s decision to avoid a government shutdown, the contribution of egg prices to CPI, the deteriorating news flow with the spike in bearish market sentiment, the potential Canadian tariff strategy (or lack thereof), why we’re not playing this as a bear-market and this week’s mailbag regarding market tops.…

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RenMac Off-Script: A Weak Outlook Trump's Making Worse 33:22

13 weeks ago33:22

33:22

RenMac dissects the payrolls, the latest tariff moves, the importance of credit indications and the complete unwind of beta as well as this weeks mail-bag.

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RenMac Off-Script: Policy Uncertainty 26:24

14 weeks ago26:24

26:24

Renmac talks through the latest policy uncertainty and its history on markets, Neil interprets the latest housing and income data and how today is mirror image of 2022. Steve discusses the March 14th budget deadline and Jeff walks through the beta reversion and what look vulnerable at this point.

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RenMac Off-Script: Data and Industrials 30:50

15 weeks ago30:50