The Two Jacks - Episode 94 - MisInfo for Kids

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#Science #Society #Politics #News Talk #News #Social Sciences #Comedy #Jack the Insider and Joel Hill #Jack the Insider #Joel Hill

41:05

When negative feedback shakes your confidence, it can be difficult to get back to feeling like yourself at work. In this episode, Anne and Frances help a struggling listener who has spent years toning herself down in the workplace after being told that she was too assertive — now, she feels that her modest approach is holding her back. Together, they use Anne and Frances’s “trust triangle” framework to explore how empathy, authenticity, and logic can help you rebuild confidence and trust with your colleagues, and share helpful confidence hacks for getting comfy with discomfort. What problems are you dealing with at work? Text or call 234-FIXABLE or email fixable@ted.com to be featured on the show. For the full text transcript, visit ted.com/podcasts/fixable-transcripts Want to help shape TED’s shows going forward? Fill out our survey ! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

about a year ago 1:30:37

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The Two Jacks discuss the Albanese government's decision to prevent kids under 16 from accessing social media as well as the Misinformation and Disinformation (MAD) bill. The view from the two Jacks is that this is not a role for government and may end up becoming a vote loser for the government. The Two Jacks look at Trump's cabinet nominations thus far. Matt Gaetz and RFK Jr round off some very ordinary choices. Will they survive the scrutiny of the US senate? In sport, rugby beats cricket for ratings as the Wallabies are back!

400 episodes

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The Two Jacks - Episode 94 - MisInfo for Kids

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published about a year ago

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400 episodes

#Science #Society #Politics #News Talk #News #Social Sciences #Comedy #Jack the Insider and Joel Hill #Jack the Insider #Joel Hill

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The Two Jacks - Episode 116 - Media Meltdown, Super Tax, Housing Headaches, and Trump's Power Plays 1:37:47

2 days ago1:37:47

1:37:47

This episode of "The Two Jacks," with Jack the Insider and Hong Kong Jack, covers a range of topics including the struggles of free-to-air television in Australia, the proposed superannuation tax on high balances, the complexities of housing affordability and development approvals, and the political landscape in the United States, particularly regarding immigration and the actions of the Trump administration. They also touch on the passing of author Frederick Forsyth, the controversial Gaza Freedom Flotilla with Greta Thunberg, and lighter topics like the "Dull Men's Club" and AFL updates. Timestamped Events: 00:00:51: Discussion on the cancellation of Channel 10's "The Project" and the future of free-to-air television in Australia. 00:20: Superannuation tax on unrealized capital gains is debated, including a case study. 00:30: Housing affordability and the challenges of planning approvals are discussed. 00:40: The dynamic between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, and the power of the presidency is explored. 00:46: The conversation shifts to Trump and the courts, and the use of federal power regarding immigration. 01:04: The life and work of author Frederick Forsyth are remembered. 01:09: The Gaza Freedom Flotilla and Greta Thunberg's involvement are analyzed. 01:19: The "Dull Men's Club" is introduced. 01:21: AFL updates, including a controversial bump and discussion of CTE. 01:27: Rugby and football (soccer) are discussed, including Ange Postecoglou's departure from Tottenham. 01:31: Tennis at Roland Garros and interesting sports statistics are shared. 01:35: Closing remarks and listener interaction information.…

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The Two Jacks - Episode 115 - Mildura Mafia, Black Eyes, and the Occasional Riot 1:29:43

3 days ago1:29:43

1:29:43

This episode of 'The Two Jacks' features Jack the Insider and Hong Kong Jack discussing a range of topics. A significant portion of the episode is dedicated to the story of former Victoria Police detective Denis Ryan and his fight for justice against clerical abuse, detailed in the book Unholy Trinity . They also touch upon Australian and international politics, including sectarianism, the current state of the Labor and Green parties, the situation in Tasmania, and US and UK politics with commentary on Elon Musk, the Democrats, and Sir Keir Starmer. The episode concludes with a discussion on sports, specifically AFL, NRL, and cricket. PS - THESE SHOWNOTES ARE AI GENERATED (0:00:33) - Discussion of the life and fight for justice of former Vic Boll police detective Denis Ryan, who sought to prosecute Monsignor John Day for child sex offenses in Mildura in 1972, referencing the book Unholy Trinity . (0:09:31) - The police force's reaction to Denis Ryan's investigation, the "Catholic mafia" stymying the investigation, and Denis being ostracized. (0:17:43) - Joel Hill's encounter with then Chief Commissioner of Victoria Police, Graham Ashton, and asking him when he would apologize to Denis Ryan, which eventually led to formal apologies and compensation. (0:30:09) - Discussion of Dorinda Cox, former WA Green senator, joining the Labor Party and the political implications. (0:41:03) - Moving on from Australian politics to Elon Musk's unhappiness with a congressional spending bill and related gossip. (0:50:30) - Moving on to Ukraine and their significant win with drones taking out a substantial number of Russia's bomber fleet and the wider implications for the war. (0:55:09) - Moving on to the UK and Sir Keir Starmer's woes, including attacks from within his party and being spooked by the Reform party, and a discussion on immigration issues. (1:07:03) - Moving on to sport, mentioning the Tasmanian Devils AFL team and their reliance on political results in Tasmania, leading into a wider discussion on AFL governance and umpiring issues. (1:20:56) - Moving on to NRL, discussing State of Origin and a listener's lament about the South Sydney Rabbitohs. (1:23:46) - Discussion of PSG (Paris Saint-Germain) winning the Champions League final against Inter Milan and related events. (1:25:38) - Looking ahead to next week, mentioning the Test Championship at Lord's and Virat Kohli's IPL win, and discussing Australian cricket.…

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The Two Jacks - Episode 114 - 1:32:25

17 days ago1:32:25

1:32:25

AI slop shownotes. This one gets spicy on Israel and Palestine! Podcast Episode: Two Jacks – Episode 114 Post-Production for Recording 1 Run Date: 30 May 2025 Shownotes Introduction (0:00) Jack the Insider and Hong Kong Jack return after a brief hiatus due to Joel traveling to Hawaii. Opening banter about Hawaii, the weather, and a lighthearted remark about avoiding bushfires. Australian Politics and Election Analysis (0:59) Deep dive into the aftermath of a recent election result , including: Two-party preferred votes: 55.19% to 44.81%. Discussions about the myths of how a "first past the post" voting system would have impacted the election outcomes. Historical context on the introduction of Australia's preferential voting system in 1918 to prevent Labor domination. Commentary on Tom Elliott’s controversial opinion about voting systems. Analysis of minor parties and how the removal of preferential voting would affect their representation, disadvantaging groups like the Greens or minor right parties. Hong Kong Jack shares insights about how voting systems shape campaign strategies in Australia versus the UK. Coalition Dynamics and Leadership Updates (6:00) Jack the Insider and Hong Kong Jack dissect the challenges facing the Coalition post-election: Tension between the Liberals and Nationals sparked by Littleproud’s leadership and uncertain policy positioning. Discussion on key personnel changes, including the demotion of shadow ministers like Sarah Henderson and Jane Hume. Predictions of leadership instability within the Nationals, with Jack the Insider forecasting Littleproud’s leadership might not survive past November. Broader Political Landscape Commentary (14:00) Speculation on the viability of the Liberal Party as it moves further right ideologically while alienating moderates. Historical perspective on the collapse of right-wing parties in Australian politics and the risk of the Liberal Party facing similar consequences. Critique of Peter Dutton's focus on regional Australia, leaving traditional city-based constituencies vulnerable to Teal independents. International Politics: US, UK, and Poland (26:00) United Kingdom: Decline in support for Keir Starmer’s Labour due to coalition infighting and lack of direction. Rumors about Angela Rayner potentially challenging Starmer for leadership. Discussions touch on “super injunction” rumors and polling trends showing growing support for Reform UK. Poland: Highlights of Poland’s economic growth, with projections of it surpassing Japan in GDP per capita by 2026–27. Observations about Poland’s political stability and the upcoming Presidential Election , with tensions between hard-right and centrist candidates. United States: A critical review of Trump’s controversial economic policies and debt ceiling negotiations. Jack the Insider critiques the "Make America Healthy Again" initiative by Bobby Kennedy Jr., particularly its stance on restricting government scientists from publishing research and COVID vaccine policies. Broader concerns about the decline in public trust toward pandemic management. Middle East: Israel-Gaza Conflict (1:04:00) Analysis of the dire humanitarian crisis in Gaza with criticism of aid distribution and alleged human rights violations. Jack the Insider highlights concerns about Israel’s political motivations and the use of Palestinians as human shields. Debate on whether Hamas or Netanyahu bears greater moral responsibility, with differing perspectives from Hong Kong Jack and Jack the Insider. Sports Corner (1:13:00) Australian Rules Football (AFL): Collingwood’s dominance this season; speculation on the flag being theirs to lose. Challenges faced by Carlton and Sydney as they linger outside the finals contention. Rugby: Expectations for the British Lions Tour and its significance for Australian Rugby Union. Insights into the resilience and consistent performance of the Brumbies compared to other Super Rugby teams. Soccer: Ange Postecoglou’s success at Tottenham Hotspur, securing their first trophy in years amidst uncertainty about his tenure. Cricket: Cameron Green’s exceptional batting form in county cricket and its implications for Australia’s Test Championship squad selection. State of Origin Rugby League: New South Wales claim a gritty Game 1 victory against Queensland at Lang Park, with the series set to continue at Optus Stadium in Perth and the Olympic Stadium in Sydney. Closing Thoughts (1:28:00) Jack the Insider invites listeners to send in feedback and contributions for future episodes. Upcoming topics preview: The Victorian Liberal Party’s internal turmoil, with potential fallout over legal disputes involving former leader John Pesutto. Thank you for tuning in to Two Jacks! Email Jack the Insider: jacktheinsider@gmail.com Subscribe to Hong Kong Jack on Substack for updates!…

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The Two Jacks - Episode 113 - Sussssssan Ley is Ley-der 1:28:12

5 weeks ago1:28:12

1:28:12

In this episode of The Two Jacks, Jack the Insider and Hong Kong Jack tackle the latest in Australian politics , global media developments , and international affairs . It's a fast-paced discussion of the political landscape, leadership upheavals, cabinet shakeups, pressing policies, and more. Tune in for sharp observations and witty takes! Key Topics Covered Australian Politics The Liberal Party's election of a new leader, Suzanne ("Sussan") Ley. A deep dive into her unconventional numerology backstory. Her leadership votes (29–25) as she edges out Angus Taylor. Ted O’Brien as deputy leader – his Sunshine Coast seat, ties to Taiwan, and study in Asia. The Nationals' direction and challenges: David Littleproud retains leadership while debates over net-zero emissions targets continue. The tension between the Coalition's philosophical stance on nuclear energy and policy realignment. Labor's New Cabinet The fallout of Anthony Albanese’s factional compromises in reshuffling the cabinet. The exclusion of Ed Husic and Mark Dreyfuß sparks conversations about faction-driven decisions. The introduction of “special envoys” within the ministry – quirky or functional? Reflections on the dynamics between faction leaders and Prime Minister Albanese. Post-Referendum Delusions Analysis of the repercussions of the Voice referendum loss. How the Coalition misread their referendum win as momentum for taking government. The dangers of hubris in both major Australian political parties. Gaza Crisis and Morality in Politics A reflective discussion on the humanitarian crisis in Gaza and its global implications. Global Geopolitics Putin’s stance following European leaders’ ultimatum. U.S. tariffs on China: economic realities and diplomatic maneuvers. Commentary on the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict with Donald Trump’s threats of sanctions. Germany’s Rearmament and Political Landscape The challenges around Germany’s massive military investment and reshaped leadership under conservative Frederick Merz. The rise of far-right party AFD and its broader European implications. Immigration in Focus The political shift in the U.K. as Sir Keir Starmer changes his stance on immigration policies. Lessons from Australian immigration history and reflections on Europe’s response. Sport, Pop Culture & More Cricket: Tribute to Virat Kohli as he retires from Test cricket. His stats, legacy, and influence on Indian cricket. AFL: A breakdown of the tight matches, umpiring controversies, and the top 8 ladder. Should draws remain? NRL: Celebrating Latrell Mitchell’s game-winning 50-meter field goal and the rise of unexpected teams like the NZ Warriors. IPL and Security Concerns: Adjustments to the tournament amidst heightened conflict. Nostalgia-filled commentary on Pope Leo XIV (the American Chicagoan Pope) and his potential love for baseball’s Chicago White Sox. Humor & Extras Stories of televangelist Jim Bakker’s plea for funds and Nigerian email scam jokes rounded out with trademark Two Jacks humor. Listener Takeaways The Two Jacks dissect Australian media with insider insight, offering a combination of timely analysis and a bit of much-needed levity on heavy topics. From the cricket pitch to political caucuses, this episode highlights the intersection of power, performance, and policy. Links/Resources Follow Jack the Insider on Twitter: @JackTheInsider Subscribe to Hong Kong Jack’s Substack: HongKongJack.Substack.com Contact The Two Jacks Have feedback, questions, or topics you’d like covered in a future episode? Reach out: Email: The Two Jacks Join us for Episode 113 of The Two Jacks for bold takes, sharp critiques, and a few laughs along the way!…

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Episode 185 - Post 2025 Federal Election Wrap 2:08:03

6 weeks ago2:08:03

2:08:03

MORE UNINTENTIONALLY FUNNY AI SLOP SHOWNOTES. Peter Hoistead? Thanks Gemini. Thanks listeners. We love you. Buy CBCo it's excellent beer. The Conditional Release Program - Episode 185: Federal Election 2025 Post-Special Hosts: Joel Hill & Jack the Insider (Peter Hoistead) Overall Theme: A deep dive into the results and implications of the 2025 Australian Federal Election, focusing on Labor's historic victory, the Coalition's catastrophic loss, and the performance of minor parties and independents. Key Segments & Talking Points: (Part 1 - Approximate Timestamps based on original transcript, subject to adjustment) [00:00:00 - 00:01:23] Introduction & Election Overview Joel laments being banned from betting on the election, particularly Labor's strong odds. Jack notes Joel would have won significantly, especially on Labor at $2.60. Historic Labor Win: Anthony "Albo" Albanese leads Labor to a significant victory. Libs sent into an "existential crisis." Albo is the first PM to be re-elected since John Howard in 2004. Largest Labor victory on a two-party preferred basis since John Curtin in 1943 (votes still being counted). Crucial Stat: The Albanese government is the only first-term government to have a swing towards it in Australian political history. [00:01:23 - 00:03:38] Significance of the Swing to Labor Previous first-term governments (Howard '98, Hawke '84, Fraser '77, Whitlam '74, Menzies) all had swings against them when seeking a second term. Albo's government achieved an approximate 4% swing towards it (votes still being counted). Discussion points: Where it went right for Labor, and wrong for the Coalition, Greens, and Teals. Far-right "Cookers" performed terribly. Pauline Hanson's One Nation (FONY) might see minor representation. [00:03:38 - 00:05:11] Patreon & Sponsor Shout-outs Reminder to support the podcast on Patreon: www.patreon.com/theconditionalreleaseprogram (for as little as $5/month). CB Co. Beer: Praised for their IPA and new Hazy XPA. Competition to win $100,000. Use code CRP10 for 10% off at cbco.beer . [00:05:11 - 00:08:52] Polling Inaccuracies & Liberal Optimism Reiteration of the ~4% swing to Labor. Comparison of final poll predictions vs. actual results: Freshwater: Labor 51.5% (was Liberal pollster, told Libs they were close). Newspoll: 52.5% (Labor used their private polling). Essential: 53.5%. YouGov: 52.2% - 52.9%. Polling companies significantly underestimated Labor's vote, especially those advising the Coalition. The misplaced optimism at Liberal Party HQ on election night. [00:08:52 - 00:16:00] Specific Seat Results & Labor Gains Gilmore (NSW South Coast): Fiona Phillips (Labor) won 55-45 (3-4% swing to her), despite Andrew Constance (Liberal) being the favourite. Bennelong (Howard's old seat): Jeremy Laxail (Labor) won 59-41 against Scott Young (problematic Liberal candidate), a 10% swing to Labor. Parramatta: Andrew Charlton (Labor) won 62-38 (was 53.47 in 2022). Aston (Victoria): Labor won in a historic by-election previously, now a 4% swing to the Labor candidate, winning 53-47. Boothby (SA): Louise Miller-Frost (Labor) achieved an 8% swing, holding the seat 61-39. Tangney (WA): Sam Lim (Labor, ex-cop & dolphin trainer) secured a 3% swing, now 56-44. Large Bhutanese diaspora noted. Leichhardt (FNQ): Labor's Matt Smith won 57-43 after Warren Entsch (LNP) retired (10% swing). Hunter (NSW): Dan Repiccioli (Labor) re-elected with 44% primary vote (5% swing on primary). Fended off Nats and One Nation (Stuart Bonds' inflated vote claims by "One Australia" on X). [00:16:00 - 00:18:49] Diversifying Parliament & Women in Politics Praise for non-lawyer backgrounds in Parliament (e.g., Dan Repiccioli, Sam Lim). Critique of the typical lawyer/staffer/union pathway. Labor's success in diversifying candidate backgrounds and increasing female representation. Liberals struggling with female representation despite some efforts. Discussion of potential quotas in the Liberal party and the backlash it would cause. Margaret Thatcher quote: "If you want something said, ask a man. If you want something done, ask a woman." [00:18:49 - 00:27:26] The Teals: Mixed Results & Challenges Initial appearance of a Teal "romp" on election night. Bradfield (NSW North Shore): Teal Nicolette Boele (Burle/Bola) behind Liberal Giselle Kaptarian by 178 votes (updated during recording). Goldstein (VIC): Tim Wilson (Liberal) leading Zoe Daniel (Teal) by 925 votes. Wilson is likely back. Joel comments on Wilson's IPA association vs. his "gay, wet, mediocre, progressive side." Jack notes Wilson often highlights his sexuality. Jim Chalmers' quip about Tim Wilson: "Popular for all those who haven't met him." Kooyong (VIC): Monique Ryan (Teal) leading by 1002 votes (97,000 counted, ~8,000 postals to go). Redistribution added parts of Toorak, making it harder for Ryan. Liberal candidate Amelia Hamer: "Trust fund renter" controversy, owns multiple properties, London bolthole. Corflute wars in Kooyong: Hamer campaign's excessive use of A-frames, obstructing walkways, went to Supreme Court over council limits. Jack doubts the impact of corflutes. [00:27:26 - 00:31:28] Why Did the Teals Go Backwards? Liberal party invested heavily in Kooyong and Goldstein. Voters potentially preferring a local member who is a Minister or part of the government. Redistribution impact in Kooyong (addition of Toorak). Zali Steggall's success in Warringah partly due to "fruitcake" Liberal opponents like Katherine Deves. [00:31:28 - 00:40:37] The Greens: Significant Losses Lost all lower house seats. Adam Bandt (leader) gone from Melbourne. Lost Brisbane (Max Chandler Mather) and Griffith back to Labor. Ryan (South Brisbane): Likely Labor win in a three-way contest. Greens will have no lower house representation. Key Reason: Housing policy standoff. Accused of holding up Labor's housing bill for over a year (affecting funding for domestic violence victims, homeless), pursuing "perfection" over compromise. [00:40:37 - 00:49:57] Deep Dive: Housing Policy Challenges A major challenge for the Albanese government. Not an easy fix. Supply-side changes could devalue existing homes or slow growth, angering homeowners. Joel’s view: Subsidized housing (rent-to-own, means-tested) wouldn't touch the high-end market. Negative gearing: Not a quick fix; removing it overnight unlikely to change much; issue is supply. Homeowner expectations of property value growth. Construction industry at full tilt; skills shortages. CFMEU's role in skilled migration for construction. Free TAFE importance for reskilling/upskilling. Linton Besser (Media Watch) criticism of Labor "building" houses when they reconditioned unlivable ones – Joel argues this still increases supply. [00:49:57 - 00:59:16] Deep Dive: Childcare Policy & Global Economic Headwinds Childcare another area for government focus. Labor's childcare policy: Rebates for high earners (e.g., $325k combined income). High cost of childcare; need for better pay for childcare workers (Labor delivered a pay spike). Ownership of childcare centers (Peter Dutton reference) and profit-making. Call for more public childcare. Uncertain global economic times, Trump tariffs. Port of Los Angeles imports down by one-third. US Q1 economy shrank 0.3%; recession likely. Japan, China, South Korea meeting to discuss tariff responses; hold significant US debt. Japanese warning to US re: trade negotiations. [00:59:16 - 01:07:13] What Went Wrong for the Coalition? Answer: Everything. Gas Price Fixing Policy: Cobbled together, no consultation with industry (unlike Rudd's mining tax failure), potentially unconstitutional (taxing for benefit of some states over others). Work From Home Policy Disaster: Conceived by Jane Hume and Peter Dutton, no Shadow Cabinet consultation. Initial messaging: All Commonwealth public servants, then just Canberra. Jane Hume's media run: Claimed all WFH is 20% less productive, citing a study. Implied WFH employees are "bludgers," alienating a vast number of voters (including partners of tradies). Labor capitalized on this after door-knocking feedback. Policy eventually walked back. Defence Policy: Released in the last week, vague promise to spend 3% of GDP, no specifics on acquisitions. Andrew Hastie (Shadow Defence) reportedly wants out of the portfolio. Fuel Excise Policy: Halving fuel excise for a year. Took a week for Dutton to do a photo-op at a service station. Fuel prices had already dropped. Melbourne Airport Rail Link Funding: Announced at a winery. Vehicle Emissions Policy: Clarifications issued within 48 hours. Generally a shambolic campaign, studied for years to come. [01:07:13 - 01:08:55] The Nationals & Nuclear Policy Fallout Nats trying to spin a better result than Libs, but didn't win Calare (Andrew Gee back as Indy). Nuclear Policy: Coalition embarrassed to discuss it. Nats insist on keeping it. Policy originated as a way for Libs to get Nats to support Net Zero by 2050. Massive costs and timelines: Hinkley Point C (UK) example – 65 billion pounds, years of delays. US Georgia plant similar. Legislative hurdles: Repealing Howard-era ban, state-level bans (even LNP QLD Premier Chris O'Fooley against it). State-funded, "socialist" approach due to lack of private investment. [01:08:55 - 01:15:49] Coalition Campaign Failures & Spokespeople Debate on government vs. private industry running power. Lack of effective Coalition spokespeople: Susan Ley sidelined, Jane Hume promoted. Angus Taylor perceived as lazy. Angus Taylor's past water license scandal ("Australia's Watergate," Cayman Islands structure). [01:15:49 - 01:28:03] Demographics: A Tide Against the Liberals Women: Voted ~58-42 for Labor (two-party preferred), worse than under Morrison. Libs failed to address issues like climate, domestic violence. Language Other Than English at Home (LOTE): 60% backed Labor (Redbridge polling, Cos Samaras). Indian and Chinese diaspora significant, impacting Deakin and Menzies (Keith Wallahan, a moderate, lost Menzies). Gen Z & Millennials (18-45): Now outnumber Baby Boomers (60+), voted 60-40 Labor (TPP). Preferencing: Labor "gamed the system well"; Liberals' deal with One Nation backfired in messaging to urban areas. Strategy Failure: Liberals walked away from "heartland" Teal-lost seats, wrongly believing voters were wrong. Dutton's 2023 claim of Libs being "party of regional Australia" failed. No connection or network in targeted outer-suburban/regional seats. Female Pre-selection: Aspiration of 50% in 2019, achieved 34% in 2025. "Male, white, middle-class, mediocre." Sarah Henderson Example: Lost Corangamite in 2019, returned via Senate vacancy. Criticized as a "waste of space," arrogant for seeking re-entry. Both parties have taken safe seats for granted (factional gifts), but Labor learning. Example: Batman (now Cooper, Jed Carney) won back from Greens after better candidate selection. [01:28:03 - 01:36:42] Fond Farewells: Election Casualties Peter Dutton: Lost his seat of Dickson (held 20+ years), got "smashed." Likely preferred losing seat to facing party room fallout. Gracious concession speech. Australia's strong electoral process praised (democracy sausage, volunteers, AEC, peaceful concession). Michael Sukkar (Deakin, VIC): "Unpleasant piece of work." Recount of February incident: Sukkar, at Dutton's prompting, used a point of order to cut off Attorney-General Mark Dreyfus (Jewish) during an emotional speech about anti-Semitism and his family's Holocaust connection (Shiloh story). Dreyfus called Sukkar "disgusting." Sukkar moved "that the member no longer be heard." Widely condemned. Gerard Rennick (QLD Senator): Anti-COVID vaccine, spread misinformation (diabetes, dementia links). Jack recounts being attacked by Rennick's "poison monkeys" on X after writing about it. Rennick gone, likely self-funded much of his campaign. (Part 2 - Timestamps restart from 00:00:00 but are a continuation, add ~1 hour 36 mins 50 secs to these for continuous flow) [01:36:50 - 01:44:07] The Fractured Hard Right ("Cookers") - Dismal Performance Generally went nowhere electorally. UAP (United Australia Party) / Trumpeter Patriots (John Ruddock): 2.38% in NSW Senate (down from UAP's 3.2% in 2022). Less money spent than previous Clive Palmer campaigns. Libertarian Democrats (Lib Dems): 1.99% in NSW Senate. Controversial name didn't help. Alliance with H.A.R.T (formerly IMOP, Michael O'Neill) and Gerard Rennick's People First Party. Monica Smit's calls to "unite" contrasted with these groups already forming alliances without her. These three parties combined got less than 2% in NSW. Lib Dems <1.5% nationally outside NSW. Pauline Hanson's One Nation (FON): 5.8% in NSW Senate (up 2 points from 2022). "Teeny Weeny" might get up in QLD, maybe one in WA, but not enough in NSW. Family First: 1.67%. Cannibalizing each other's fractional votes; no real electoral success. "Cooked bullshit" validated briefly during pandemic but no longer. [01:44:07 - 01:55:30] Cooker Delusions & Financial Realities Rodney Culleton (Great Australia Party, WA): 0.97% (down from 1.05% in 2022, <1000 votes). Facebook comment: "Billy Bay" claiming Rennick's race is "close but unlikely" – met with derision (Rennick at ~10% of a quota). Cooker commenter "Brad": "It was never about forming government... Isn't it about getting candidates into the Senate to hold balance of power?" – Delusional. Funding Threshold: 4% of the vote in House or Senate to get election funding (deposit back). Most minor "freedom" parties will not reach this. Expensive failure for Ruddock, Culleton etc. (Clive Palmer won't care). Rodney Culleton on crutches, asking for help collecting corflutes. Still an undischarged bankrupt (potential issue with candidate registration stat dec). [01:55:30 - 02:09:00] More Cooker Antics & Failed Candidates Craig "Crackers" Kelly: Number 1 on Libertarian Senate ticket in NSW. Likely his political end. Cooker dreams of Senate balance of power via double dissolution are unfounded – even with a halved quota, they are nowhere near. Joel’s anecdote: Acquaintance supporting Gerard Rennick, suggesting some surface-level cut-through for People First Party, but election results prove otherwise. John Ruddock's efforts to make Lib Dems the "party of cookers" with Kelly as lead failed spectacularly. Dai Le (Fowler, NSW): Re-elected. Breaks Joel's heart ("total asshole"). Ben Fordham headline: Le claims Labor tried to buy votes. Her initial election attributed to Labor parachuting Kristina Keneally. Le now seen as a premier "cooker voice" as Rennick, Malcolm Roberts, and Alex Antic have limited national reach (Antic more on Telegram). Antic's influence has hurt SA Liberals (only 2 rural seats, nothing in Adelaide). Avi Yemini/Rukshan Fernando/Joel Jammal "freedom" telecast: Alex Antic was a guest, claiming good chances for some (unnamed) "cooker" candidates. [02:09:00 - 02:21:45] Mark "Mack" McFarlane & Cooker Live Stream Mark McFarlane (Mark Mack): The elder abuser (court finding: withheld medication, financial exploitation). Ran as an independent in Indi. Exposed by Tinfoil Tales, story picked up by mainstream media. Liberals changed preferences away from him. Freedom movement largely hasn't disowned him (Beck Freedom an outlier). McFarlane claims to be a "targeted individual." Received 1,268 votes (~1-2%), lost deposit. Cooker Live Stream (Avi Yemini, Rukshan Fernando, Joel Jammal): Monica Smit: Appeared, advocated for "freedom" people to join major parties (Liberals) to make change. Joel questions her understanding of politics and impact on Liberal party IQ/values. Drew Pavlou: Guest, "destroyed" by Avi Yemini in an edited clip ("leftist justifies Labor vote"). Drew actually voted Labor first, Greens last. Content designed for cooker base. Topher Field: Appeared. Morgan C. Jonas: Spent money on materials for Hunter (Dan Repiccioli's seat). AI-generated posters: "Burgers, Bowen and Blunders: The Dan Burglar - Put Labor Last." (Features Dan, Chris Bowen, and an Albo/Noam Chomsky hybrid). "Double Trouble" (Albo & Sid Allen): "More Debt, More Crime" – became a joke. On the live stream, 2 hours in, Jonas claimed Dutton would get a surprise victory/form minority government. (Jack notes he called it for Labor by 7:30 pm). Jonas claimed cooker vote around 16% in Victorian Senate (actual, including FON, is ~9.6%; without FON/Family First, much lower). [02:21:45 - 02:31:36] Russell Broadbent & Final Cooker Thoughts Russell Broadbent (Monash, VIC): Incumbent Liberal who lost pre-selection (to Mary Aldred, who got a 2.2% swing to her), ran as an independent. Broadbent got 10% as an Indy. Convinced he lost pre-selection for being a "cooker." "Fucked his career" by spending too much time on the internet (like Craig Kelly). Could have remained Member for Hughes. Broadbent: Father of the House, 25 years, never front bench. Time for fresh blood. Albo gave him a "free ad" during campaign, pitying his treatment. Appeared on Topher Field/Children's Health Defence Australia "election insights." Recent Broadbent Facebook post thanking pharmacists met with overwhelmingly negative comments from his new cooker base. Will have a good retirement on parliamentary super. [02:31:36 - END] Outro & Contact Subscribe, five-star review. Twitter: @JacktheInsider, @CrunchyMoses (with a K). Email: theconditionalreleaseprogram@gmail.com Joke about joining the Liberal Party for renewal, Jack offers to cross-dress.…

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The Two Jacks - Episode 112 - Australian Election Post-Mortem, Canadian Stunner & Trump's Papal Dreams 1:35:05

6 weeks ago1:35:05

1:35:05

More AI notes for y'all. They're not bad! Episode Link: Find this and other episodes at The Conditional Release Program on RedCircle . Recorded: May 5, 2025 (two days after the Australian Federal Election) Hosts: Jack the Insider & Hong Kong Jack In this episode, The Two Jacks dissect the stunning Australian federal election results, explore a surprising political turnaround in Canada, ponder the next Pope, and touch on global political shifts from the UK to Germany, and the latest from Trump's America. (00:00:00) Introduction & Australian Election: An Orderly Affair Jack the Insider and Hong Kong Jack kick off by praising the smooth and festive nature of the Australian federal election, highlighting the efficiency of the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) and the beloved "democracy sausage." (00:02:21) The Pre-Poll Phenomenon A discussion on the increasing trend of pre-polling, with over half of Australians casting their vote before election day. The hosts debate the merits of shortening the pre-polling period, with Hong Kong Jack lamenting the decline of traditional Saturday voting. (00:06:06) Betting Blunders & Historic Results Labor's remarkable journey from $15 outsiders to $1.07 unbackable favourites to form government is reviewed. The episode highlights key historical markers: Anthony Albanese: The first Prime Minister re-elected since 2004. A significant Labor victory, with Albanese leading the first government in Australian political history to increase its majority in a second term. (00:09:17) Seat Swings, Mea Culpas & The Greens' Tumble The hosts reflect on their pre-election predictions against the reality of significant swings to Labor (e.g., a 10% swing in Bennelong). Labor is projected to win around 90 seats. The Greens: A tough election, with leader Adam Bandt likely to lose his seat in Melbourne. Zoe Daniel (Teal) is also in a precarious position in Goldstein. The Greens may lose Ryan back to the Liberals and potentially face no representation in the House of Representatives. (00:13:38) A UK Perspective & Labor's Resurgence Hong Kong Jack shares insights from the UK, where observers noted Labor's landslide and the "leaderless, rudderless, pointless" state of the Coalition. This challenges the narrative that incumbents always lose, citing recent Canadian and Australian results. (00:16:27) Liberal Campaign Catastrophe: A "Don't Do This" Case Study A deep dive into the Liberal Party's "dreadful campaign," marked by: The ill-conceived work-from-home policy, poorly communicated by Senator Jane Hume and lacking consultation. A string of policy backflips and poorly planned announcements (e.g., fuel excise cut, Melbourne airport rail funding announced at a winery). Peter Dutton has accepted responsibility for the campaign's failures. (00:22:46) Trump's Take & The Muted MAGA Effect Donald Trump's reaction to the Australian election (congratulating "Albert" while feigning ignorance of Dutton) is discussed. The hosts agree that MAGA influence was minimal, with Albanese's message of "kindness is not weakness" resonating more strongly. (00:25:13) The Liberal Party's Existential Crossroads A critical analysis of the Liberal Party's future, having lost traditional heartland seats and failed to broaden its appeal beyond an aging demographic. The danger of vacating the political centre and the flawed strategy of chasing a new "working-class" constituency. Hong Kong Jack draws parallels to Labor's wilderness years (1977, 1996), emphasizing the need for honest self-reflection for any chance of recovery. Labor's structural advantages: benefiting from Green preferences and a more unified progressive base compared to a fragmented right-wing, further diluted by entities like Clive Palmer's party. (00:39:58) Senate Snapshot: Stability Prevails An overview of the projected Senate makeup across the states: NSW & VIC: Likely Labor 3, Liberals 2, Greens 1. QLD: Labor 2, Libs 2, Greens 1, with One Nation's Malcolm Roberts likely re-elected. TAS: Jacqui Lambie expected to return. ACT: Independent David Pocock secures his quota alongside a Labor senator. Overall, the Senate composition is unlikely to see dramatic changes. David Pocock is commended for his diligent work. (00:42:25) Who Will Lead the Liberals? A Party in Search of Direction Speculation on the future leadership of the Liberal Party, with few obvious candidates emerging from a depleted frontbench. Dan Tehan is mentioned as a possible moderate caretaker, though the path back to government looks long and arduous. (00:45:58) Albanese: The New "Labor God" & Chalmers' Contribution Anthony Albanese is lauded for his historic achievement, with Jim Chalmers highlighted as a key performer and media operator for Labor, despite Hong Kong Jack's gentle ribbing about his lengthy essays. (00:48:56) Canadian Politics Upended: Liberals' Shock Comeback A look at the Canadian election, where the Liberals achieved a stunning turnaround, with Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre facing a potential seat loss. Donald Trump's inflammatory rhetoric towards Canada is seen as a contributing factor to this shift. (00:52:12) Vatican Watch: Speculating on the Next Pope With Pope Francis's papacy in its later stages, the hosts discuss potential successors. Italian cardinals like Pietro Parolin are frontrunners, but names from Africa and the Philippines also surface. Hong Kong Jack references Morris West's The Shoes of the Fisherman for insights into papal conclaves. (00:55:52) Sir Tony Blair on Net Zero & The Reality of Fossil Fuels Former UK PM Sir Tony Blair's call for a rethink of Net Zero policies due to cost implications is examined. Global fossil fuel consumption continues to rise (gas +2.7%, coal +1%, oil +0.8%), underscoring the challenge of the energy transition. (01:00:24) Trump's First 100 Days (Again): Low Approval, Tariff Troubles & Papal Attire Donald Trump's second term hits the 100-day mark with historically low approval ratings (39%). The economic impact of his tariffs is starting to bite (LA port imports down one-third, US economy shrinking). Adding to the unusual, Trump has been pictured in papal robes on the White House website, even expressing a desire to be Pope. (01:05:49) UK Political Fragmentation: Reform's Rise, Tories' Fall The UK's political landscape remains volatile. Recent local and by-election results project a national vote share that would see the Reform party at 30% and the Conservatives decimated to around 15% and potentially only five seats. (01:08:44) Germany Considers Banning Far-Right AFD Germany is contemplating a ban on the far-right AFD party, the largest single party in the Bundestag. The hosts discuss the problematic nature of banning popular political movements, arguing it often backfires. (01:11:21) Jay Rayner on Media: Mainstream vs. Social Food critic Jay Rayner's comments on the state of media are discussed, questioning the perceived universal informedness of mainstream journalists and acknowledging that both traditional and social media produce "rubbish." (01:15:29) AFL Round-Up: Carlton's Collapse, Collingwood-Geelong Classic Carlton suffers a 10-goal drubbing by Adelaide, with Jack Silvani's absence keenly felt. Collingwood vs. Geelong is hailed as a "cracker" game, showcasing great skill and sportsmanship. Concerns are raised about key AFL games not being available on free-to-air television, potentially alienating younger fans. (01:22:18) Cricket News: Indian Prodigy & Vale "The Buzz" A 17-year-old Indian cricketer makes waves in the IPL with a century. The hosts pay tribute to Carlton AFL legend Peter Bosustow ("The Buzz"), who passed away after a battle with cancer, remembering his electrifying impact on the game. (01:27:27) NRL Update & Women's State of Origin Shines The Bulldogs continue their strong NRL run, while the Panthers finally notch a win. The NRL is praised for its successful promotion of the women's game, with the Women's State of Origin proving highly watchable. (01:29:51) An Ode to Whale Waste: Ecological Importance Hong Kong Jack shares a fascinating environmental tidbit on the crucial role of whale excrement and urine in ocean ecosystems, highlighting a baleen whale's impressive daily urine output of 950 litres. (01:32:10) Wrapping Up: A Transformative Election & How to Connect Jack the Insider concludes that Australia has witnessed a significant political transformation, with Anthony Albanese poised to be a long-term, impactful leader. Connect with the hosts: Jack the Insider: On X (formerly Twitter) @JackTheInsider (DMs open) Hong Kong Jack: On Twitter and his Substack.…

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Episode 184 - Cookers with Dave feat. Eyebrows, Bonds, Monica and Dr. Doordash! 1:54:35

6 weeks ago1:54:35

1:54:35

Listeners! It' election day and I cannot be bothered so it's AI shownotes this week. Enjoy! Hosts: Joel Hill & Dave (Cooker Watcher Supreme) (00:00:00) Introduction & Welcome Joel welcomes listeners and introduces guest host Dave, replacing Jack the Insider. Shoutout: CB Co Beer for election night viewing. Mention of a competition involving a boat trip. Election Calls to Action: Vote 1 Fiona Patton in the Victorian Senate, preference 2 Purple Pingers. (00:01:48) Tinfoil Tales Follow-Up: The Next Pope? Discussion on cooker theories about the next Pope (King Charles?). Lindsey Graham's tweet suggesting Donald Trump for Pope. 00:02:38 Dave reads the tweet. Trump's blue suit vs. Obama's tan suit controversy revisited. Brief thoughts on the late Pope's legacy and potential successor. (00:04:37) Dave's Cooker Report: Cessnock & CPAC Dave attended a meeting with Joel Jammal ("Eyebrows") in Cessnock (his 8th visit). Jammal debriefed the local unnamed "Freedom Group" (often linked to One Nation) on his CPAC trip. Local Candidates Present: Stuart Bonds (One Nation candidate for Hunter). Jennifer Stefanak (Trumpet of Patriots Newcastle) - Flat Earther, aliens are fallen angels, won NCAT case after dismissal from child services. Not allowed to speak despite attending. Mysterious Host: Christine Stevens, credited by Jammal as "brains behind the Wollongbae Road campaign" (a local road widening project used by cookers). Stevens now campaign manager for Stuart Bonds (referred to as "boss"). Possible links to broader far-right organising. Joel Jammal's Gifts: Rolled-up maps for Cessnock's 6 cooker councillors showing ALP vs. Voice 'No' vote intersections. Maps available for purchase from Jammal. Jammal's CPAC Trip: Won the trip via the "Shark Bites Pitching Contest" at CPAC Australia (Sky paywall). Winners expected to produce content upon return. Included a communication seminar with Steve Bannon. Stuart Bonds' Candidacy (Hunter): Odds discussed ($10 on Sportsbet). Labor's Dan Repacholi favoured ($1.15). Bonds' history: 21% primary in 2019, left One Nation, rejoined. Consistent far-right vote in the region. Bonds' desire to "start a conversation about coal mining" (already ongoing). Discussion on Labor's telehealth plan and cooker opposition. (00:24:07) Trumpism & Dutton's Campaign Discussion on the "blueprint for Trump 28". Chris LaCivita (Trump advisor) reportedly helped Peter Dutton's campaign. Joel questions the effectiveness given global trends. Mainstream media's difficulty rallying behind Dutton. (00:25:52) Cooker Report Part 2: Gosford & MyPlace Dave attended the Lisa Bellamy independent campaign launch in Gosford. Follow-on from "Coasties Who Care" (MyPlace environmentalist council ticket). Shadowy Figure: Kate Mason (anti-renewable circuit, IPA/Advance events). Launched Bellamy's campaign. Campaign barely mentions climate change, focuses on opposing Aboriginal Land Council developments. Key Figures on Stage: Jake Cassar (musician, prepper). Lisa Bellamy (MyPlace coordinator, seen at Convoy with Kate Mason). Vicki Burke (MyPlace food/water security organiser, believes in aliens/other planets). Group suggests increased One Nation vote would benefit them. Bellamy received ~3000 votes previously. Kate Mason's Agenda: Reshaping the environment movement to focus on conspiracies (15-min cities, anti-meat). Shapeshifted from anti-vax (IMOP) -> Voice 'No' -> Anti-artificial food/Bellamy campaign. Significant Telegram following despite "gobbledygook" posts. Rally vs. Darkinjung Land Council/Woolworths Development: Focus remains on Land Council projects. Racist undertones ("love the land as much as we do"). Links to Garingai (now potentially split/rebranded). NRL Welcome to Country discussed. Jake Cassar Deep Dive: Constant self-promotion, minimal concrete environmental vision beyond opposing the Land Council. Attacks Labor/Greens. Right-wing presence at events. Ballarat missing person search (found dog with SES). Yowie encounter at Woy Woy tip. Lack of accountability in Facebook environmental groups (anti-immigration/Aboriginal rhetoric). (00:40:33) Monica Smit's Private Prosecution of Dan Andrews Monica plans a private criminal prosecution against Dan Andrews (and Jacinta Allan). Website Quote: "The wait is over righteous justice begins now" - Monica Smit. Topher Field involved as cheerleader/promoter. Basis: "New evidence" (Document 34 FOI email) allegedly showing curfew decision made before consulting CHO Brett Sutton. Implication: tyranny, not health advice. Joel suggests it was likely capitulation to police enforcement ease. Fundraising: Claimed $124,605 raised (via manually updated widget). Monica paid herself $1000/week stipend already. Monica's Justification ("Why me?"): Stood toe-to-toe and won, relentless energy, prison time (refused bail), won appeal, resisted database handover, won unlawful arrest case (appealing costs decision), claims past refund integrity, lives simply, no distractions (children/friends). Bender (@SpambotX) Twitter Thread: Brutal takedown of Monica as a "despicable con woman". Highlights Consumer Affairs conviction ($66k pocketed from unregistered fundraiser). Accuses Topher Field of seeking a cut. Details legal failures, self-orchestrated "martyrdom", $250k legal bill after rejecting settlement. Criticises "journalism" and book ("Cell 22"). Predicts prosecution failure and abandonment once donations dry up. Bender's Legal Analysis (Round 2): Private prosecution (Crimes Act s 321) needs prima facie case, not conspiracy. Document 34 likely inadmissible hearsay. Misconduct charge needs proof of knowing, malicious law-breaking ( R v Quach ). Lockdowns upheld ( Loielo v Giles ), backed by Public Health Act & CHO advice. DPP can shut down frivolous cases (Public Prosecutions Act s 22). Previous treason case tossed out. Criticises fundraising transparency (Fundraising Act 1998), $52k/year salary. Highlights past legal issues (incitement charges dropped, health order conviction, Judge Tran's comments). Past Precedent: 2021 private prosecution for treason (Anthony Herman) recalled - chaotic online hearing. Monica's Timeline & Updates: Initial plan: Assemble legal team by April 24, first meeting April 30. Reality (May 1): No team announced. Video claims it will take "a few weeks" to pick lawyers. Met with a lawyer ($500/hr, 2 hours booked). Posted picture near a waterfall instead of legal updates ("reset and reload"). Now targeting Jacinta Allan as well. Promises refund of remaining balance if no prospect of success. Discussion on cooker lawyers (Matouk, Buckley). Monica's motivation seen as attention/clout chasing. (01:17:54) Return to The Cali (Caledonian Hotel, Singleton) Dave attended Pauline Hanson & Stuart Bonds event ($20 lunch that never happened). Low turnout (~45 people in beer garden). Regulars, pensioners, Chris Sky filming, James Ashby present. Stuart Bonds Guardian article discussed (misogyny, anti-vax, "Little Hitlers"). Worn as badge of honour. Homeschooling attempt due to "woke trans agenda". Red Ensign described as "real flag". Unregistered campaign trailer incident. Pauline Hanson: Speech built to "greatest hits" (Aboriginal industry). Mumbles less the longer she speaks. Cali Update: Corruption Whistleblower book sold at bar (credit card accepted). Eureka beer on tap (FJB beer rebranded/gone?). Frenchies brewery connection? Pub seems to be returning to normal operations, but Red Ensign still flies. Food looks good, beer selection poor (Lion Nathan). No coal miners attended the event despite Bonds' background. (01:36:30) Candidates Forum: Patterson (Port Stephens) Dave attended forum; ABC filming due to anti-wind turbine mob presence. Low turnout of protesters (~5 loud individuals). Meryl Swanson (Labor incumbent) well-prepared. Marginal seat: Libs (Lawrence Ancliffe), aligned Independent, One Nation, Trumpet, Family First running against Swanson. History of intimidation (boat incident during Mayoral campaign). Betting odds discussed (Labor $1.66, Coalition $2.37). YouGov poll (Labor 51.8%). Irony: Libs proposed nuclear plant at Port Stephens in 2007. Bizarre Moments: Trumpet candidate Peter Arena: Wind turbines interfere with missile detection; mentioned fighting audience member over wife littering. (01:42:37) Billy Bay vs GAP Feud Update Dr. William Bay told people not to vote for GAP (Great Australian Party) despite running for them. Rod Culleton's response. Billy Bay's letter to Culleton: Mock SovCit style ("Office of Vexatious Litigants and Spiritual Audits"), demands apology, foot kissing, $8 trillion. Full of threats (librarian grievance, livestream in lab coat, seizing karma balance). Written on GAP letterhead. Feud background (payment disputes) covered previously by Tinfoil Tales. (01:46:51) Amelia Hamer (Liberal, Kooyong) vs The People Recap: Fake renter scandal (owns 2 properties + trust fund beneficiary). A-Frame sign spamming controversy vs Monique Ryan (Teal MP). Council imposed one-sign limit due to safety/obstruction complaints. Liberals took council to Supreme Court over implied freedom of political communication. Court upheld freedom but allowed council safety enforcement (opaque outcome). Likely outcome: confrontations over sign placement. James Patterson claiming victory. Joel predicts local backlash. (01:51:08) Election Odds & Predictions Sportsbet: Labor $1.05, Coalition $9.50. YouGov: Labor 53 / Coalition 47 (2PP). Projecting 84 seats for Labor (75 needed for majority). Dickson (Dutton's seat): YouGov 50.2% LNP / 49.8% ALP. Sportsbet has Dutton favourite ($1.28 vs $3.35). Joel laments betting ban but expresses optimism for Labor win, potential Dutton loss. (01:53:29) Wrap Up & Outro Joel thanks Dave for his "invaluable" and "brave" cooker reporting. Standard Patreon plugs etc. skipped. Sign off & enjoy the election.…

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The Two Jacks - Episode 111 - All The Ones 1:33:54

7 weeks ago1:33:54

1:33:54

AI shownotes again. I'm sure they are totally accurate. Recorded: ANZAC Day (Australian Public Holiday) Hosts: Jack the Insider & Hong Kong Jack Introduction & ANZAC Day Reflections (00:00:01 - 00:01:17) Jack the Insider welcomes listeners to Episode 111, recorded on ANZAC Day. Mention of an interruption at the Melbourne Dawn Service involving neo-Nazi Jacob Hersant. Introduction of Hong Kong Jack. Hong Kong Update & Australian Politics (00:01:17 - 00:10:05) Hong Kong Exodus: Hong Kong Jack notes 2.2 million people left Hong Kong over Easter. Jacob Hersant Incident: Further discussion on the neo-Nazi escorted from the Shrine of Remembrance. Rise of Neo-Nazism & Fringe Candidates: Jack the Insider discusses the history (Jim Sallium) and current state of far-right politics, including candidates with criminal convictions (Rod Culleton, Dixon candidate) potentially running despite Section 44 eligibility issues. Section 44 Cases: Mention of Phil Cleary and a Greens candidate ("secret New Zealander"). YouGov Poll Analysis: Labor: 33.5% LNP: 31% Greens: 14% One Nation: 10.5% (up significantly from ~5% in 2022) TPP: 53.5% (Labor) / 46.5% (LNP) Preference Flows: Discussion on One Nation's decision to preference LNP and historical preference flows to Labor. Challenges for minor parties getting How-To-Vote cards distributed (comparison to Democrats). Election Analysis & Predictions (00:10:05 - 00:20:42) Declining Two-Party System: Combined Labor/LNP primary vote down from the last election. LNP Strategy Critiqued: Jack the Insider criticizes the LNP for not adapting post-2022 election, particularly regarding teal seats and climate change. Campaign Trail: Albanese campaigning in Liberal marginals; Dutton's comments on Melbourne safety. Election Outcome Predictions: Jack the Insider: Labor majority (around 76-80 seats). Hong Kong Jack: Labor minority. Liberal Campaign Issues: Comparison to Latham's 2004 campaign, social media mishaps ("muppet heads"), vehicle emissions policy backflip. Betting Odds: Discussion on the shift in betting markets, favoring Labor. Early Voting: Debate on the merits and drawbacks of pre-polling, referencing Darren Hinch and Imre Selizynski's comments, and accessibility issues. Politics, Religion & Geopolitics (00:20:42 - 00:41:55) Preference Deals & Jewish Community: Discussion on Labor's preference deals with the Greens in McNamara (open ticket for Josh Burns) vs. Isaacs (Mark Dreyfus), causing concern in the Jewish community. Mention of the Adas Israel synagogue firebombing and surrounding uncertainties/rumours. Pope Francis's Passing: Reflections on his papacy. Hong Kong Jack prefers John Paul II; Jack the Insider defends Francis and criticizes JP II over handling scandals. Discussion on potential successors and the slow pace of change in the Catholic Church. Easter & Religion: Easter memes, the role of the Catholic Church (charity vs. criticism), changes in Ireland, Catholics selectively following doctrine (e.g., contraception). India-Pakistan Tensions: Escalation following a militant attack in Kashmir. India threatens to cut off water supplies to Pakistan. Historical context, nuclear capabilities, and the danger of water rights disputes. Brief mentions of Pakistan's internal issues and conditions in Bangladesh. US Politics & Global Affairs (00:41:55 - 00:55:28) Trump & Trade: Trump walks back China tariff threats after meeting retail executives concerned about Christmas stock. Discussion on Trump's understanding of trade. US Courts & Executive Orders: Judge Kollar-Kotelly's ruling striking down parts of Trump's order requiring citizenship proof for voter registration, while upholding other sections. Discussion on the proper role of courts, checks and balances, and Congress's inaction leading to increased reliance on executive orders. Russia-Ukraine Peace Proposal: Details of a proposed deal involving US recognition of Russian control over Crimea/Eastern regions, no NATO for Ukraine, lifting sanctions vs. European security guarantees for Ukraine, return of some territory, etc. Criticism from Boris Johnson; seen as unfavourable to Ukraine. Trump's tweet urging Putin to stop strikes on Kyiv. Anniversaries & Culture (00:55:28 - 00:58:31) Saigon Evacuation: 50th anniversary of the Australian Embassy evacuation, noting local staff left behind. Crocodile Dundee: 39th anniversary. Paul Hogan's comments, investment success stories (Dennis Lillee). Yahoo Serious: Mention of a current court case. Sports: Cricket, AFL & More (00:58:31 - 01:29:28) Keith Stackpole (RIP): Tribute to the former Australian cricketer. Discussion of his career as a player (opener, aggressive batsman) and commentator. Anecdotes involving Bill Lawry, Kerry O'Keeffe, Harsha Bhogle. AFL Send-Off Rule Debate: Sparked by the Nash/Miers incident. Arguments for/against a red card, implementation challenges (timing, concussion protocols), historical examples, Lee Matthews' view. MCG Security & SCG Fan Ban: Increased security for ANZAC Day game. Discussion on the SCG Trust's two-year ban on a 16-year-old fan for throwing/dropping a record near Aliir Aliir – deemed excessive by the hosts. Noah Balta Controversy: Richmond player playing before being sentenced for assault. Criticism of Richmond's handling, the AFL's stance, player's curfew impacting availability, and political commentary surrounding the issue. Tom De Koning Contract: Rumoured huge offer from St Kilda. Discussion on his value, the Gawn/Grundy comparison, implications for both clubs, and the changing role/importance of elite ruckmen. NRL: Broncos defeat Bulldogs; several Bulldogs players facing bans. Roosters vs Dragons ANZAC match preview. Rugby & Cricket Updates: James O'Connor's late-game heroics; Cameron Green's century on County debut for Gloucestershire; IPL viewing challenges. Final Thoughts (01:29:28 - End) Meat Consumption Trends: Rebound in meat buying over plant-based alternatives. Unnecessary Technology: Comparison of plant-based foods and internet-connected fridges. ANZAC Day AFL Game: 30th anniversary of the Essendon vs Collingwood match, origins involving Kevin Sheedy and Gabby Allen. Wrap-up & Sign-off.…

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Episode 183 - The Kids Are Not Alright 1:42:28

9 weeks ago1:42:28

1:42:28

Listeners this one is a bit hectic. The kids are getting up to all sorts of cooked stuff online and it involves a lot of real life traumatic behaviour which is deeply unpleasant and completely depraved. But it's important to discuss stuff like this as sunlight can have a positive impact on making these people less brazen and more afraid of the consequences of their horrible actions. Anyway, here's some AI slop shownotes - Listener discretion is advised! The Conditioned Release Program: Episode 183 - The Kids Are Not Alright Hosts: Jack the Insider (Peter Hoysted) & Joel Hill Episode Summary: In this deeply unsettling episode, Jack and Joel dive into the dark corners of the internet to expose dangerous online child exploitation networks. The primary focus is on the group known as 764, but the discussion also covers related extremist networks like CVLT, NLM (No Lives Matter), and the Order of Nine Angles (O9A). The hosts catalogue the disturbing methods these groups use, the real-world harm they inflict, and the challenges faced in combating them. Content Warning: This episode contains extremely disturbing content, including detailed discussions of child sex exploitation, suicide, self-harm, grooming, coercion, and mass murder events. Listener discretion is strongly advised. If you are not prepared for graphic and upsetting material, please skip this episode. (00:01:05 - 00:01:25) Support & Helplines: If this episode raises concerns, please reach out for support: Lifeline Australia: 13 11 14 Suicide Call Back Service: 1300 659 467 (00:01:37) Support the Conditioned Release Program on Patreon to help them continue their research and production: www.patreon.com/theconditionalreleaseprogram (00:02:07 - 00:02:44) Key Topics & Timestamps: (00:00:09) Introduction: Jack and Joel introduce the grim topic: the dangers lurking online for children. (00:00:49) Introducing 764: Joel introduces the focus on online exploitation networks, particularly the group 764. (00:04:32) What is 764?: A closer look at 764 - an online network primarily involving teenage boys coercing and blackmailing vulnerable peers (often girls) into self-harm and producing CSAM (Child Sexual Abuse Material). Discusses incel vibes and the fluid nature of membership between extremist groups. (00:10:56) Origins & Related Networks: Exploration of the networks that preceded or inspired 764: CVLT (Cult with a V): (00:11:11, 00:34:00) NLM (No Lives Matter): (00:11:20, 00:44:09) Order of Nine Angles (O9A): (00:11:20, 00:48:04) The COM (Community): (00:12:04) (00:12:17) Precursors - The Blue Whale Challenge: Discussion of the infamous 2016 "game" linked to numerous child suicides in Russia. (00:29:15) Challenges in Policing/Research: The difficulty researchers, media, and academics face in tracking these groups due to the prevalence of illegal CSAM, which carries strict liability offences for possession/viewing. (00:33:36) Case Study - Bradley Cadenhead: The founder of 764 (handles: Brad764, Felix764 ), arrested in Texas for CSAM possession/distribution and manipulation of minors. His links to CVLT and Caleb Merritt. (00:34:13) Case Study - Caleb Merritt: Leader of CVLT, arrested for kidnapping, rape, CSAM, and grooming. Currently serving a 30-year sentence. Linked to an international neo-fascist group. (00:44:09) NLM (No Lives Matter) Deep Dive: Examination of NLM's extremist publications ( The Terror Guide, The Manhunt Guide, NLM Kill Guide ), operational security, and partnerships with neo-Nazi groups like Mordwaffen Division (MWD) and the Russian WRME/MKU (Maniac Murder Cult). (00:48:04) Order of Nine Angles (O9A) Deep Dive: Discussion of O9A's extreme neo-Nazi, Satanist ideology focused on societal collapse through violence, infiltration (e.g., military, police), and "culling." Mention of the US Marine who plotted an attack on his own unit. (00:51:15) (00:52:00) Recent Incidents: Mention of a 16-year-old arrested in the US (April 2025) for killing his parents as part of a plot against Donald Trump, highlighting potential links to these ideologies. (00:52:45) Case Study - Finnegan: UK 764 member who pleaded guilty to encouraging suicide, possessing terrorism manuals, and CSAM. (01:06:25) The Dilemma of Reporting: Discussion on the balancing act authorities face between warning the public (especially parents) about these groups and the risk of inadvertently promoting them or inspiring copycats among vulnerable teens. (01:24:49) Final Thoughts on 764: Recap of the unpleasant but necessary discussion, emphasizing the low public awareness and the constantly evolving, organic nature of these groups. (01:25:42) The Week in Pete Evans: A shift to a lighter segment to decompress after the heavy main topic. Calls to Action: Share this episode: Given the critical importance and low awareness of this topic, please share this episode with others, especially parents, while including the necessary content warnings. (01:46:50) Subscribe & Review: Subscribe to The Conditioned Release Program and leave a five-star review if you appreciate their work. (01:46:17) Patreon: Support the show via Patreon . (01:47:16) Contact: Send feedback, tips, or death threats to theconditionalreleaseprogramme@gmail.com . (01:47:34) (Note: The hosts mention they are not active on Twitter/X) (01:46:23)…

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The Two Jacks - Episode 109 - Federal Election - Tariffs - ABC Radio - Censorship 1:31:21

9 weeks ago1:31:21

1:31:21

HECTIC AI SHOWNOTES CAUSE WE ARE LAZY, GOBBLESS. Enjoy! The Two Jacks - Episode 109: Election Update, Tariff Tremors & Online Policing Hosted by: Hong Kong Jack & Jack the Insider Welcome to Episode 109 of The Two Jacks! This week, Jack and Jackdive into the thick of the Australian federal election, dissect President Trump's latest tariff moves, debate the policing of online speech, and touch on French politics, climate action, and sports. Key Topics Discussed: Australian Federal Election (00:00:20) Campaign Update: Entering the second week. Polling: Labor showing potential for a majority (News Poll 52-48), similar to other polls (51-49 to 52-48), despite a low primary vote (~32.5%). Recalls Labor's 2022 win with a similar primary vote. Leaders' Debate: Discussion of the Sky News debate between Peter Dutton and Anthony Albanese. Joel views it as a draw, though Albanese was declared the winner by audience vote (approx. 44-35). Campaign Weaknesses (00:17:45): Both Jacks agree the campaign lacks substance, particularly on crucial issues like productivity and housing affordability. They note the difficulty for citizens needing to live far from CBDs (e.g., South Morang vs. Fitzroy historically) and criticize the parties for avoiding hard decisions. US Tariffs & Global Economy (00:28:00 & 00:48:04) Trump's Tariff Policy: Discussion on the imposition and subsequent 90-day delay of new tariffs on countries like Vietnam (47%), the Philippines (17%), and others. Standard 10% tariff remains elsewhere. Negotiations: Reports of Vietnam, Thailand, and Japan engaging or preparing to negotiate, though Trump's claims about eagerness are questioned. Japan plans a "comprehensive response." Market Impact (00:30:08): Initial $9 trillion market loss, followed by a significant S&P 500 recovery (largest since 2008, but still below January levels). Oil prices jumped, and US bond yields fell, raising debt crisis concerns. Jack emphasizes the importance of bond yields (cost of borrowing for the US government). Motivations & Consequences (00:40:07): Is it an assertion of US economic muscle? Jack notes bipartisan support for the idea (feeling the US gets the short end), but the hosts critique the erratic rollout. Potential consequences include US inflation, slowed GDP growth, and job losses. Listener Feedback (Lawrence) (00:48:04): Criticizes the "schizophrenic" messaging (tariffs fixing jobs and deficits simultaneously) and the floated (but unconfirmed by Trump admin) idea of abolishing income tax. Outlook: Potential shift towards multilateral trade negotiations among other countries. Listener Feedback: ABC Radio (00:45:51) Listener Lawrence reflects on the Jacks' previous comments about changes at ABC Radio, noting a perceived shift in their stance from wanting "new blood" to "bemoaning changes." Joel's Clarification: Concern is about management bringing in people with FM radio backgrounds lacking national broadcaster experience, not against new faces generally. Jack's Clarification: Agrees on needing turnover ("new voices") but questions the strategy of chasing a youth demographic on ABC Radio, suggesting consolidation of the existing audience is better. Social Media Censorship & Online Dangers (UK Focus) (00:51:20) UK Arrests: Report from The Times: British police making ~33 arrests daily in 2023/24 for "offensive" online posts causing "annoyance, inconvenience or anxiety" (12,183 arrests total), a 58% rise since 2019. Policing Concerns: Many arrests lead to questioning and release without charge, raising questions about efficient use of police resources. Jack mentions the decriminalization of burglary adding context. Historical Context (00:54:31): Jack traces the issue back to the late 1990s and the concept of "non-crime hate incidents" arising from the Stephen Lawrence inquiry, arguing it introduced subjectivity and inconsistency compared to investigating objective crimes. He critiques arresting people before establishing if a crime occurred. Nuance & Online Harms (00:56:40): Joel notes arrests might relate to other offenses alongside "malicious communications." While agreeing trivial cases waste resources, he highlights the dark side of social media, including severe online bullying (mentions group "764-JAC") and stalking, arguing police surveillance is needed for serious threats. Under-16 Social Media Ban (01:02:37): Joel reflects on the Albanese government's ban, admitting he initially opposed it but is reconsidering due to the severity of online harms affecting children. French Politics Update (01:03:47) Far-right leader Marine Le Pen vows presidential run, controversially comparing herself to Martin Luther King Jr. and Alexei Navalny. Jordan Bardella (29 y.o. National Rally Chairman) emerges as a potential alternative, stating he could run if Le Pen is unable. Both Jacks see this as a likely and possibly strategically better outcome for the party. Climate Action & Protests (01:06:00) Discussion on Extinction Rebellion protests (e.g., Sydney Harbour Bridge closure) and their effectiveness versus public disruption. Critique of proposed policies like banning private jets or frequent flyer taxes as unworkable and unhelpful grandstanding. Jack jokes he's the "Greta Thunberg of Hong Kong" due to his low carbon footprint (no car, little travel). Sporting Roundup Cricket (01:10:00): Sheffield Shield Final recap (Victoria vs WA), WA wins due to finishing top after a draw. Historical anecdote about Bill Ponsford's marathon innings in the 1948 final. Marcus Harris's recent form (161 in Shield, 138 for Lancashire). AFL (01:19:30): Discussion on Tasmania's potential AFL team, stadium funding debates, and the Gather Round concept's success in South Australia and potential future locations. Final Listener Note & Sign Off (01:29:46) Listener CD provides follow-up on a previous discussion about Basil Zempilis, noting his uncle (Con Zempilis) was the Chief Stipendiary Magistrate for Western Australia. The Jacks wrap up Episode 109.…

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The Two Jacks 108 - Election 2025 1:34:55

10 weeks ago1:34:55

1:34:55

And we're off and running to a federal election on May 3. The Two Jacks review the polling and the campaign thus far with Albo and Labor firming in polls and the betting markets. JTI looks at a mistake-addled period from the Coalition and wonders if they have run out of road. We also got to find out what corflutes are! Meanwhile in the US, there is only Trump but how did this man get re-elected? Much of the blame falls on the Democrats as it is disclosed that senior Dems knew about the seriousness of Biden's cognisant decline and that Kamala was thrown up as the next woman in, while Obama and Pelosi in particular held serious doubts Harris could win. We also debunk Trump's nonsense about a 3rd term as JTI argues that Trump causes distractions when he is in trouble. In sport, Gout Gout comes second in a rare exciting time for Australian fans of track and field.…

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Episode 182 - Signal - MAHA - Llama - ATOYME - PETE! 1:41:16

11 weeks ago1:41:16

1:41:16

We look at the depths of incompetence with the Signal saga - and look at the reality of whether all this is 'secure' or not. RFK Jr. tells people to take vitamin A for measles. They do. It gives them liver damage. Marky Mark and the Zucky Bunch decide to steal content from a website that steals content. How meta. We have a new segment! Always The Ones You Most Expect. And yeah, it's what you think it is. Depressingly long. And by god Pete's been to the USA and had a cracking time. Did he meet Don and Elon? Maybe. How much did it cost him? Other than his dignity. Enjoy! PS - don't forget 10% off at cbco.beer with CRP10 code!…

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The Two Jacks - Episode 107 - Not So Secret Signals 1:27:15

11 weeks ago1:27:15

1:27:15

The Two Jacks discuss the Secret Signal scandal. The federal election is on. Who wins and why? Canada is off to the polls, too. Has Trump given the Canadian Liberals a second chance? In sport, we eulogise George Foreman, and examine the AFL season to date.

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The Two Jacks 105 - Is Trump a Russian Asset? 1:39:26

14 weeks ago1:39:26

1:39:26

The Two Jacks discuss the conduct of Donald Trump's presidency and ask what SMH Foreign Editor, Peter Hartcher declared to be true in a column earlier in the week, that Trump was a Russian asset. JTI concluded that he didn't know if Trump was a Russian asset but if he wasn't, he was doing a good impersonation of one. The things to watch in any peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia (with the possibility of European troops in Ukraine as peacekeepers or observers) are the provision of US logistical support and intelligence sharing to the European coalition and Ukraine. If the US did not, then it was providing Russia with a decided advantage. In Australian politics, JTI describes another bad week for the Coalition with plenty of misspeaking. In sport, India gets a homeground advantage in the Champions Trophy final and the Two Jacks give their tips for the final 8 in the NRL.…

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The Two Jacks - Episode 104 - Good Trump, Bad Trump 1:32:15

15 weeks ago1:32:15