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Uncertainty: How to Handle Life's Surprises (+ What is a Black Swan event) - w/ Nicolas Vereecke

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Manage episode 487121837 series 2602013
Content provided by Sam Webster Harris and Growth Mindset Psychology. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Sam Webster Harris and Growth Mindset Psychology or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.

Ever felt like life just sucker-punched you out of nowhere? That's exactly what Nassim Taleb calls a Black Swan event.

Most people think they can predict the future by looking at patterns. They study charts, analyze trends, and feel safe in their little bubble of certainty.

However, the biggest events that shape our lives—market crashes, pandemics, breakthrough innovations—are the ones nobody sees coming. ..

Beyond that, it's about how your brain tricks you into thinking you understand a world that's fundamentally unpredictable:

  • Stop trying to predict everything and start building resilience for anything

  • Rebuild your investment portfolio and life plan to deal with shocks

  • Prepare for worst-case scenarios instead of hoping for the best

NEW SHOW - How to Change the World

Sam's new show can be found on major podcast players:

Can't find it on your player?

RSS feed - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://feeds.acast.com/public/shows/682b3b86696b5d1232d698a8⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

-------

UPGRADE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠:

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🤘 Support the show

🔓 Exclusive AMAs and bonus content

💬 Community Discord

⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠GrowthMindset.Supercast.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Get in Touch

👋 Free Call - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Schedule Link⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - https://cal.com/samwebster/mindset

📧 Email - GrowthMindsetPodcast (@) gmail,com

Growth Mindset Psychology:

Sam Webster explores the psychology of happiness, satisfaction, purpose, and growth through the lens of self-improvement.

📺 Watch - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube (Growth Mindset)⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

🛜 Website - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Growth Mindset⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Show: Growth Mindset, psychology of self-improvement

Episode: Radical Uncertainty: How to deal with surprises and Black Swan events - w/ Nicolas Vereecke

Chapters:

00:00 Introduction: Navigating Life's Unpredictability

02:02 Understanding the Black Swan Concept

02:41 Real-World Examples and Implications

04:54 Investment Strategies for Unpredictable Events

12:00 Mediocristan vs. Extremistan

18:39 Ludic fallacy

18:39 The Ludic Fallacy and Risk Assessment

21:46 Conclusion and Takeaways

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

  continue reading

435 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 487121837 series 2602013
Content provided by Sam Webster Harris and Growth Mindset Psychology. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Sam Webster Harris and Growth Mindset Psychology or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ppacc.player.fm/legal.

Ever felt like life just sucker-punched you out of nowhere? That's exactly what Nassim Taleb calls a Black Swan event.

Most people think they can predict the future by looking at patterns. They study charts, analyze trends, and feel safe in their little bubble of certainty.

However, the biggest events that shape our lives—market crashes, pandemics, breakthrough innovations—are the ones nobody sees coming. ..

Beyond that, it's about how your brain tricks you into thinking you understand a world that's fundamentally unpredictable:

  • Stop trying to predict everything and start building resilience for anything

  • Rebuild your investment portfolio and life plan to deal with shocks

  • Prepare for worst-case scenarios instead of hoping for the best

NEW SHOW - How to Change the World

Sam's new show can be found on major podcast players:

Can't find it on your player?

RSS feed - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://feeds.acast.com/public/shows/682b3b86696b5d1232d698a8⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

-------

UPGRADE to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠:

🏖️ Ad-free listening

🤘 Support the show

🔓 Exclusive AMAs and bonus content

💬 Community Discord

⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠GrowthMindset.Supercast.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Get in Touch

👋 Free Call - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Schedule Link⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - https://cal.com/samwebster/mindset

📧 Email - GrowthMindsetPodcast (@) gmail,com

Growth Mindset Psychology:

Sam Webster explores the psychology of happiness, satisfaction, purpose, and growth through the lens of self-improvement.

📺 Watch - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube (Growth Mindset)⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

🛜 Website - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Growth Mindset⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Show: Growth Mindset, psychology of self-improvement

Episode: Radical Uncertainty: How to deal with surprises and Black Swan events - w/ Nicolas Vereecke

Chapters:

00:00 Introduction: Navigating Life's Unpredictability

02:02 Understanding the Black Swan Concept

02:41 Real-World Examples and Implications

04:54 Investment Strategies for Unpredictable Events

12:00 Mediocristan vs. Extremistan

18:39 Ludic fallacy

18:39 The Ludic Fallacy and Risk Assessment

21:46 Conclusion and Takeaways

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

  continue reading

435 episodes

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